Welcome to Timerssports
Last week it was your average Richmond race. Big names finished up front with minimum exceptions. There was only one noticeable wreck and that was Tony Stewart incident late in the race. In terms of fantasy , it was a pretty routine race for owners. If you rolled with a big name (minus Edwards and Keselowski) , then Sunday's race was a walk in the park.
At Talladega expect something completely different. Not often we go to Talladega and don't see a big wreck. It's hard to make picks due to the unknowns. Personally I prefer to go with a conservative but upsided lineup. I have had a lot of success over the years with going that route. Even though no pick is safe come Sunday!
Yahoo -
A:
Start: Denny Hamlin (8)
Bench: Jimmie Johnson (8)
Reason - Never planned to use Johnson! Denny Hamlin is my sneaky play this weekend. He is the guy I want out of the JGR stable.
B:
Start Austin Dillon (8) , Greg Biffle (8)
Bench: Clint Bowyer (9) , Kasey Kahne (6)
Reason - There was never any doubt who I was planning to start. I used the Biffle/Dillon combo earlier this season at Daytona, so why fix what isn't broken? Anything can happen on Sunday.
C -
Start: David Ragan (4)
Bench: Danica Patrick (9)
Reason - The big question I had to answer was: What is Ragan potential at Talladega compared to going forward in the 55 car? I will take Ragan at Talladega all day long. Hopefully its pays off.
Fantasy Live - 4,2,41, 34 and 38
Sleeper Pick - Landon Cassill
Race Winner - Brad Keselowski
Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com
Twitter - @MattAleza
Wednesday, April 29, 2015
Tuesday, April 28, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Busts (Talladega)
Welcome to TimersSports
Sleepers-
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon have proven he is a decent option on the restrictor plate tracks. Last season , he held 10.5 average finish and 19.3 average running position with 4 Top 15s. Earlier this season at Daytona , he added another top 15 to his already impressive track history. Dillon also does a great job of avoiding wreck , so I would give him a hard look for Talladega. The RCR have been strong qualifiers too. Think back to last season how impressed I was at the 3 car being on the front row. His 14.8 average starting position in 2014 wasn't bad either which is very encouraging!
13-Casey Mears: Mears have definitely shown us something on the plates lately. Last season he compiled 9.5 average finish and 19.5 average running position with 3 Top 10s. Not to mention , he finished 6th earlier this season at Daytona and looked very impressive doing it too. I personally wouldn't gamble on him because I am not a fan of using underfunded drivers. But I think he gonna knock off another excellent result for owners.
48-Jimmie Johnson: Move over Dale Jr! There a new cat in town on the SuperSpeedways! Over the past 9 races on restrictor plates tracks , Johnson have put together 13.2 average finish (2nd-best) , 2 wins (Series-best) , 5 Top 5s (Series-best) , 314 laps led (Series-best) , 10.3 average running position (Series-best) and 108.1 driver rating (Series-best). Last season at Talladega? He posted 23.5 average finish. However held the best driver rating (109.0), the best average running position (8.0) and led the most laps (86). He finished 5th at Daytona earlier this season.
Busts -
1-Jamie McMurray: Hard to put him on this list since he have such great potential! I don't hate using him , but past history suggests you shouldn't. Its seems he run up front for awhile. Then he fades to mid-pack. Most noticeably , that where trouble tend to happen a lot more often than not. Just look at his past 12 races! Seven times he have finished worse than 20th, but have 2 wins in that same time frame. I don't think it a question weather or not Jamie is a good play. I think question is can he stay out of trouble for 500 miles?
17-Ricky Stenhouse Jr: Great Talladega record , but he is due for a bad race! If the pattern holds , Ricky will have a disappointing week. On his 4th Daytona start , Ricky found trouble. He had all top 20s in previous three. His Talladega record exactly the same as well. Three excellent results and makes his 4th start on Sunday. Also the SuperSpeedways haven't been very kind lately. In his last three attempts , Ricky have finished outside the Top 25 twice and didn't even qualify for last Fall race. Hard to start a guy who have gone completely cold on this type track. Least it is to me.
Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com
Twitter - @MattAleza
Sleepers-
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon have proven he is a decent option on the restrictor plate tracks. Last season , he held 10.5 average finish and 19.3 average running position with 4 Top 15s. Earlier this season at Daytona , he added another top 15 to his already impressive track history. Dillon also does a great job of avoiding wreck , so I would give him a hard look for Talladega. The RCR have been strong qualifiers too. Think back to last season how impressed I was at the 3 car being on the front row. His 14.8 average starting position in 2014 wasn't bad either which is very encouraging!
13-Casey Mears: Mears have definitely shown us something on the plates lately. Last season he compiled 9.5 average finish and 19.5 average running position with 3 Top 10s. Not to mention , he finished 6th earlier this season at Daytona and looked very impressive doing it too. I personally wouldn't gamble on him because I am not a fan of using underfunded drivers. But I think he gonna knock off another excellent result for owners.
48-Jimmie Johnson: Move over Dale Jr! There a new cat in town on the SuperSpeedways! Over the past 9 races on restrictor plates tracks , Johnson have put together 13.2 average finish (2nd-best) , 2 wins (Series-best) , 5 Top 5s (Series-best) , 314 laps led (Series-best) , 10.3 average running position (Series-best) and 108.1 driver rating (Series-best). Last season at Talladega? He posted 23.5 average finish. However held the best driver rating (109.0), the best average running position (8.0) and led the most laps (86). He finished 5th at Daytona earlier this season.
Busts -
1-Jamie McMurray: Hard to put him on this list since he have such great potential! I don't hate using him , but past history suggests you shouldn't. Its seems he run up front for awhile. Then he fades to mid-pack. Most noticeably , that where trouble tend to happen a lot more often than not. Just look at his past 12 races! Seven times he have finished worse than 20th, but have 2 wins in that same time frame. I don't think it a question weather or not Jamie is a good play. I think question is can he stay out of trouble for 500 miles?
17-Ricky Stenhouse Jr: Great Talladega record , but he is due for a bad race! If the pattern holds , Ricky will have a disappointing week. On his 4th Daytona start , Ricky found trouble. He had all top 20s in previous three. His Talladega record exactly the same as well. Three excellent results and makes his 4th start on Sunday. Also the SuperSpeedways haven't been very kind lately. In his last three attempts , Ricky have finished outside the Top 25 twice and didn't even qualify for last Fall race. Hard to start a guy who have gone completely cold on this type track. Least it is to me.
Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com
Twitter - @MattAleza
Monday, April 27, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (Talladega)
Welcome to TimersSports
1. Dale Jr
2. Jimmie Johnson
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Matt Kenseth
6. Joey Logano
7. Denny Hamlin
8. Jeff Gordon
9. Kurt Busch
10. Clint Bowyer
11. Kasey Kahne
12. Carl Edwards
13. Jamie McMurray
14. Martin Truex Jr
15. Greg Biffle
16. Paul Menard
17. Ryan Newman
18. Austin Dillon
19. David Ragan
20. Kyle Larson
21. Aric Almirola
22. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
23. Tony Stewart
24. Danica Patrick
25. Ryan Blaney
26. Casey Mears
27. Michael Waltrip
28. AJ Dinger
29. Justin Allgier
30. Sam Hornish Jr
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
1. Dale Jr
2. Jimmie Johnson
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Matt Kenseth
6. Joey Logano
7. Denny Hamlin
8. Jeff Gordon
9. Kurt Busch
10. Clint Bowyer
11. Kasey Kahne
12. Carl Edwards
13. Jamie McMurray
14. Martin Truex Jr
15. Greg Biffle
16. Paul Menard
17. Ryan Newman
18. Austin Dillon
19. David Ragan
20. Kyle Larson
21. Aric Almirola
22. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
23. Tony Stewart
24. Danica Patrick
25. Ryan Blaney
26. Casey Mears
27. Michael Waltrip
28. AJ Dinger
29. Justin Allgier
30. Sam Hornish Jr
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
Fantasy Nascar Preview (Talladega)
Welcome to TimersSports
Its Dega Time! You heard right and boy I dread these plate races. There nothing worse as a fantasy player than 43 cars under a blanket while for insanity to strike. Personally I prefer predictable race like last week at Richmond. It didn't take a fortune teller to know who would legitimate finish up front. Talladega is the complete opposite. If you can avoid the big one , then you almost certain to finish in the top 20. At Talladega , that is almost good as a win for some teams.
The primary goal is to escape with minimum damage to your season championship hopes. In other words, don't go super crazy with your lineups. Certain drivers seems to run well here. Those should be your building blocks. Be warned , anyone can win and anyone can wreck out!
*Today's Preview will be set up dramatically different than most weeks.
*Most of the preview's is filled with opinions and thoughts. Added in stats to get my point across when needed.
Drivers I like:
2-Brad Keselowski: Keselowski haven't gotten the results the past two races (Bristol and Richmond). However he have ran very well at Daytona and Talladega recently. He won at Dega last season and was very strong earlier this season before engine let go at Daytona. In 12 career starts ,Brad is already an 3-time winner. He really don't get enough respect as a elite plate racer! If Brad stays out of trouble , then expect him to deliver a reliable finish. He have finished inside the top 10 in over 50% of his starts.
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon is one of my favorite sleepers plays. I am not sure if everyone realize how good Dillon is on the plates. He is really good and only in his 2nd year of Cup! Dillon potential is awesome and I think many people will overlook him. Mainly because he haven't won yet. Last season he finished 13th and 15th. Dillon understands how to draft effectively and more importantly won't do anything reckless to become a liability. I don't recommend Dillon much , but he is a decent option to roll with.
4-Kevin Harvick: There a lot to like about Harvick. Then again where isn't Harvick bad fast? Harvick is a elite performer at Talladega and that isn't questionable! 4 Of his past 5 starts have ended inside the top 12. Including a pair of top 10s last season. Harvick always been a great plate racer and have even became better with SHR. Only way he finishes poorly will be because of the big one or some type of mechanical issue. Otherwise he is locked in for another solid points day.
11-Denny Hamlin: I will keep it short in sweet with Hamlin! He been absolute stud since last season's Daytona 500. Look up and down the board , he was a heavy contender in every race. I mean it hard to ignore how good Hamlin been. Honestly he turned things around out of the blue. Hamlin never been known for his plate skills. Yet he have finishes lately to back it up. Stats don't mean much here , but showing consistency is a comforting sign for us fantasy players.
13-Casey Mears: Mears will likely be a popular sleeper pick this week and I cannot blame anyone either. Mears have gained the trust of us fantasy players after solid performance after solid performance. He swept the top 15 here last season. Actually he swept the top 15 on plates races in 2014. He seems to do a nice job of staying in contention. He may fade to the back few times , but he been there in the end. A lot of it have to do with luck. Will luck be on the side of the 13 team? We will find out soon enough.
15-Clint Bowyer: Bowyer is in my opinion the best plate racer at Talladega. The dude is a machine and does everything so damn well. Also doesn't hurt he have a really strong track record. How strong? 8 Top 10s in his past 10 starts. Do you realize most drivers don't even have 8 lead lap finishes , let alone 8 Top 10s. He is reliable and he is a great fantasy pick this week. Nothing is a sure thing at Talladega , but I like his chances!
16-Greg Biffle: Biffle is a very underrated driver at Talladega. He doesn't seems to get the respect he once did. Make no mistake , he is still capable of running up front. More often than not , he delivers quality performances. While I do believe he is a better overall performer at Daytona , I do think he will make a fantastic option this week. I don't blame you , if you pass on him though.
22-Joey Logano: Logano slowly but surely becoming a force on the plates. That was pretty obviously after strong performances at Talladega in 2014 and his impressive Daytona 500 win. Most people haven't realized how good he been though. I will take the potential of Logano over anyone in the field among non-Talladega winners. He finished 11th last fall after fading from the lead late.
43-Aric Almirola: Aric is a very underrated plate racer. Not many realize how good Aric been the past few years. He haven't ran up front a lot , but definitely have found ways to finish well. I always find that a plus here. 6 Of his past 8 starts have ended inside the top 20. Aric could be a sneaky play , if everything lines up correctly for him. Feeling lucky?
48-Jimmie Johnson: At one time , Johnson was a terrible option to roll with. That was then and this now! Hard to deny , Johnson isn't the first option who comes to mind. However he been one of the best , if not the best performer over the past two seasons. The results don't show it either. One of the many reasons I believe he is a great option to roll. Expect Johnson to hang under the radar all week long. He have posted a series-leading 6.8 average running position at Talladega. The 2nd-best average running position? 11.5 of Kurt Busch. Johnson also have led in 10 straight races here. That a streak dating back to 2010. 23 Of his 25 starts , Johnson have led least 1 lap. I will take Johnson all day over a unproven option.
Drivers I dislike-
1-Jamie Mac: I jumped on the JMac bandwagon last week. However he will disappoint this week or finish really well. Trust me he is the definition of boom or bust! JMac will always be everyone favorite hail mary pick. As he known to deliver big finishes at big races. Unfortunately his finishes rarely matches his performances. JMac always run well here , but cannot finishes them out. In past 10 starts (since rejoining CGR) , JMac have 3 Top 11 finishes and 7 finishes of 21st or worse. Including 5 finishes worse than 28th. Yeah I know where I am putting my money!
5-Kasey Kahne: I been very high on Kahne all season , but Talladega doesn't agree with him. If there trouble , he will find it. Or trouble will find him. Either way , I am not very big on Kahne. He been better than most expect lately , but it hard to use him at a place like Talladega. The past 3 seasons , Kahne have developed a pattern! 2 good finishes , 2 bad finishes , 2 good finishes over that span. If the pattern holds , then expect disappointment from Kahne. Kahne boom or bust over his past 10 Talladega starts. 5 Finishes in the top 12 and 5 finishes worse than 20th. Including 4 outside the top 25.
14-Tony Stewart: Smoke have no confidence right now. When a driver doesn't believe in himself , the team doesn't in themselves. Its very hard to put Smoke in list because he was once a threat at Talladega! Last season he struck out on the plates. For me it about in his inability to finish one of these races. One of many reasons I don't like him much as a fantasy pick.
19-Carl Edwards: Edwards is like the fat kid in the gym trying to situp. Edwards have struggled all season in finishing races. More noticeably , he haven't been able to take advantage of top tier equipment. Really the 19 team is missing something. Could be chemistry , but personal I think the root of the problem goes much deeper. Anyhow my point there better options especially at Talladega. Kansas or Charlotte? Maybe.
24-Jeff Gordon: No driver have more Top 10s than Gordon since Phoenix. However only once have Gordon placed better than 7th. Talladega is a place I don't like Gordon very much. Sure he's a 6-time winner , but anyone can win at a track multiple times in top tier equipment in a 20+ years span. Especially if you had the talent of Gordon. Over his past 7 starts here , he have had 4 finishes outside the top 25 and only 1 Top 10 finish. In Yahoo , I might consider him for qualifying points though. Otherwise there several guys on my radar before Gordon name comes up.
42-Kyle Larson: The CGR cars are starting to show more speed which is something I expected they would as we approach the warmer months. SuperSpeedways been a very troublesome for the young rookie. He been much better at Talladega , however I think it unwise to trust an young unproven option who haven't really had the chance to fully develop on this type track. He will be better on the intermediate tracks coming up in the summer months.
47-AJ Dinger: This is probably a hail mary anyhow , but AJ Dinger is a great driver. Definitely have proven why he belongs in Nascar on short tracks and road courses. However I haven't been impressed by his performance on the plates. He finished in the top 5 last season. Unfortunately that may have been fluke. Hard to trust an unproven option , especially a underfunded team like JTG. Typically smaller teams are more of a liability and Dinger isn't exactly known for excellent plate racing skills and abilities.
78-Martin Truex Jr: Truex is having a great season. He even ran extremely well at the 500. I like Truex , he is taking this 78 team places. A lot like Busch did in 2013 before jumping to SHR. Unfortunately I think he too valuable too waste at Talladega. Especially in formats that focus in on limitation regarding starts. Really difficult to recommend him in such formats. In general , I think he will be competitive. However I get a feeling bad luck will be lurking on the other side. That's just me though.
Dark Horses I like -
10-Danica Patrick: I see Danica either finding trouble or knocking off another top 10. The way she have performed of late , I say that outcome is very likely. Hard to say , since this race is usually full of surprises. This race is a toss up to be honest. Danica have just as good of shot as anyone else probably. Her Talladega record isn't anything impressive though.
17-Ricky Stenhouse Jr: Stenhouse have been one of the best drivers at Talladega. He would be a popular pick , but it seems like luck starting to withdraw from his restrictor plate bank account. As he have found trouble in back-to-back restrictor plate races. Definitely not encouraging , but they were both at Daytona. I also believe RFR is still a top tier program at SuperSpeedways. I never had doubt about that.
20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth seems to be hit or miss at Talladega with JGR. Honestly I am not real high on Kenseth, but I still believe he is a great plate racer. He usually is a heavy contender and with a little luck he could make a very strong option on Sunday.
27-Paul Menard: Menard should be another popular sleeper this weekend. He have been a excellent performer and qualifier at Talladega the past few seasons. He finished 6th last season in this event and quickly have became one of the more reliable options among secondary-tier drivers. I would definitely give serious consideration toward Menard if all possible.
41-Kurt Busch: Busch is the best plate racer to never win a plate race. As I mentioned above , he have had the 2nd best average running position over the past two seasons at Talladega. I don't think Busch will go out and dominate , but I like him a lot. He should make a super fine option in most formats. Last season he finished 33rd and 7th respectively.
88-Dale Jr: Most people will say Dale Jr is the best option at Talladega. He's much better at Daytona. Dale been okay at Talladega , however not dominant! I cannot say he haven't been good. Dale undoubtedly have had few awesome performances here. Unfortunately only 4 Top 15s (3 Top 10s) in that span. So he batting .400 in the top 15 over a 5-year span. Isn't terrible , but don't try compare it to his Daytona record. Point being , Dale is the safe play. On the flip side , he isn't a must like at Daytona 500 earlier this season. Even though he will be the most popular pick!
**All stats from Driveraverages & FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
Its Dega Time! You heard right and boy I dread these plate races. There nothing worse as a fantasy player than 43 cars under a blanket while for insanity to strike. Personally I prefer predictable race like last week at Richmond. It didn't take a fortune teller to know who would legitimate finish up front. Talladega is the complete opposite. If you can avoid the big one , then you almost certain to finish in the top 20. At Talladega , that is almost good as a win for some teams.
The primary goal is to escape with minimum damage to your season championship hopes. In other words, don't go super crazy with your lineups. Certain drivers seems to run well here. Those should be your building blocks. Be warned , anyone can win and anyone can wreck out!
*Today's Preview will be set up dramatically different than most weeks.
*Most of the preview's is filled with opinions and thoughts. Added in stats to get my point across when needed.
Drivers I like:
2-Brad Keselowski: Keselowski haven't gotten the results the past two races (Bristol and Richmond). However he have ran very well at Daytona and Talladega recently. He won at Dega last season and was very strong earlier this season before engine let go at Daytona. In 12 career starts ,Brad is already an 3-time winner. He really don't get enough respect as a elite plate racer! If Brad stays out of trouble , then expect him to deliver a reliable finish. He have finished inside the top 10 in over 50% of his starts.
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon is one of my favorite sleepers plays. I am not sure if everyone realize how good Dillon is on the plates. He is really good and only in his 2nd year of Cup! Dillon potential is awesome and I think many people will overlook him. Mainly because he haven't won yet. Last season he finished 13th and 15th. Dillon understands how to draft effectively and more importantly won't do anything reckless to become a liability. I don't recommend Dillon much , but he is a decent option to roll with.
4-Kevin Harvick: There a lot to like about Harvick. Then again where isn't Harvick bad fast? Harvick is a elite performer at Talladega and that isn't questionable! 4 Of his past 5 starts have ended inside the top 12. Including a pair of top 10s last season. Harvick always been a great plate racer and have even became better with SHR. Only way he finishes poorly will be because of the big one or some type of mechanical issue. Otherwise he is locked in for another solid points day.
11-Denny Hamlin: I will keep it short in sweet with Hamlin! He been absolute stud since last season's Daytona 500. Look up and down the board , he was a heavy contender in every race. I mean it hard to ignore how good Hamlin been. Honestly he turned things around out of the blue. Hamlin never been known for his plate skills. Yet he have finishes lately to back it up. Stats don't mean much here , but showing consistency is a comforting sign for us fantasy players.
13-Casey Mears: Mears will likely be a popular sleeper pick this week and I cannot blame anyone either. Mears have gained the trust of us fantasy players after solid performance after solid performance. He swept the top 15 here last season. Actually he swept the top 15 on plates races in 2014. He seems to do a nice job of staying in contention. He may fade to the back few times , but he been there in the end. A lot of it have to do with luck. Will luck be on the side of the 13 team? We will find out soon enough.
15-Clint Bowyer: Bowyer is in my opinion the best plate racer at Talladega. The dude is a machine and does everything so damn well. Also doesn't hurt he have a really strong track record. How strong? 8 Top 10s in his past 10 starts. Do you realize most drivers don't even have 8 lead lap finishes , let alone 8 Top 10s. He is reliable and he is a great fantasy pick this week. Nothing is a sure thing at Talladega , but I like his chances!
16-Greg Biffle: Biffle is a very underrated driver at Talladega. He doesn't seems to get the respect he once did. Make no mistake , he is still capable of running up front. More often than not , he delivers quality performances. While I do believe he is a better overall performer at Daytona , I do think he will make a fantastic option this week. I don't blame you , if you pass on him though.
22-Joey Logano: Logano slowly but surely becoming a force on the plates. That was pretty obviously after strong performances at Talladega in 2014 and his impressive Daytona 500 win. Most people haven't realized how good he been though. I will take the potential of Logano over anyone in the field among non-Talladega winners. He finished 11th last fall after fading from the lead late.
43-Aric Almirola: Aric is a very underrated plate racer. Not many realize how good Aric been the past few years. He haven't ran up front a lot , but definitely have found ways to finish well. I always find that a plus here. 6 Of his past 8 starts have ended inside the top 20. Aric could be a sneaky play , if everything lines up correctly for him. Feeling lucky?
48-Jimmie Johnson: At one time , Johnson was a terrible option to roll with. That was then and this now! Hard to deny , Johnson isn't the first option who comes to mind. However he been one of the best , if not the best performer over the past two seasons. The results don't show it either. One of the many reasons I believe he is a great option to roll. Expect Johnson to hang under the radar all week long. He have posted a series-leading 6.8 average running position at Talladega. The 2nd-best average running position? 11.5 of Kurt Busch. Johnson also have led in 10 straight races here. That a streak dating back to 2010. 23 Of his 25 starts , Johnson have led least 1 lap. I will take Johnson all day over a unproven option.
Drivers I dislike-
1-Jamie Mac: I jumped on the JMac bandwagon last week. However he will disappoint this week or finish really well. Trust me he is the definition of boom or bust! JMac will always be everyone favorite hail mary pick. As he known to deliver big finishes at big races. Unfortunately his finishes rarely matches his performances. JMac always run well here , but cannot finishes them out. In past 10 starts (since rejoining CGR) , JMac have 3 Top 11 finishes and 7 finishes of 21st or worse. Including 5 finishes worse than 28th. Yeah I know where I am putting my money!
5-Kasey Kahne: I been very high on Kahne all season , but Talladega doesn't agree with him. If there trouble , he will find it. Or trouble will find him. Either way , I am not very big on Kahne. He been better than most expect lately , but it hard to use him at a place like Talladega. The past 3 seasons , Kahne have developed a pattern! 2 good finishes , 2 bad finishes , 2 good finishes over that span. If the pattern holds , then expect disappointment from Kahne. Kahne boom or bust over his past 10 Talladega starts. 5 Finishes in the top 12 and 5 finishes worse than 20th. Including 4 outside the top 25.
14-Tony Stewart: Smoke have no confidence right now. When a driver doesn't believe in himself , the team doesn't in themselves. Its very hard to put Smoke in list because he was once a threat at Talladega! Last season he struck out on the plates. For me it about in his inability to finish one of these races. One of many reasons I don't like him much as a fantasy pick.
19-Carl Edwards: Edwards is like the fat kid in the gym trying to situp. Edwards have struggled all season in finishing races. More noticeably , he haven't been able to take advantage of top tier equipment. Really the 19 team is missing something. Could be chemistry , but personal I think the root of the problem goes much deeper. Anyhow my point there better options especially at Talladega. Kansas or Charlotte? Maybe.
24-Jeff Gordon: No driver have more Top 10s than Gordon since Phoenix. However only once have Gordon placed better than 7th. Talladega is a place I don't like Gordon very much. Sure he's a 6-time winner , but anyone can win at a track multiple times in top tier equipment in a 20+ years span. Especially if you had the talent of Gordon. Over his past 7 starts here , he have had 4 finishes outside the top 25 and only 1 Top 10 finish. In Yahoo , I might consider him for qualifying points though. Otherwise there several guys on my radar before Gordon name comes up.
42-Kyle Larson: The CGR cars are starting to show more speed which is something I expected they would as we approach the warmer months. SuperSpeedways been a very troublesome for the young rookie. He been much better at Talladega , however I think it unwise to trust an young unproven option who haven't really had the chance to fully develop on this type track. He will be better on the intermediate tracks coming up in the summer months.
47-AJ Dinger: This is probably a hail mary anyhow , but AJ Dinger is a great driver. Definitely have proven why he belongs in Nascar on short tracks and road courses. However I haven't been impressed by his performance on the plates. He finished in the top 5 last season. Unfortunately that may have been fluke. Hard to trust an unproven option , especially a underfunded team like JTG. Typically smaller teams are more of a liability and Dinger isn't exactly known for excellent plate racing skills and abilities.
78-Martin Truex Jr: Truex is having a great season. He even ran extremely well at the 500. I like Truex , he is taking this 78 team places. A lot like Busch did in 2013 before jumping to SHR. Unfortunately I think he too valuable too waste at Talladega. Especially in formats that focus in on limitation regarding starts. Really difficult to recommend him in such formats. In general , I think he will be competitive. However I get a feeling bad luck will be lurking on the other side. That's just me though.
Dark Horses I like -
10-Danica Patrick: I see Danica either finding trouble or knocking off another top 10. The way she have performed of late , I say that outcome is very likely. Hard to say , since this race is usually full of surprises. This race is a toss up to be honest. Danica have just as good of shot as anyone else probably. Her Talladega record isn't anything impressive though.
17-Ricky Stenhouse Jr: Stenhouse have been one of the best drivers at Talladega. He would be a popular pick , but it seems like luck starting to withdraw from his restrictor plate bank account. As he have found trouble in back-to-back restrictor plate races. Definitely not encouraging , but they were both at Daytona. I also believe RFR is still a top tier program at SuperSpeedways. I never had doubt about that.
20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth seems to be hit or miss at Talladega with JGR. Honestly I am not real high on Kenseth, but I still believe he is a great plate racer. He usually is a heavy contender and with a little luck he could make a very strong option on Sunday.
27-Paul Menard: Menard should be another popular sleeper this weekend. He have been a excellent performer and qualifier at Talladega the past few seasons. He finished 6th last season in this event and quickly have became one of the more reliable options among secondary-tier drivers. I would definitely give serious consideration toward Menard if all possible.
41-Kurt Busch: Busch is the best plate racer to never win a plate race. As I mentioned above , he have had the 2nd best average running position over the past two seasons at Talladega. I don't think Busch will go out and dominate , but I like him a lot. He should make a super fine option in most formats. Last season he finished 33rd and 7th respectively.
88-Dale Jr: Most people will say Dale Jr is the best option at Talladega. He's much better at Daytona. Dale been okay at Talladega , however not dominant! I cannot say he haven't been good. Dale undoubtedly have had few awesome performances here. Unfortunately only 4 Top 15s (3 Top 10s) in that span. So he batting .400 in the top 15 over a 5-year span. Isn't terrible , but don't try compare it to his Daytona record. Point being , Dale is the safe play. On the flip side , he isn't a must like at Daytona 500 earlier this season. Even though he will be the most popular pick!
**All stats from Driveraverages & FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
Saturday, April 25, 2015
Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (RIR)
Welcome to TimersSports
Happy Raceday. Setting your fantasy team can be difficult , especially with everything being factored in. Below our group of experts give their thoughts on today race (Including their final picks).
Kate Roswell (@CrazyKateNascar):
-The weather will be a huge issue. Unfortunately I think it could cause major problems in race.
-Three Hendrick Motorsports cars qualified poorly. Can they make it the front without finding trouble?
-Expect a huge balance back day from the Penske cars.
-A driver to watch will be Brett Moffitt! He qualified 14th and said his car was pretty sporty in final practice.
Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):
-Aric Almirola will be a great option tonight. He starts 27th , but he really happy about his car in race trim. He also noted they haven't been very good at qualifying. Qualified 30th at Bristol and finished 13th.
-I expect another crapshoot! So get your beers lined up , because you may need them.
-How about AJ Dinger?? He qualified 3rd , I am definitely hoping for a strong run from him. He ran great here last season too btw.
-Don't sleep on Austin Dillon. He is a visible top 20 play with top 15 potential.
Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):
-How will Chase Elliott do in his 2nd start? I am very excited to find out.
-Can Danica Patrick keep the momentum going? I think she can
-The weather will be a huge issue. I don't see it happening on Saturday night to be honest.
-I think JGR goes 3 for 3 on short tracks.
Yahoo Lineup:
Kate's Lineup - 22,41,1,18
Garry's Lineup - 2,43,41,55
Matt's Lineup: 2,15,47,18
Sleeper Pick:
Kate's Pick - AJ Dinger
Garry's Pick - Aric Almirola
Matt's Pick - Austin Dillon
Race Winner:
Kate's Pick - Kevin Harvick
Garry's Pick - Brad Keselowski
Matt's Pick - Carl Edwards
Happy Raceday. Setting your fantasy team can be difficult , especially with everything being factored in. Below our group of experts give their thoughts on today race (Including their final picks).
Kate Roswell (@CrazyKateNascar):
-The weather will be a huge issue. Unfortunately I think it could cause major problems in race.
-Three Hendrick Motorsports cars qualified poorly. Can they make it the front without finding trouble?
-Expect a huge balance back day from the Penske cars.
-A driver to watch will be Brett Moffitt! He qualified 14th and said his car was pretty sporty in final practice.
Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):
-Aric Almirola will be a great option tonight. He starts 27th , but he really happy about his car in race trim. He also noted they haven't been very good at qualifying. Qualified 30th at Bristol and finished 13th.
-I expect another crapshoot! So get your beers lined up , because you may need them.
-How about AJ Dinger?? He qualified 3rd , I am definitely hoping for a strong run from him. He ran great here last season too btw.
-Don't sleep on Austin Dillon. He is a visible top 20 play with top 15 potential.
Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):
-How will Chase Elliott do in his 2nd start? I am very excited to find out.
-Can Danica Patrick keep the momentum going? I think she can
-The weather will be a huge issue. I don't see it happening on Saturday night to be honest.
-I think JGR goes 3 for 3 on short tracks.
Yahoo Lineup:
Kate's Lineup - 22,41,1,18
Garry's Lineup - 2,43,41,55
Matt's Lineup: 2,15,47,18
Sleeper Pick:
Kate's Pick - AJ Dinger
Garry's Pick - Aric Almirola
Matt's Pick - Austin Dillon
Race Winner:
Kate's Pick - Kevin Harvick
Garry's Pick - Brad Keselowski
Matt's Pick - Carl Edwards
Friday, April 24, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Update (Richmond)
Welcome to TimersSports
A:
1. Brad Keselowski - The past 3 Race winners (Kenseth , Johnson and Hamlin) have had a lackluster finish the previous race. Keselowski finished 40th at Bristol. Also those three drivers had strong track records! Keselowski was the best driver last season at Richmond and it wasn't very close either. Need more convincing? He had one of the best cars in my opinion during the two practice sessions on Friday. Don't be surprised if Keselowski doesn't run away from the field early and often!
My Overall Ranking: 1st
2. Kevin Harvick - Harvick have a fast car again , but he didn't look dominant. He will undoubtedly be a heavy contender , but hard seeing him putting laps around the field like at Phoenix. Harvick is not a hard guy to figure out. Usually his practice lap times tell you a lot about his car. Typically he is either miles better than the field or just really good. Based on Friday , Harvick is a top 5 guy. However he was far from dominant. The one thing I like about Harvick is he been very reliable this season and at Richmond during his career. I say Harvick have an top 3 car overall.
My Overall Ranking: 2nd
3. Joey Logano - Logano was very strong in pair of practices on Friday and will likely contend for the win this weekend! Logano brings a blend of reliability and upside to the table. Only once this season have he finished outside the top 10. Also it doesn't hurt he won this race last season either. To me Logano ultimate flaw will his Crew. Can they keep up with the track? This season they been inconsistent in keeping their driver up front in the top 5. Based on practice I say he is an top 5 option. However, weather the 22 keep up with the track changes is pretty questionable. We never got that question answered at Bristol.
My Overall Ranking: 3rd
4. Denny Hamlin - Hamlin missed most of Bristol after an neck injury. Fortunately he is back in car for Richmond. Hamlin looked pretty good overall in both practices. He didn't have the fastest car , but I thought he was about an top 5 option at end of final practice. His track record of late doesn't impress me , but I have a strong feeling he get back on track this weekend! None of the JGR cars looked like winning cars , but they seem to race better than they practice. At Bristol and Martinsville , all the JGR cars looked at best top 10. The outcomes been much better. Personally I think that have shown a lot of people off.
My Overall Ranking: 4th
5. Matt Kenseth - Matt is one of my favorite guys to roll with when I want a reliable option. Last week it paid off for all the players who wanted to play it safe. This week I am not as optimist as last week. However I do like Kenseth a lot once again. Kenseth this season been a excellent qualifier and just as good in the race. On Friday , Kenseth looked solid. He didn't wheel off the fastest lap in either session , but that so Matt Kenseth! Last week we knew he had an good hand , but turns out he had a few aces. Throughout his career he been knew for that. This weekend will be no different!
My Overall Ranking: 5th
Other options - Dale Jr (7th) , Gordon (10th) , Johnson (12th) and Newman (13th)
B:
1. Carl Edwards - Edwards looked top 10 in pair of Friday practices! I feel like Edwards is getting closer and closer from breaking out in a Toyota. Two of the past three races Edwards have been running in the top 5 before having a issue. Don't think for a second that was accident! It pretty obvious the 19 team have the short tracks down. He haven't gotten the results , but it only matter of time now. Don't be shocked to see Edwards break through at Richmond. His two teammates have wins , I bet he feeling a little left out right now. That definitely some extra motivation to get the job done. Would be cool to see JGR sweep the early short track stench of Bristol , Martinsville and Richmond.
My Overall Ranking: 6th
2. Kurt Busch - I should rank Busch a little higher , but I need him to finish races in the top 5 first. After not able to finish the deal for the third straight race, I need some convincing! He was pretty good in practice I would say. Nothing overly impressive , but definitely worthy of starting in any format. Not exactly sure if he can run in the top 5 with his teammate though. If I was betting man , I say he finishes around 7th.
My Overall Ranking: 8th
3. Martin Truex Jr - Truex was very good in both practices on Friday. Honestly I think he an potential top 10 option if he can stay out of trouble. Martin was happy with car and should be able run with the guys around him. Richmond isn't the first place I would choose to use him at , but there are definitely worse options out there to have. I say he finishes in the 6th-10th place range. I wouldn't rule out a top 5 though. I expect this weekend race to be another crapshoot , just like last weekend was.
My Overall Ranking: 9th
4. Kyle Larson - There were several worthy option for the 4th spot. Larson had the most upside. This kid can wheel anything to an respectable finish! He haven't stood out to me , but he didn't standout last week at Bristol either. That the thing about practice , we only know what practice gives us. Most of the time , the race is way too unpredictable for us to be 100% accurate. Especially after the top tier options! Larson leads the pack of 2nd-Tier drivers. I consider the top 10 drivers as the top tier. Larson big disadvantage will always be his equipment. Long as he with CGR ,Larson will be held back. If he never leaves , we may never see his true potential.
My Overall Ranking: 11th
5. Kasey Kahne - Kahne haven't looked all too good and I am not really surprised. Richmond haven't been his best track throughout his career and only 1 have one Top 10 in 6 starts with HMS. On Friday , he looked like an teen-ish driver. I like Kahne potential this season , but he doesn't have the driving talent to overcome diversity. Such as pit road problems , poor handling car , or bad race setup. Personally I wouldn't use Kahne here. Way too many better places to use him. I say he still finishes inside the top 15 though.
My Overall Ranking: 14th
Other Options - JMac (15th) , Bowyer (16th), Stewart (18th) , Stenhouse Jr (19th) and Almirola (20th)
C:
1. David Ragan - News recently broke that Ragan may be joining MWR after Talladega which is good news for those whom play Yahoo Fantasy Racing. Ragan have ran very well for JGR , so it not too shocking to say the least. Ragan looked decent on Friday. I wouldn't exactly call him an top 10 play. However he will definitely contend for least another top 20 and possibly an top 15. Hard saying to tell the truth. In my opinion he on the boarder of top 15. I say he just finishes outside that mark.
My Overall Ranking: 17th
2. Brett Moffitt - Brett is probably 2nd best option in this tier. He actually have an short track background so I am not totally against rolling the dice. Moffitt value will heavily depend on Ragan eventual finish. Especially in formats such as Yahoo , which scoring is based on final finish. I say he finishes around 20th at Richmond. Rumors are this is his final start with MWR for this season. Another reason possibly consider to gamble on him.
My Overall Ranking: 22nd
3. Chase Elliott - Elliott rounds out the Tier. I wasn't exactly thrilled about what I saw from Elliott on Friday. He could have done worse though. Honestly I thought him and Moffitt were neck and neck most of those practices. Elliott scares me a little. At Martinsville , he wrecked out way too early. I say he definitely have the most potential/talent in this tier , but hard to recommend someone making their 2nd start over a more proven option in Ragan or even Moffitt who seems to settle in now.
My Overall Ranking: 24th
Other options - Danica (25th) and Allgier (26th)
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
A:
1. Brad Keselowski - The past 3 Race winners (Kenseth , Johnson and Hamlin) have had a lackluster finish the previous race. Keselowski finished 40th at Bristol. Also those three drivers had strong track records! Keselowski was the best driver last season at Richmond and it wasn't very close either. Need more convincing? He had one of the best cars in my opinion during the two practice sessions on Friday. Don't be surprised if Keselowski doesn't run away from the field early and often!
My Overall Ranking: 1st
2. Kevin Harvick - Harvick have a fast car again , but he didn't look dominant. He will undoubtedly be a heavy contender , but hard seeing him putting laps around the field like at Phoenix. Harvick is not a hard guy to figure out. Usually his practice lap times tell you a lot about his car. Typically he is either miles better than the field or just really good. Based on Friday , Harvick is a top 5 guy. However he was far from dominant. The one thing I like about Harvick is he been very reliable this season and at Richmond during his career. I say Harvick have an top 3 car overall.
My Overall Ranking: 2nd
3. Joey Logano - Logano was very strong in pair of practices on Friday and will likely contend for the win this weekend! Logano brings a blend of reliability and upside to the table. Only once this season have he finished outside the top 10. Also it doesn't hurt he won this race last season either. To me Logano ultimate flaw will his Crew. Can they keep up with the track? This season they been inconsistent in keeping their driver up front in the top 5. Based on practice I say he is an top 5 option. However, weather the 22 keep up with the track changes is pretty questionable. We never got that question answered at Bristol.
My Overall Ranking: 3rd
4. Denny Hamlin - Hamlin missed most of Bristol after an neck injury. Fortunately he is back in car for Richmond. Hamlin looked pretty good overall in both practices. He didn't have the fastest car , but I thought he was about an top 5 option at end of final practice. His track record of late doesn't impress me , but I have a strong feeling he get back on track this weekend! None of the JGR cars looked like winning cars , but they seem to race better than they practice. At Bristol and Martinsville , all the JGR cars looked at best top 10. The outcomes been much better. Personally I think that have shown a lot of people off.
My Overall Ranking: 4th
5. Matt Kenseth - Matt is one of my favorite guys to roll with when I want a reliable option. Last week it paid off for all the players who wanted to play it safe. This week I am not as optimist as last week. However I do like Kenseth a lot once again. Kenseth this season been a excellent qualifier and just as good in the race. On Friday , Kenseth looked solid. He didn't wheel off the fastest lap in either session , but that so Matt Kenseth! Last week we knew he had an good hand , but turns out he had a few aces. Throughout his career he been knew for that. This weekend will be no different!
My Overall Ranking: 5th
Other options - Dale Jr (7th) , Gordon (10th) , Johnson (12th) and Newman (13th)
B:
1. Carl Edwards - Edwards looked top 10 in pair of Friday practices! I feel like Edwards is getting closer and closer from breaking out in a Toyota. Two of the past three races Edwards have been running in the top 5 before having a issue. Don't think for a second that was accident! It pretty obvious the 19 team have the short tracks down. He haven't gotten the results , but it only matter of time now. Don't be shocked to see Edwards break through at Richmond. His two teammates have wins , I bet he feeling a little left out right now. That definitely some extra motivation to get the job done. Would be cool to see JGR sweep the early short track stench of Bristol , Martinsville and Richmond.
My Overall Ranking: 6th
2. Kurt Busch - I should rank Busch a little higher , but I need him to finish races in the top 5 first. After not able to finish the deal for the third straight race, I need some convincing! He was pretty good in practice I would say. Nothing overly impressive , but definitely worthy of starting in any format. Not exactly sure if he can run in the top 5 with his teammate though. If I was betting man , I say he finishes around 7th.
My Overall Ranking: 8th
3. Martin Truex Jr - Truex was very good in both practices on Friday. Honestly I think he an potential top 10 option if he can stay out of trouble. Martin was happy with car and should be able run with the guys around him. Richmond isn't the first place I would choose to use him at , but there are definitely worse options out there to have. I say he finishes in the 6th-10th place range. I wouldn't rule out a top 5 though. I expect this weekend race to be another crapshoot , just like last weekend was.
My Overall Ranking: 9th
4. Kyle Larson - There were several worthy option for the 4th spot. Larson had the most upside. This kid can wheel anything to an respectable finish! He haven't stood out to me , but he didn't standout last week at Bristol either. That the thing about practice , we only know what practice gives us. Most of the time , the race is way too unpredictable for us to be 100% accurate. Especially after the top tier options! Larson leads the pack of 2nd-Tier drivers. I consider the top 10 drivers as the top tier. Larson big disadvantage will always be his equipment. Long as he with CGR ,Larson will be held back. If he never leaves , we may never see his true potential.
My Overall Ranking: 11th
5. Kasey Kahne - Kahne haven't looked all too good and I am not really surprised. Richmond haven't been his best track throughout his career and only 1 have one Top 10 in 6 starts with HMS. On Friday , he looked like an teen-ish driver. I like Kahne potential this season , but he doesn't have the driving talent to overcome diversity. Such as pit road problems , poor handling car , or bad race setup. Personally I wouldn't use Kahne here. Way too many better places to use him. I say he still finishes inside the top 15 though.
My Overall Ranking: 14th
Other Options - JMac (15th) , Bowyer (16th), Stewart (18th) , Stenhouse Jr (19th) and Almirola (20th)
C:
1. David Ragan - News recently broke that Ragan may be joining MWR after Talladega which is good news for those whom play Yahoo Fantasy Racing. Ragan have ran very well for JGR , so it not too shocking to say the least. Ragan looked decent on Friday. I wouldn't exactly call him an top 10 play. However he will definitely contend for least another top 20 and possibly an top 15. Hard saying to tell the truth. In my opinion he on the boarder of top 15. I say he just finishes outside that mark.
My Overall Ranking: 17th
2. Brett Moffitt - Brett is probably 2nd best option in this tier. He actually have an short track background so I am not totally against rolling the dice. Moffitt value will heavily depend on Ragan eventual finish. Especially in formats such as Yahoo , which scoring is based on final finish. I say he finishes around 20th at Richmond. Rumors are this is his final start with MWR for this season. Another reason possibly consider to gamble on him.
My Overall Ranking: 22nd
3. Chase Elliott - Elliott rounds out the Tier. I wasn't exactly thrilled about what I saw from Elliott on Friday. He could have done worse though. Honestly I thought him and Moffitt were neck and neck most of those practices. Elliott scares me a little. At Martinsville , he wrecked out way too early. I say he definitely have the most potential/talent in this tier , but hard to recommend someone making their 2nd start over a more proven option in Ragan or even Moffitt who seems to settle in now.
My Overall Ranking: 24th
Other options - Danica (25th) and Allgier (26th)
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (RIR)
Welcome to TimersSports
1. Joey Logano
2. Brad Keselowski
3. Kevin Harvick
4. Denny Hamlin
5. Kurt Busch
6. Martin Truex Jr
7. Matt Kenseth
8. Jeff Gordon
9. Dale Jr
10. Carl Edwards
11. Jimmie Johnson
12. Kyle Larson
13. Ryan Newman
14. Jamie Mac
15. Clint Bowyer
16. AJ Dinger
17. Kasey Kahne
18. Tony Stewart
19. Aric Almirola
20. Austin Dillon
21. David Ragan
22. Paul Menard
23. Brett Moffitt
24. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
25. Chase Elliott
26. Danica Patrick
27. Greg Biffle
28. Justin Allgier
29. Trevor Bayne
30. Sam Hornish Jr
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
1. Joey Logano
2. Brad Keselowski
3. Kevin Harvick
4. Denny Hamlin
5. Kurt Busch
6. Martin Truex Jr
7. Matt Kenseth
8. Jeff Gordon
9. Dale Jr
10. Carl Edwards
11. Jimmie Johnson
12. Kyle Larson
13. Ryan Newman
14. Jamie Mac
15. Clint Bowyer
16. AJ Dinger
17. Kasey Kahne
18. Tony Stewart
19. Aric Almirola
20. Austin Dillon
21. David Ragan
22. Paul Menard
23. Brett Moffitt
24. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
25. Chase Elliott
26. Danica Patrick
27. Greg Biffle
28. Justin Allgier
29. Trevor Bayne
30. Sam Hornish Jr
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Picks (Richmond)
Welcome to TimersSports
Wow I am off to my worst start of my fantasy racing career. I definitely hit rock bottom last week in Yahoo Fantasy Racing! However I am likely not alone. If you haven't scored poorly least once over the past few races , then you aren't picking very good. That the sad truth too.
I am hoping for things to normalized after Bristol. Unfortunately knowing how this season have gone , its probably unlikely. Here are today's picks!
Yahoo -
A:
Start: Matt Kenseth (9)
Bench: Brad Keselowski (8)
Reason - Keselowski was the better choice in practice. However , my gut tells me to roll with the hot hand. Plus JGR seems to solid on shorts.
B:
Start: AJ Dinger (8) , JMac (9)
Bench: Kurt Busch (6) , Clint Bowyer (9)
Reason - Dinger & JMac over Bowyer & Busch came to who will offer me more value? Busch will be good , but I see no reason to use him at Richmond. Especially when he been so fast on 1.5 milers. For Bowyer , I don't trust him. I don't trust JMac either , but Richmond seems to fit Jamie style tbh. Plus he was pretty consistent in practice.
C:
Start: David Ragan (5)
Bench: Danica Patrick (9)
Reason - Ragan looked solid in practice , so I will roll with him over Danica Patrick.
Fantasy Live - 4,48,2,18,10
Sleeper - Austin Dillon
Winner - Carl Edwards
Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com
Twitter - @MattAleza
Wow I am off to my worst start of my fantasy racing career. I definitely hit rock bottom last week in Yahoo Fantasy Racing! However I am likely not alone. If you haven't scored poorly least once over the past few races , then you aren't picking very good. That the sad truth too.
I am hoping for things to normalized after Bristol. Unfortunately knowing how this season have gone , its probably unlikely. Here are today's picks!
Yahoo -
A:
Start: Matt Kenseth (9)
Bench: Brad Keselowski (8)
Reason - Keselowski was the better choice in practice. However , my gut tells me to roll with the hot hand. Plus JGR seems to solid on shorts.
B:
Start: AJ Dinger (8) , JMac (9)
Bench: Kurt Busch (6) , Clint Bowyer (9)
Reason - Dinger & JMac over Bowyer & Busch came to who will offer me more value? Busch will be good , but I see no reason to use him at Richmond. Especially when he been so fast on 1.5 milers. For Bowyer , I don't trust him. I don't trust JMac either , but Richmond seems to fit Jamie style tbh. Plus he was pretty consistent in practice.
C:
Start: David Ragan (5)
Bench: Danica Patrick (9)
Reason - Ragan looked solid in practice , so I will roll with him over Danica Patrick.
Fantasy Live - 4,48,2,18,10
Sleeper - Austin Dillon
Winner - Carl Edwards
Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com
Twitter - @MattAleza
Tuesday, April 21, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Busts (RIR)
Welcome to TimersSports
I highly suspected a wreck-filled Bristol race as I hinted at last week in my column! I really hate when I am right sometimes , so now what? Most of us are still trying to recover from Sunday's race. Believe it or not , I expect a more calm and traditional race this week. I actually hoping for a boring caution free event. Things never go according to plan , do they?
The most important thing to remember this week is to not overthink your lineups or try to force a play. Even though I don't hate slapping on some sleepers in your fantasy lineups. Honestly this is probably the best place to do it. Minus the road courses and upcoming plates races. The next 13 or so races loaded with larger flats and intermediate tracks.
Sleepers:
Aric Almirola - I am not gonna sit here and try to convince you how great of a option Almirola is. Because he isn't , but he is a reliable option who can deliver a powerful punch! His past stats at Richmond can back that up too. Over his past 4 starts , Aric have managed 13.8 average finish , 22.5 average start , 17.5 average running position and 77.9 driver rating. Those numbers aren't overly impressive , however there several things I like about Aric. Most noticeably his consistency after 8 races in 2015. 7 of 8 races have ended 19th or better. Including 4 finishes of 13th or better. In fact , 2 of his past 3 (Martinsville and Bristol) have ended in 12th and 13th. I also like his Richmond record! Especially over his past 4 starts with no finishes outside the top 20. Not to mention , Aric did a tire-test here and will run the NXS race on Saturday.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr - I been watching Ricky the past few races and he is going vastly unnoticed this season. Not only is he outrunning his value , but he is also the best driver at RFR. His 4th place finish at Bristol put him on the map. However that just tip of the iceberg. We have to go back to Phoenix (5 races ago) to find start of his hot streak. 4 Of the past 5 races have ended in 15th or better. His 12th at Phoenix relevant because Richmond commonly compared to it. Also helps that Ricky ran very well in his rookie year at Richmond. Any data from 2014 probably can be tossed out!
Austin Dillon - How about some love for Austin Dillon? He have finished 6 of 8 races this season inside the top 20. Including 4 finishes inside the top 16. His Richmond record isn't special with finishes of 27th and 20th in 2014. Fortunately Dillon does one thing very well and that improvements. If Dillon goes through a entire race , then there a good chance he will improve from his previous start. Least at most tracks. I expect another quality finish from Austin. Don't expect another top 10 , but I see a finish around 15th or so. Also I have made a few observations about Dillon thus far in his cup career. He is a very patience racer , so you won't see him make a irrational decision. Unless its a late restart or something. Dillon also is a very consistent performer. He may not have a car to run top 15 or top 20 even at start of a race. But he consistency improve his car throughout a race. Something I always found to be an asset.
Busts:
Clint Bowyer -Sorry but I am not buying into Bowyer. I know he will be a popular pick , but don't really see the point in selecting a overvalued driver. Without question Bowyer will be overvalued! Honestly it hard to recommend someone like Clint. I understand he is a solid short track driver , but he couldn't even run top 10 at Martinsville. So why would Richmond be any different? Heck he probably shouldn't even finished top 15 at Martinsville. Luckily several other drivers finished poorly. I guess my point being is MWR sucks. Excuse my language , but that the only way I can put it. Its not Clint nor MWR fault. That organization needs an second veteran driver and build addition chemistry. Because right now there isn't any at all.
Chase Elliott - A popular sleeper this week will be Elliott and I am really excited for him. Unfortunately rookies been slapped around this season. 2 super-rookies have made a combined 4 starts. Only 1 Top 25 thus far. Also I don't feel extremely comfortable with starting a inexperienced driver at a short track. While I love his potential , I think there a better chance he get lapped early if his qualifications goes poorly. Either way I am excited to see how Elliott does in his 2nd start.
Twitter - @Garryy12
I highly suspected a wreck-filled Bristol race as I hinted at last week in my column! I really hate when I am right sometimes , so now what? Most of us are still trying to recover from Sunday's race. Believe it or not , I expect a more calm and traditional race this week. I actually hoping for a boring caution free event. Things never go according to plan , do they?
The most important thing to remember this week is to not overthink your lineups or try to force a play. Even though I don't hate slapping on some sleepers in your fantasy lineups. Honestly this is probably the best place to do it. Minus the road courses and upcoming plates races. The next 13 or so races loaded with larger flats and intermediate tracks.
Sleepers:
Aric Almirola - I am not gonna sit here and try to convince you how great of a option Almirola is. Because he isn't , but he is a reliable option who can deliver a powerful punch! His past stats at Richmond can back that up too. Over his past 4 starts , Aric have managed 13.8 average finish , 22.5 average start , 17.5 average running position and 77.9 driver rating. Those numbers aren't overly impressive , however there several things I like about Aric. Most noticeably his consistency after 8 races in 2015. 7 of 8 races have ended 19th or better. Including 4 finishes of 13th or better. In fact , 2 of his past 3 (Martinsville and Bristol) have ended in 12th and 13th. I also like his Richmond record! Especially over his past 4 starts with no finishes outside the top 20. Not to mention , Aric did a tire-test here and will run the NXS race on Saturday.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr - I been watching Ricky the past few races and he is going vastly unnoticed this season. Not only is he outrunning his value , but he is also the best driver at RFR. His 4th place finish at Bristol put him on the map. However that just tip of the iceberg. We have to go back to Phoenix (5 races ago) to find start of his hot streak. 4 Of the past 5 races have ended in 15th or better. His 12th at Phoenix relevant because Richmond commonly compared to it. Also helps that Ricky ran very well in his rookie year at Richmond. Any data from 2014 probably can be tossed out!
Austin Dillon - How about some love for Austin Dillon? He have finished 6 of 8 races this season inside the top 20. Including 4 finishes inside the top 16. His Richmond record isn't special with finishes of 27th and 20th in 2014. Fortunately Dillon does one thing very well and that improvements. If Dillon goes through a entire race , then there a good chance he will improve from his previous start. Least at most tracks. I expect another quality finish from Austin. Don't expect another top 10 , but I see a finish around 15th or so. Also I have made a few observations about Dillon thus far in his cup career. He is a very patience racer , so you won't see him make a irrational decision. Unless its a late restart or something. Dillon also is a very consistent performer. He may not have a car to run top 15 or top 20 even at start of a race. But he consistency improve his car throughout a race. Something I always found to be an asset.
Busts:
Clint Bowyer -Sorry but I am not buying into Bowyer. I know he will be a popular pick , but don't really see the point in selecting a overvalued driver. Without question Bowyer will be overvalued! Honestly it hard to recommend someone like Clint. I understand he is a solid short track driver , but he couldn't even run top 10 at Martinsville. So why would Richmond be any different? Heck he probably shouldn't even finished top 15 at Martinsville. Luckily several other drivers finished poorly. I guess my point being is MWR sucks. Excuse my language , but that the only way I can put it. Its not Clint nor MWR fault. That organization needs an second veteran driver and build addition chemistry. Because right now there isn't any at all.
Chase Elliott - A popular sleeper this week will be Elliott and I am really excited for him. Unfortunately rookies been slapped around this season. 2 super-rookies have made a combined 4 starts. Only 1 Top 25 thus far. Also I don't feel extremely comfortable with starting a inexperienced driver at a short track. While I love his potential , I think there a better chance he get lapped early if his qualifications goes poorly. Either way I am excited to see how Elliott does in his 2nd start.
Twitter - @Garryy12
Monday, April 20, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (Richmond)
Welcome to TimersSports
1. Brad Keselowski
2. Kevin Harvick
3. Joey Logano
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Kurt Busch
6. Dale Jr
7. Jeff Gordon
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. Carl Edwards
10. Kasey Kahne
11. Denny Hamlin
12. Kyle Larson
13. Martin Truex JR
14. Jamie McMurray
15. Clint Bowyer
16. Ryan Newman
17. Paul Menard
18. Tony Stewart
19. Austin Dillon
20. Aric Almirola
21. Danica Patrick
22. David Ragan
23. AJ Dinger
24. Greg Biffle
25. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
26. Justin Allgier
27. Chase Elliott
28. Casey Mears
29. Sam Hornish Jr
30. Brett Moffitt
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
1. Brad Keselowski
2. Kevin Harvick
3. Joey Logano
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Kurt Busch
6. Dale Jr
7. Jeff Gordon
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. Carl Edwards
10. Kasey Kahne
11. Denny Hamlin
12. Kyle Larson
13. Martin Truex JR
14. Jamie McMurray
15. Clint Bowyer
16. Ryan Newman
17. Paul Menard
18. Tony Stewart
19. Austin Dillon
20. Aric Almirola
21. Danica Patrick
22. David Ragan
23. AJ Dinger
24. Greg Biffle
25. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
26. Justin Allgier
27. Chase Elliott
28. Casey Mears
29. Sam Hornish Jr
30. Brett Moffitt
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
Fantasy Nascar Preview (Richmond)
Welcome to TimersSports
What a Bristol race! Those are the races as fantasy experts we hate. Because the likelihood of our original standards and expected outcomes become extremely low. The five best cars didn't even finish on the lead lap! Anyhow it is what is , we cannot predict what we don't know.
This week we head to another short track in Richmond. The most similar track is Phoenix. They share a lot of the same characterizes , despite one being larger than the other. We will use stats from the past 4 Richmond races to determine who we should consider this week. Also we will look at Phoenix from earlier this season even though Phoenix was just reconfigured few years ago.
We could also look at Martinsville , but I always have consider Martinsville to be a completely different animal! It probably wouldn't hurt to refer back it to though.
1-Jamie Mac: Jamie Mac continues to have a great season despite having bad luck at Bristol while running 5th and eventually finishing 14th. Jamie is someone who should be heavily on your radar! Over the past 4 Richmond races ,JMac have compiled 11.8 average finish , 10.5 average start , 8.5 average running position , 6 laps led and 99.9 driver rating. Amazing stats and they should be much much better! In 2013 , he finished 26th. If I remember right he had a unscheduled pit stop late in the event while running inside the top 10. I could be wrong. Since then , Jamie have wheeled off three straight finishes of 13th or better. Including 2 of those 3 races ending in 4th place. Unfortunately they both been in the fall not spring. JMac actually been incredibly consistent since spring 2010! Over that 10 race span , he have 8 finishes inside the top 20. Including 5 of his past 7 ending inside the top 14.
2-Brad Keselowski: People may back away from the Penske cars this week as they both disappointed last week at Bristol. Fine by me! Over the past 4 Richmond races , 13.8 average finish , 7.3 average start , 6.0 average running position , 639 and 117.1 driver rating. His 639 laps led immediately jumps out , right? He actually led over half of those laps last fall at Richmond. Last fall he led a staggering 383 of 400 while leading in single major category. In that race race he started 1st , finished 1st , 1.0 average running position (race-high) , 383 laps led (race-high) , and 149.8 driver rating (race-high). He also finished 4th in the spring last season. Even though he probably should have won that race too. In that race he started 2nd , finished 4th , held 3.0 average running position (race-high) , 114 laps led (2nd-best) , and 128.5 driver rating (2nd-best). I believe Kenseth held him up which ultimately cost him a potential race win. At Phoenix earlier this season , Keselowski finished 6th.
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon is coming off his best performance of the entire season and now have two more opportunities to keep the momentum going at Richmond and Talladega. I feel like Dillon is more of a shorter track racer than a Intermediate track guy. He wasn't super impressive on shorter flat last season , but he consistency improved minus Phoenix. Last season he had finishes of 27th and 20th. Nothing special , but I expect another improvement this weekend from him. At Phoenix he finished 15th and posted 81.8 driver rating. If he can finish from 15th-18th I think it would be a win for Dillon. At this point in his career , he is trying to log laps and make improvements in every start. This season he definitely have taken the next step in running consistency in the top 20 instead of top 25. Little by little, he is getting closer to that top 15.
4-Kevin Harvick: A lot of people automatically assume if Harvick dominated at Phoenix , then same apply for Richmond. While these tracks are similar , I think a lot of Harvick dominance have to do with Phoenix newly reconfigured track surface than anything. Even though , Harvick been a machine here too! In 28 career starts , Harvick have a 11.0 average finish , 17 Top 10s and 3 wins. Including 5 straight finishes of 11th or better. 2 Of those efforts have ended inside the top 5. Harvick also have 2 wins at Richmond in his past 7 starts. Over his past 4 Richmond starts , Harvick have compiled 7.0 average finish , 10.8 average start , 7.3 average running position , 43 laps led and 107.5 driver rating. Awesome stats , but it nothing compared to his Phoenix record in that same span. However I believe Harvick scores his 4th win at Richmond on Saturday night.
5-Kasey Kahne: I don't call Kasey Kahne the most inconsistent driver in the game for nothing! His bad luck is like herpes almost impossible to get rid of! I don't like Kahne much this week to be completely honest. He never been terrible here nor have he been great. Always just good enough to have some degree of relevancy. Over his past 4 Richmond races , Kahne have compiled 16.5 average finish , 11.8 average start , 15.3 average running position , 0 laps led and 82.1 driver rating. Since joining HMS , Kahne have only 1 Top 10 in 6 starts and that was his debut with the organization. His past 5 starts have ended in 12th - 21st place range. At Phoenix , Kahne finished 4th. But never truly contended for a top 5 until late in the event. They struggled a lot early on.
10-Danica Patrick: Danica Patrick is sizzling! In the offseason I said I needed to see her take the next step and boy did she ever! 3 Straight Top 16s with 2 Top 10s in that span. The big question is can she keep the ball rolling? 3 Of her 4 career races have been relatively poor overall! However , Danica best race was last fall 16th place run. I think it difficult to judge Danica on any given week because of her inflated stats from her first two seasons. Especially first her rookie season. Earlier this season she finished 26th at Phoenix. Even though I believe she was got damaged which derailed her potential finish in that race.
11-Denny Hamlin: There a lot of questions surrounding Denny Hamlin right now. Will he be behind the wheel at Richmond? Or will Erik Jones? I am gonna assume Hamlin will be back because he looked fine to me in that rain delay. His career stats are really good here too! In 17 career starts, Hamlin have an 10.4 average finish and 2 wins. Along with 2 wins , he also have 9 Top 10s and 14 Top 20s. Only 1 other active driver have led more laps at Richmond than Denny's 1389 laps led. That driver would be Jeff Gordon (1637) in 44 starts. Unfortunately his past 3 races have ended in 21st or 22nd with two of those races ending in least one lap down. Including only 15.3 average running position and 77.9 driver rating. JGR short track program seems to back to where it was few years ago. Which makes Hamlin very relevant if he races on Saturday.
15-Clint Bowyer: Honestly Bowyer doesn't exactly scream roster me , but he have proven that he is useable on shorter tracks this season. With Top 15s at Martinsville and Bristol. And his Richmond record since joining MWR been very good! In 6 races , he have finished 4 of those inside the top 10. Honestly there were only one bad race (performance wise) in Spring of 2014. He had a suspension problem I because , which led to an 43rd-place finish. His 25th place finish in 2013 was because of the infamous "spin" right before the chase started! Historically speaking , Bowyer been very good. In 18 career starts , Bowyer have an 11.0 average finish and 10 Top 10s with 2 wins. Last one coming in 2012. More encouraging news? 3 of his past 5 starts have ended in 3rd or better!
16-Greg Biffle: Biff have been a huge disappointment the past few years and its seems that not gonna change anytime soon. If he cannot competitively run at Bristol , then I think it time to stick a fork into him. The problem is there no leadership at RFR. Biff needs another veteran teammate to lean on. Like he did a lot with Matt Kenseth. For Richmond I expect at best an top 15 run from him. More likely he will be an top 20 option with limited upside. 4 Of his past 5 Richmond starts have ended in the top 20. Including both races in 2014. Honestly Richmond never been a great track for Greg. He always been inconsistent with his finishes but had a lot of upside. However, he lately have become much more consistent and predictable. Unfortunately his upside have diminished as well. At Phoenix ,Greg finished 27th and never really contended for a top 20 either.
18-David Ragan: Two significant events occurred at Bristol! First Erik Jones took command of the No.11 Toyota after a rain delay and second David Ragan finished 41st after wrecking. Those two things tell me Ragan days are numbered in the 18 car. The word on the street is Ragan have 2 races left before returning to the 34 car. I think he is a must have in Yahoo Fantasy Racing! Without question now , especially since it pretty much set in stone regarding Ragan future. Something most of us suspected from the very beginning. Expect another top 20 type night on Saturday from the 18 car.
19-Carl Edwards: It been extremely difficult to pinpoint where to use Edwards! The performance been there , but the results haven't. Richmond is a great track for Carl , but I still don't trust Carl. In 21 career races , Edwards have an 13.9 average finish and 11 Top 10s with 1 win. Over his past 4 Richmond races , Edwards have compiled 9.5 average finish , 20.0 average start , 14.5 average running position , 46 laps led and 91.9 driver rating. At Phoenix , Edwards finished 13th. But he was much better than that. Expect another top 10 run from Edwards , but weather he finishes there is questionable.
20-Matt Kenseth: JGR short track program been unbelievably this season! 2 wins in 2 races , and that impressive. Maybe we should start taking notice of that? Kenseth is fresh off a win at Bristol and now looking to go back-to-back. He will get overlooked and that a fact! He doesn't have any impressive numbers from career point of view. In 30 career starts , Matt have an 16.3 average finish and 13 Top 10s with 1 win. Over his past 4 races at Richmond , Matt have compiled 14.5 average finish , 8.5 average start , 13.0 average running position , 180 laps led and 102.9 driver rating. Great stats , but that with his 41st place finish from last fall. Minus that race , since 2013 (3 races) he have complied 6.0 average start (2nd-best) , 6.0 average finish (2nd-best) , 6.0 average running position (series-best) , 180 laps led and 113.1 driver rating (Series-best). Last spring he started 12th , finished 5th , led 35 laps , had 9.0 average running position and 102.3 driver rating. I think JGR is way better this year than they were last season at this point.
22-Joey Logano: Logano had a tough race at Bristol , but Richmond is a good place to get back on track. Over his past 4 Richmond starts , Logano have compiled 8.0 average finish , 9.3 average start , 11.0 average running position , 46 laps led and 99.4 driver rating. He was very good last season at the 0.75 mile racetrack. He compiled 3.5 average finish , 11.0 average start , 5.0 average running position , 46 laps led and 116.4 driver rating. He wasn't quite as good as teammate Keselowski , but he undoubtedly a contender. Don't expect anything to change on Saturday night.
24-Jeff Gordon: I hinted toward Gordon would get back on track last week and he did at Bristol. I think he will capitalize this week at Richmond. He almost won this race last season , but had to settle for 2nd to Logano. Over past 4 Richmond races , Gordon have compiled 5.8 average finish , 7.8 average start , 8.8 average running position , 222 laps led and 110.2 driver rating. 3 Of his past 5 races at Richmond have ended in 2nd place. His other two been 8th and 11th. In fact 12 of his past 16 races at Richmond have ended in 10th or better. Gordon was competitively running inside the top 5 at Phoenix until a late restart cost him. Ironically a speeding penalty cost Gordon a win at Martinsville. Bad luck been his flaw.
27-Paul Menard: Richmond never been a great track for Menard and honestly that isn't very surprising. He more of a intermediate track specialist than anything. Cannot really recommend Menard this week because his only decent performance was in 2013 where he finished 5th. Over his past 4 Richmond races , Menard have compiled 15.0 average finish , 18.5 average start , 18.5 average running position , 3 laps led and 74.1 driver rating. Even though 2 of his past 3 spring races have ended in 13th. Overall there much better options to consider!
31-Ryan Newman: Not gonna spend a lot of time on Newman, since he doesn't hold a lot of value at this point in most formats. Richmond is a great track for Newman. In 26 career starts , He have an 11.2 average finish and 16 Top 10s with 1 win. Last season he compiled 8.5 average finish , 15.5 average start , 9.0 average running position , 0 laps led and 100.3 driver rating. Overall it tough to use Newman in most format because his lack of upside and/or value.
41-Kurt Busch: Busch have a serious problem finishing races and it pretty obvious now. At Bristol I thought he was gonna win. After smashing into Edwards that was an afterthought! I like Busch , but I don't love him. To me , Busch need to show some consistency in his performance/finish. Last season he compiled 15.0 average start , 15.0 average finish , 14.0 average running position , 0 laps led and 85.7 driver rating. Last fall he finished 7th. Over his past 4 Richmond races , Busch have compiled 10.3 average finish , 11.5 average start , 9.0 average running position , 109 laps led and 103.4 driver rating. He should contend for least another top 10 on Saturday.
42-Kyle Larson: At Bristol Larson looked like the guy we thought he was! I thought he was going to win , until he had to pit. Last season he was very good here as was teammate Jamie Mac. Last season he compiled 13.5 average finish , 4.5 average start , 16.0 average running position , 0 laps led and 79.1 driver rating. At Phoenix he finished 10th. In that race he pretty much was exactly that. I think Larson about to get hot and yes I know I been saying that for weeks. But talented drivers eventually break loose , even if the equipment isn't elite.
48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson is surprisingly is a 3-time winner despite only 9 Top 10s and 6 Top 5s in 26 career starts. What really odd about Johnson track record is he won 3 of 4 races in 2007 and 2008 seasons. Since in 12 races , Johnson only have 4 Top 10s with one top 5 finish. It like he hit his peak way too soon at Richmond and now on a downfall. Then again the competition have significantly improved on short tracks too in the past 7 seasons. Thinking about it , Johnson never been a elite short track racer outside of Martinsville. I would save Johnson for another week.
78-Martin Truex Jr: MTjr Top 10 streak ended at 7 last week. He will look to start a new at Bristol. To be completely honest , the 78 looks much more effective on intermediate tracks this season rather than short tracks. Hard to see Truex knocking off another top 10 this week. I wouldn't rule it out , but the probability of it suggests its unlikely. Overall it hard to predict Truex's fantasy value and outcome due to lack relevant season data and past track data with the 78. Remember Truex only in his 2nd year with this team.
88-Dale Jr: Dale always seems to do well here! Last season he had finishes of 12th and 7th , but never contended in either race. He actually have finished 13th or better in 4 straight Richmond races. He been consistent , but never heavily contended in any of those races. He did lead 7 laps in this race last season , but wasn't one of the true contenders though. Gordon and the Penske cars had control more often than not. He struggled this season to finish races on lead lap. Ironically they all been on 1 mile in length or shorter.
***All stats from DriverAverages & FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
What a Bristol race! Those are the races as fantasy experts we hate. Because the likelihood of our original standards and expected outcomes become extremely low. The five best cars didn't even finish on the lead lap! Anyhow it is what is , we cannot predict what we don't know.
This week we head to another short track in Richmond. The most similar track is Phoenix. They share a lot of the same characterizes , despite one being larger than the other. We will use stats from the past 4 Richmond races to determine who we should consider this week. Also we will look at Phoenix from earlier this season even though Phoenix was just reconfigured few years ago.
We could also look at Martinsville , but I always have consider Martinsville to be a completely different animal! It probably wouldn't hurt to refer back it to though.
1-Jamie Mac: Jamie Mac continues to have a great season despite having bad luck at Bristol while running 5th and eventually finishing 14th. Jamie is someone who should be heavily on your radar! Over the past 4 Richmond races ,JMac have compiled 11.8 average finish , 10.5 average start , 8.5 average running position , 6 laps led and 99.9 driver rating. Amazing stats and they should be much much better! In 2013 , he finished 26th. If I remember right he had a unscheduled pit stop late in the event while running inside the top 10. I could be wrong. Since then , Jamie have wheeled off three straight finishes of 13th or better. Including 2 of those 3 races ending in 4th place. Unfortunately they both been in the fall not spring. JMac actually been incredibly consistent since spring 2010! Over that 10 race span , he have 8 finishes inside the top 20. Including 5 of his past 7 ending inside the top 14.
2-Brad Keselowski: People may back away from the Penske cars this week as they both disappointed last week at Bristol. Fine by me! Over the past 4 Richmond races , 13.8 average finish , 7.3 average start , 6.0 average running position , 639 and 117.1 driver rating. His 639 laps led immediately jumps out , right? He actually led over half of those laps last fall at Richmond. Last fall he led a staggering 383 of 400 while leading in single major category. In that race race he started 1st , finished 1st , 1.0 average running position (race-high) , 383 laps led (race-high) , and 149.8 driver rating (race-high). He also finished 4th in the spring last season. Even though he probably should have won that race too. In that race he started 2nd , finished 4th , held 3.0 average running position (race-high) , 114 laps led (2nd-best) , and 128.5 driver rating (2nd-best). I believe Kenseth held him up which ultimately cost him a potential race win. At Phoenix earlier this season , Keselowski finished 6th.
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon is coming off his best performance of the entire season and now have two more opportunities to keep the momentum going at Richmond and Talladega. I feel like Dillon is more of a shorter track racer than a Intermediate track guy. He wasn't super impressive on shorter flat last season , but he consistency improved minus Phoenix. Last season he had finishes of 27th and 20th. Nothing special , but I expect another improvement this weekend from him. At Phoenix he finished 15th and posted 81.8 driver rating. If he can finish from 15th-18th I think it would be a win for Dillon. At this point in his career , he is trying to log laps and make improvements in every start. This season he definitely have taken the next step in running consistency in the top 20 instead of top 25. Little by little, he is getting closer to that top 15.
4-Kevin Harvick: A lot of people automatically assume if Harvick dominated at Phoenix , then same apply for Richmond. While these tracks are similar , I think a lot of Harvick dominance have to do with Phoenix newly reconfigured track surface than anything. Even though , Harvick been a machine here too! In 28 career starts , Harvick have a 11.0 average finish , 17 Top 10s and 3 wins. Including 5 straight finishes of 11th or better. 2 Of those efforts have ended inside the top 5. Harvick also have 2 wins at Richmond in his past 7 starts. Over his past 4 Richmond starts , Harvick have compiled 7.0 average finish , 10.8 average start , 7.3 average running position , 43 laps led and 107.5 driver rating. Awesome stats , but it nothing compared to his Phoenix record in that same span. However I believe Harvick scores his 4th win at Richmond on Saturday night.
5-Kasey Kahne: I don't call Kasey Kahne the most inconsistent driver in the game for nothing! His bad luck is like herpes almost impossible to get rid of! I don't like Kahne much this week to be completely honest. He never been terrible here nor have he been great. Always just good enough to have some degree of relevancy. Over his past 4 Richmond races , Kahne have compiled 16.5 average finish , 11.8 average start , 15.3 average running position , 0 laps led and 82.1 driver rating. Since joining HMS , Kahne have only 1 Top 10 in 6 starts and that was his debut with the organization. His past 5 starts have ended in 12th - 21st place range. At Phoenix , Kahne finished 4th. But never truly contended for a top 5 until late in the event. They struggled a lot early on.
10-Danica Patrick: Danica Patrick is sizzling! In the offseason I said I needed to see her take the next step and boy did she ever! 3 Straight Top 16s with 2 Top 10s in that span. The big question is can she keep the ball rolling? 3 Of her 4 career races have been relatively poor overall! However , Danica best race was last fall 16th place run. I think it difficult to judge Danica on any given week because of her inflated stats from her first two seasons. Especially first her rookie season. Earlier this season she finished 26th at Phoenix. Even though I believe she was got damaged which derailed her potential finish in that race.
11-Denny Hamlin: There a lot of questions surrounding Denny Hamlin right now. Will he be behind the wheel at Richmond? Or will Erik Jones? I am gonna assume Hamlin will be back because he looked fine to me in that rain delay. His career stats are really good here too! In 17 career starts, Hamlin have an 10.4 average finish and 2 wins. Along with 2 wins , he also have 9 Top 10s and 14 Top 20s. Only 1 other active driver have led more laps at Richmond than Denny's 1389 laps led. That driver would be Jeff Gordon (1637) in 44 starts. Unfortunately his past 3 races have ended in 21st or 22nd with two of those races ending in least one lap down. Including only 15.3 average running position and 77.9 driver rating. JGR short track program seems to back to where it was few years ago. Which makes Hamlin very relevant if he races on Saturday.
15-Clint Bowyer: Honestly Bowyer doesn't exactly scream roster me , but he have proven that he is useable on shorter tracks this season. With Top 15s at Martinsville and Bristol. And his Richmond record since joining MWR been very good! In 6 races , he have finished 4 of those inside the top 10. Honestly there were only one bad race (performance wise) in Spring of 2014. He had a suspension problem I because , which led to an 43rd-place finish. His 25th place finish in 2013 was because of the infamous "spin" right before the chase started! Historically speaking , Bowyer been very good. In 18 career starts , Bowyer have an 11.0 average finish and 10 Top 10s with 2 wins. Last one coming in 2012. More encouraging news? 3 of his past 5 starts have ended in 3rd or better!
16-Greg Biffle: Biff have been a huge disappointment the past few years and its seems that not gonna change anytime soon. If he cannot competitively run at Bristol , then I think it time to stick a fork into him. The problem is there no leadership at RFR. Biff needs another veteran teammate to lean on. Like he did a lot with Matt Kenseth. For Richmond I expect at best an top 15 run from him. More likely he will be an top 20 option with limited upside. 4 Of his past 5 Richmond starts have ended in the top 20. Including both races in 2014. Honestly Richmond never been a great track for Greg. He always been inconsistent with his finishes but had a lot of upside. However, he lately have become much more consistent and predictable. Unfortunately his upside have diminished as well. At Phoenix ,Greg finished 27th and never really contended for a top 20 either.
18-David Ragan: Two significant events occurred at Bristol! First Erik Jones took command of the No.11 Toyota after a rain delay and second David Ragan finished 41st after wrecking. Those two things tell me Ragan days are numbered in the 18 car. The word on the street is Ragan have 2 races left before returning to the 34 car. I think he is a must have in Yahoo Fantasy Racing! Without question now , especially since it pretty much set in stone regarding Ragan future. Something most of us suspected from the very beginning. Expect another top 20 type night on Saturday from the 18 car.
19-Carl Edwards: It been extremely difficult to pinpoint where to use Edwards! The performance been there , but the results haven't. Richmond is a great track for Carl , but I still don't trust Carl. In 21 career races , Edwards have an 13.9 average finish and 11 Top 10s with 1 win. Over his past 4 Richmond races , Edwards have compiled 9.5 average finish , 20.0 average start , 14.5 average running position , 46 laps led and 91.9 driver rating. At Phoenix , Edwards finished 13th. But he was much better than that. Expect another top 10 run from Edwards , but weather he finishes there is questionable.
20-Matt Kenseth: JGR short track program been unbelievably this season! 2 wins in 2 races , and that impressive. Maybe we should start taking notice of that? Kenseth is fresh off a win at Bristol and now looking to go back-to-back. He will get overlooked and that a fact! He doesn't have any impressive numbers from career point of view. In 30 career starts , Matt have an 16.3 average finish and 13 Top 10s with 1 win. Over his past 4 races at Richmond , Matt have compiled 14.5 average finish , 8.5 average start , 13.0 average running position , 180 laps led and 102.9 driver rating. Great stats , but that with his 41st place finish from last fall. Minus that race , since 2013 (3 races) he have complied 6.0 average start (2nd-best) , 6.0 average finish (2nd-best) , 6.0 average running position (series-best) , 180 laps led and 113.1 driver rating (Series-best). Last spring he started 12th , finished 5th , led 35 laps , had 9.0 average running position and 102.3 driver rating. I think JGR is way better this year than they were last season at this point.
22-Joey Logano: Logano had a tough race at Bristol , but Richmond is a good place to get back on track. Over his past 4 Richmond starts , Logano have compiled 8.0 average finish , 9.3 average start , 11.0 average running position , 46 laps led and 99.4 driver rating. He was very good last season at the 0.75 mile racetrack. He compiled 3.5 average finish , 11.0 average start , 5.0 average running position , 46 laps led and 116.4 driver rating. He wasn't quite as good as teammate Keselowski , but he undoubtedly a contender. Don't expect anything to change on Saturday night.
24-Jeff Gordon: I hinted toward Gordon would get back on track last week and he did at Bristol. I think he will capitalize this week at Richmond. He almost won this race last season , but had to settle for 2nd to Logano. Over past 4 Richmond races , Gordon have compiled 5.8 average finish , 7.8 average start , 8.8 average running position , 222 laps led and 110.2 driver rating. 3 Of his past 5 races at Richmond have ended in 2nd place. His other two been 8th and 11th. In fact 12 of his past 16 races at Richmond have ended in 10th or better. Gordon was competitively running inside the top 5 at Phoenix until a late restart cost him. Ironically a speeding penalty cost Gordon a win at Martinsville. Bad luck been his flaw.
27-Paul Menard: Richmond never been a great track for Menard and honestly that isn't very surprising. He more of a intermediate track specialist than anything. Cannot really recommend Menard this week because his only decent performance was in 2013 where he finished 5th. Over his past 4 Richmond races , Menard have compiled 15.0 average finish , 18.5 average start , 18.5 average running position , 3 laps led and 74.1 driver rating. Even though 2 of his past 3 spring races have ended in 13th. Overall there much better options to consider!
31-Ryan Newman: Not gonna spend a lot of time on Newman, since he doesn't hold a lot of value at this point in most formats. Richmond is a great track for Newman. In 26 career starts , He have an 11.2 average finish and 16 Top 10s with 1 win. Last season he compiled 8.5 average finish , 15.5 average start , 9.0 average running position , 0 laps led and 100.3 driver rating. Overall it tough to use Newman in most format because his lack of upside and/or value.
41-Kurt Busch: Busch have a serious problem finishing races and it pretty obvious now. At Bristol I thought he was gonna win. After smashing into Edwards that was an afterthought! I like Busch , but I don't love him. To me , Busch need to show some consistency in his performance/finish. Last season he compiled 15.0 average start , 15.0 average finish , 14.0 average running position , 0 laps led and 85.7 driver rating. Last fall he finished 7th. Over his past 4 Richmond races , Busch have compiled 10.3 average finish , 11.5 average start , 9.0 average running position , 109 laps led and 103.4 driver rating. He should contend for least another top 10 on Saturday.
42-Kyle Larson: At Bristol Larson looked like the guy we thought he was! I thought he was going to win , until he had to pit. Last season he was very good here as was teammate Jamie Mac. Last season he compiled 13.5 average finish , 4.5 average start , 16.0 average running position , 0 laps led and 79.1 driver rating. At Phoenix he finished 10th. In that race he pretty much was exactly that. I think Larson about to get hot and yes I know I been saying that for weeks. But talented drivers eventually break loose , even if the equipment isn't elite.
48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson is surprisingly is a 3-time winner despite only 9 Top 10s and 6 Top 5s in 26 career starts. What really odd about Johnson track record is he won 3 of 4 races in 2007 and 2008 seasons. Since in 12 races , Johnson only have 4 Top 10s with one top 5 finish. It like he hit his peak way too soon at Richmond and now on a downfall. Then again the competition have significantly improved on short tracks too in the past 7 seasons. Thinking about it , Johnson never been a elite short track racer outside of Martinsville. I would save Johnson for another week.
78-Martin Truex Jr: MTjr Top 10 streak ended at 7 last week. He will look to start a new at Bristol. To be completely honest , the 78 looks much more effective on intermediate tracks this season rather than short tracks. Hard to see Truex knocking off another top 10 this week. I wouldn't rule it out , but the probability of it suggests its unlikely. Overall it hard to predict Truex's fantasy value and outcome due to lack relevant season data and past track data with the 78. Remember Truex only in his 2nd year with this team.
88-Dale Jr: Dale always seems to do well here! Last season he had finishes of 12th and 7th , but never contended in either race. He actually have finished 13th or better in 4 straight Richmond races. He been consistent , but never heavily contended in any of those races. He did lead 7 laps in this race last season , but wasn't one of the true contenders though. Gordon and the Penske cars had control more often than not. He struggled this season to finish races on lead lap. Ironically they all been on 1 mile in length or shorter.
***All stats from DriverAverages & FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
Sunday, April 19, 2015
Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (BMS)
Welcome to TimersSports
Happy Raceday. Setting your fantasy team can be difficult ,
especially with everything being factored in. Below our group of
experts give their thoughts on today race (Including their final
picks).
Kate Roswell (@CrazyKateNascar):
- Weather will heavily change today's race.
-I expect the winner at Bristol to be from the top 12 starters. Past 8 winners have came from the top dozen.
-Pit selection will play a huge role into today's race.
-My big question is how will today's weather effect the cars. And how many delays will there be?
Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):
- I hate to be the messager of bad news , but I have a feeling today's race will be full of wrecks
-Watch out for Jamie McMurray! I thought he was really good close to an top 10 option.
- My two busts this week were Kyle Larson & Jimmie Johnson! I stand by them after practice & qualifying.
- All 4 JGR cars will place inside the top 10 is my bold prediction.
Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):
-Kasey Kahne looked really good all weekend. He gonna win very soon and it may be today.
-Will the weather cooperate? That the big question , isn't it? I hope it does.
-I don't love Edwards like everyone as it seems. Something tell me he will disappoint. Just don't see him staying up front. Didn't show me the necessary speed in final practice.
-I think Paul Mwnard get back on track after back-to-back poor finishes!
Yahoo Lineups-
Kate's Lineup: 2,5,19,18
Garry's Lineup: 20,5,1,18
Matt's Lineup: 22,5,27,18
Sleeper Pick-
Kate's Pick: Ricky Stenhouse Jr
Garry's Pick: Paul Menard
Matt's Pick: Jamie Mac
Race Winner-
Kate's Pick: Kevin Harvick
Garry's Pick: Matt Kenseth
Matt's Pick: Kasey Kahne
Happy Raceday. Setting your fantasy team can be difficult ,
especially with everything being factored in. Below our group of
experts give their thoughts on today race (Including their final
picks).
Kate Roswell (@CrazyKateNascar):
- Weather will heavily change today's race.
-I expect the winner at Bristol to be from the top 12 starters. Past 8 winners have came from the top dozen.
-Pit selection will play a huge role into today's race.
-My big question is how will today's weather effect the cars. And how many delays will there be?
Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):
- I hate to be the messager of bad news , but I have a feeling today's race will be full of wrecks
-Watch out for Jamie McMurray! I thought he was really good close to an top 10 option.
- My two busts this week were Kyle Larson & Jimmie Johnson! I stand by them after practice & qualifying.
- All 4 JGR cars will place inside the top 10 is my bold prediction.
Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):
-Kasey Kahne looked really good all weekend. He gonna win very soon and it may be today.
-Will the weather cooperate? That the big question , isn't it? I hope it does.
-I don't love Edwards like everyone as it seems. Something tell me he will disappoint. Just don't see him staying up front. Didn't show me the necessary speed in final practice.
-I think Paul Mwnard get back on track after back-to-back poor finishes!
Yahoo Lineups-
Kate's Lineup: 2,5,19,18
Garry's Lineup: 20,5,1,18
Matt's Lineup: 22,5,27,18
Sleeper Pick-
Kate's Pick: Ricky Stenhouse Jr
Garry's Pick: Paul Menard
Matt's Pick: Jamie Mac
Race Winner-
Kate's Pick: Kevin Harvick
Garry's Pick: Matt Kenseth
Matt's Pick: Kasey Kahne
Saturday, April 18, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Picks (Bristol)
Welcome to TimersSports
We head to Bristol this week! Personally I see this as a challenging week to determine potential decent fantasy picks! Why? Short tracks have a known history of being difficult on us fantasy players. Remember Martinsville? A lot of us came out battered and bloody. Last season several big names took a beating at the bullring. Such as Kevin Harvick , Dale Jr , Kasey Kahne , Denny Hamlin , etc. You get the point. Let jump into today's picks!
Yahoo -
A:
Start - Joey Logano (9)
Bench - Brad Keselowski (8)
Reason: Honestly they're both great options. Cannot go wrong either way , but I decided with Logano. Firstly Logano is the most recent winner at BMS. Secondly Logano was a little bit better on the longer runs. Lastly he dominated the NXS race. Its irreverent to Sunday race , but having 300 extra laps on track could make a big different in the little things.
B:
Start - Kasey Kahne (7) & Paul Menard (9)
Bench - Carl Edwards (8) , Kurt Busch (6)
Reason: Four great options with top 10 potential. May be my toughest decision of the season thus far. Ended up going with Kahne and Menard. Kinda ironic since I almost went with this combo last week. Menard looked solid overall and have shown a lot consistency at BMS. Kahne over Edwards/Busch was tough. In the end , I feel more comfortable with Kahne over Edwards. Busch was just as good , but I have more allocations with Kahne.
C:
Start - David Ragan (5)
Bench - Danica Patrick (9)
Reason: Danica looked completely lost all weekend! Had the feeling she would be compared to Ragan. Don't get fancy! Start David Ragan , okay? Good!
Fantasy Live - 4,41,34,46,5
Sleeper Pick - Jamie McMurray
Race Winner - Kasey Kahne
Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com
Twitter - @MattAleza
We head to Bristol this week! Personally I see this as a challenging week to determine potential decent fantasy picks! Why? Short tracks have a known history of being difficult on us fantasy players. Remember Martinsville? A lot of us came out battered and bloody. Last season several big names took a beating at the bullring. Such as Kevin Harvick , Dale Jr , Kasey Kahne , Denny Hamlin , etc. You get the point. Let jump into today's picks!
Yahoo -
A:
Start - Joey Logano (9)
Bench - Brad Keselowski (8)
Reason: Honestly they're both great options. Cannot go wrong either way , but I decided with Logano. Firstly Logano is the most recent winner at BMS. Secondly Logano was a little bit better on the longer runs. Lastly he dominated the NXS race. Its irreverent to Sunday race , but having 300 extra laps on track could make a big different in the little things.
B:
Start - Kasey Kahne (7) & Paul Menard (9)
Bench - Carl Edwards (8) , Kurt Busch (6)
Reason: Four great options with top 10 potential. May be my toughest decision of the season thus far. Ended up going with Kahne and Menard. Kinda ironic since I almost went with this combo last week. Menard looked solid overall and have shown a lot consistency at BMS. Kahne over Edwards/Busch was tough. In the end , I feel more comfortable with Kahne over Edwards. Busch was just as good , but I have more allocations with Kahne.
C:
Start - David Ragan (5)
Bench - Danica Patrick (9)
Reason: Danica looked completely lost all weekend! Had the feeling she would be compared to Ragan. Don't get fancy! Start David Ragan , okay? Good!
Fantasy Live - 4,41,34,46,5
Sleeper Pick - Jamie McMurray
Race Winner - Kasey Kahne
Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com
Twitter - @MattAleza
Fantasy Nascar Update (Bristol)
Welcome to TimersSports
Fantasy Update -
A:
1. Joey Logano - Logano starts 6th and have a great car for Bristol. He showed excellent promise in every session this weekend and probably should've had the pole. Not sure what happened in the final round of qualifying , but he lay down the fastest lap in the first two rounds. I really like that Logano racing in the NXS race on Saturday. While the track will be dramatically different on Sunday after the rain , I don't think it hurt to have all laps under your belt the day before. I have a strong feeling Logano wins.
My Overall Ranking: 1st
2. Brad Keselowski - Keselowski will start on the front row. He seems to have a very good Ford for this weekend. I haven't paid much attention to him , but I wouldn't be shocked to see him in victory lane. The 2 crew always seems to give Brad a fast piece at Bristol. I don't expect this weekend to be any different. The only long run I watched from him , I thought he looked very strong. Which is a surprise to nobody. I expect another top 5 run from Brad.
My Overall Ranking: 2nd
3. Kevin Harvick - Harvick to no shock looked solid in practice. I thought he looked really good in both sessions on Saturday and qualified 4th. Last season he was really strong , but never got the finishes he deserved overall. I think he finishes in the top 3. Honestly I have a feeling he may fade late in the race. That my only concern. Kinda like at Martinsville.
My Overall Ranking: 3rd
4. Matt Kenseth - Kenseth starts from the pole and will be a heavy contender at Bristol. Kenseth didn't put down the fastest lap , but he that so Matt Kenseth. He rarely shows his full hand in practice. I like that Kenseth starts up front! In fact , I think its critical to start up front. There actually several benefits from starting from the pole. Such as pit selection and track position. Two things which will likely be key at end of the race. I love Matt's past performance both from JGR and career standpoint. In 30 career starts , Matt have 4 career wins and 12.2 average finish. He have dominated since joining JGR. He have led more laps than any other driver. Including 250 laps in past two spring races.
My Overall Ranking: 6th
5. Denny Hamlin - Hamlin have looked just as good as his JGR teammates! He starts from 5th and should contend for a win this weekend. However his recent track record will likely scare most away from picking him. Only one top 10 finish over his past 4 starts. On Saturday I thought Hamlin had a top 5 to top 10 car and decent on the longer runs. The JGR cars seems to be hooked up once again at the short tracks. Few weeks ago , they placed 3 Toyotas in the top 5 at Martinsville. I see him finishing from 4th - 7th place range.
My Overall Ranking: 7th
Other Options - Dale Jr (8th) , Gordon (10th) , Johnson (12th) and Newman (13th)
B:
1. Kasey Kahne - Kahne is the top option in this tier in my opinion. He starts from inside the top 10 and looked like the best HMS car. That been a common theme this season too! Kahne overall was pretty pleased with his Chevrolet in both practices. This comes to no surprise at all. He been arguably the best driver since the reconfiguration after March 2012 spring's race. I really like how Kahne have rebounded this season thus far. Reminds me a lot of his 2013 campaign , but just more balanced in his finishes. I say he finishes in or near the top 5 , if he doesn't have any problems.
My Overall Ranking: 4th
2. Kurt Busch - Busch was bad fast in both practices on Saturday and starts inside the top 10! Both him and teammate Harvick looks like top 5 options without question. He been hit or miss lately here , and based off practice he very well could end in victory lane. He is a 5-time winner (last coming in 2006) and knocked off an top 10 last season. Its would be hard to sit him this week. Then again , when haven't he been fast?
My Overall Ranking: 5th
3. Carl Edwards - Edwards starts 3rd and looks like a top 10 option in my opinion. He looked decent in every session. I thought he was little better in the early morning temps. Still an top 10 play. I think Edwards about to go on a hot streak! Especially with Richmond , Kansas , Charlotte , Dover , Michigan and Sonoma coming up over the 8 races. Its a good time to ride Edwards. Also it doesn't hurt that JGR have a strong short track program which is always a positive in terms on fantasy value. I say he finishes inside the top 10 on Sunday.
My Overall Ranking: 9th
4. Jamie McMurray - JMac is my personal sleeper for this weekend's race. He starts inside the top 10 and potentially could finish there. Jamie actually have finished well all season long , but unfortunately not many have noticed. He was solid in both sessions and was impressive overall. I was expecting Larson to be the better CGR car in practice. But that wasn't the case. I think he is definitely worth a gamble! However remember Jamie have a knack for bad luck at the worst times. If he is running up front , then you should probably panic.
My Overall Ranking: 11th
5. Martin Truex Jr - I debated Larson or Truex for the 5th spot. I went Truex because of his momentum. Truthfully I wasn't overly impressive by Truex. While he wasn't terrible , I personally doubt he extend his streak to 8 straight Top 10s. He roll off from inside the top 15 and that where I pretty much see him finishing. His only saving grace is probably this is a short track. If a few big name get knocked out , then he may sneak away with another top 10. From a fantasy view , I would recommend to put him in the garage. Unless you have him a significant value price.
My Overall Ranking: 14th
6. Kyle Larson - Honestly I was expecting more out of Larson. Thus far he haven't shown me much of anything. He will roll off from 14th and probably finish around there. I never count this kid out. Few times this season , we have seen him struggle in practice. Followed it up by running competitively in the race. Not sure what to expect from Larson to be completely honest.
My Overall Ranking: 15th
Other options - Menard (17th) , Dinger (18th) , Dillon (19th) and Biffle (20th)
C:
1. David Ragan - Ragan actually looked really good this weekend! Did someone tell him about Erik Jones? That my theory. Over the past two races (Martinsville & Texas) , he have considerably pick up his performance. And he isn't looking to slow down anytime soon. David qualified 11th and posted solid laps in both practices on Saturday. I thought he was pretty good on the long runs. Not saying he will finish inside the top 10 , but he should definitely contend for another top 15.
My Overall Ranking: 16th
2. Justin Allgier - Allgier been the 2nd best option in this tier all weekend and I don't see that changing in the race. Honestly I think Allgier will do well , but realistically there a major gap between he and Ragan. A lot of that have to do quality of equipment level. I expect another top 25 out of justin.
My Overall Ranking: 22nd
3. Brett Moffitt - My sleeper in this tier is the driver of the #55 Toyota! He was vastly overlooked this week. I don't feel largely comfortable starting a rookie , but Brett have a successful short track background. He won't run in the top 10 or even top 15. But I believe he have more value and potential than Allgier. His upside alone makes him a worthy option. However I believe Ragan experience and quality of equipment will be too much for Brett to overcome. Expect an top 25 from Moffitt. Even though I wouldn't rule out a potential top 20. Unrealistic in my opinion though.
My Overall Ranking: 23rd
Other Option - Patrick (26th)
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
Fantasy Update -
A:
1. Joey Logano - Logano starts 6th and have a great car for Bristol. He showed excellent promise in every session this weekend and probably should've had the pole. Not sure what happened in the final round of qualifying , but he lay down the fastest lap in the first two rounds. I really like that Logano racing in the NXS race on Saturday. While the track will be dramatically different on Sunday after the rain , I don't think it hurt to have all laps under your belt the day before. I have a strong feeling Logano wins.
My Overall Ranking: 1st
2. Brad Keselowski - Keselowski will start on the front row. He seems to have a very good Ford for this weekend. I haven't paid much attention to him , but I wouldn't be shocked to see him in victory lane. The 2 crew always seems to give Brad a fast piece at Bristol. I don't expect this weekend to be any different. The only long run I watched from him , I thought he looked very strong. Which is a surprise to nobody. I expect another top 5 run from Brad.
My Overall Ranking: 2nd
3. Kevin Harvick - Harvick to no shock looked solid in practice. I thought he looked really good in both sessions on Saturday and qualified 4th. Last season he was really strong , but never got the finishes he deserved overall. I think he finishes in the top 3. Honestly I have a feeling he may fade late in the race. That my only concern. Kinda like at Martinsville.
My Overall Ranking: 3rd
4. Matt Kenseth - Kenseth starts from the pole and will be a heavy contender at Bristol. Kenseth didn't put down the fastest lap , but he that so Matt Kenseth. He rarely shows his full hand in practice. I like that Kenseth starts up front! In fact , I think its critical to start up front. There actually several benefits from starting from the pole. Such as pit selection and track position. Two things which will likely be key at end of the race. I love Matt's past performance both from JGR and career standpoint. In 30 career starts , Matt have 4 career wins and 12.2 average finish. He have dominated since joining JGR. He have led more laps than any other driver. Including 250 laps in past two spring races.
My Overall Ranking: 6th
5. Denny Hamlin - Hamlin have looked just as good as his JGR teammates! He starts from 5th and should contend for a win this weekend. However his recent track record will likely scare most away from picking him. Only one top 10 finish over his past 4 starts. On Saturday I thought Hamlin had a top 5 to top 10 car and decent on the longer runs. The JGR cars seems to be hooked up once again at the short tracks. Few weeks ago , they placed 3 Toyotas in the top 5 at Martinsville. I see him finishing from 4th - 7th place range.
My Overall Ranking: 7th
Other Options - Dale Jr (8th) , Gordon (10th) , Johnson (12th) and Newman (13th)
B:
1. Kasey Kahne - Kahne is the top option in this tier in my opinion. He starts from inside the top 10 and looked like the best HMS car. That been a common theme this season too! Kahne overall was pretty pleased with his Chevrolet in both practices. This comes to no surprise at all. He been arguably the best driver since the reconfiguration after March 2012 spring's race. I really like how Kahne have rebounded this season thus far. Reminds me a lot of his 2013 campaign , but just more balanced in his finishes. I say he finishes in or near the top 5 , if he doesn't have any problems.
My Overall Ranking: 4th
2. Kurt Busch - Busch was bad fast in both practices on Saturday and starts inside the top 10! Both him and teammate Harvick looks like top 5 options without question. He been hit or miss lately here , and based off practice he very well could end in victory lane. He is a 5-time winner (last coming in 2006) and knocked off an top 10 last season. Its would be hard to sit him this week. Then again , when haven't he been fast?
My Overall Ranking: 5th
3. Carl Edwards - Edwards starts 3rd and looks like a top 10 option in my opinion. He looked decent in every session. I thought he was little better in the early morning temps. Still an top 10 play. I think Edwards about to go on a hot streak! Especially with Richmond , Kansas , Charlotte , Dover , Michigan and Sonoma coming up over the 8 races. Its a good time to ride Edwards. Also it doesn't hurt that JGR have a strong short track program which is always a positive in terms on fantasy value. I say he finishes inside the top 10 on Sunday.
My Overall Ranking: 9th
4. Jamie McMurray - JMac is my personal sleeper for this weekend's race. He starts inside the top 10 and potentially could finish there. Jamie actually have finished well all season long , but unfortunately not many have noticed. He was solid in both sessions and was impressive overall. I was expecting Larson to be the better CGR car in practice. But that wasn't the case. I think he is definitely worth a gamble! However remember Jamie have a knack for bad luck at the worst times. If he is running up front , then you should probably panic.
My Overall Ranking: 11th
5. Martin Truex Jr - I debated Larson or Truex for the 5th spot. I went Truex because of his momentum. Truthfully I wasn't overly impressive by Truex. While he wasn't terrible , I personally doubt he extend his streak to 8 straight Top 10s. He roll off from inside the top 15 and that where I pretty much see him finishing. His only saving grace is probably this is a short track. If a few big name get knocked out , then he may sneak away with another top 10. From a fantasy view , I would recommend to put him in the garage. Unless you have him a significant value price.
My Overall Ranking: 14th
6. Kyle Larson - Honestly I was expecting more out of Larson. Thus far he haven't shown me much of anything. He will roll off from 14th and probably finish around there. I never count this kid out. Few times this season , we have seen him struggle in practice. Followed it up by running competitively in the race. Not sure what to expect from Larson to be completely honest.
My Overall Ranking: 15th
Other options - Menard (17th) , Dinger (18th) , Dillon (19th) and Biffle (20th)
C:
1. David Ragan - Ragan actually looked really good this weekend! Did someone tell him about Erik Jones? That my theory. Over the past two races (Martinsville & Texas) , he have considerably pick up his performance. And he isn't looking to slow down anytime soon. David qualified 11th and posted solid laps in both practices on Saturday. I thought he was pretty good on the long runs. Not saying he will finish inside the top 10 , but he should definitely contend for another top 15.
My Overall Ranking: 16th
2. Justin Allgier - Allgier been the 2nd best option in this tier all weekend and I don't see that changing in the race. Honestly I think Allgier will do well , but realistically there a major gap between he and Ragan. A lot of that have to do quality of equipment level. I expect another top 25 out of justin.
My Overall Ranking: 22nd
3. Brett Moffitt - My sleeper in this tier is the driver of the #55 Toyota! He was vastly overlooked this week. I don't feel largely comfortable starting a rookie , but Brett have a successful short track background. He won't run in the top 10 or even top 15. But I believe he have more value and potential than Allgier. His upside alone makes him a worthy option. However I believe Ragan experience and quality of equipment will be too much for Brett to overcome. Expect an top 25 from Moffitt. Even though I wouldn't rule out a potential top 20. Unrealistic in my opinion though.
My Overall Ranking: 23rd
Other Option - Patrick (26th)
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (Bristol)
Welcome to TimersSports
1. Joey Logano
2. Kevin Harvick
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Kurt Busch
6. Kasey Kahne
7. Carl Edwards
8. Denny Hamlin
9. Jeff Gordon
10. Dale Jr
11. Jimmie Johnson
12. Martin Truex Jr
13. Kyle Larson
14. Jamie McMurray
15. David Ragan
16. Tony Stewart
17. Paul Menard
18. Ryan Newman
19. Austin Dillon
20. AJ Dinger
21. Aric Almirola
22. Clint Bowyer
23. Danica Patrick
24. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
25. Greg Biffle
26. Justin Allgier
27. Brett Moffitt
28. Sam Hornish Jr
29. Casey Mears
29. Trevor Bayne
30. Michael Annett
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
1. Joey Logano
2. Kevin Harvick
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Kurt Busch
6. Kasey Kahne
7. Carl Edwards
8. Denny Hamlin
9. Jeff Gordon
10. Dale Jr
11. Jimmie Johnson
12. Martin Truex Jr
13. Kyle Larson
14. Jamie McMurray
15. David Ragan
16. Tony Stewart
17. Paul Menard
18. Ryan Newman
19. Austin Dillon
20. AJ Dinger
21. Aric Almirola
22. Clint Bowyer
23. Danica Patrick
24. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
25. Greg Biffle
26. Justin Allgier
27. Brett Moffitt
28. Sam Hornish Jr
29. Casey Mears
29. Trevor Bayne
30. Michael Annett
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Busts (Bristol)
Welcome to TimersSports
We are headed to Bristol this weekend! Short tracks in my opinion make or break our seasons! Its seems like everyone have a different strategy when selecting. Which usually depends on your league scoring and format setting. If you're near bottom of your league , then this is your opportunity to rebound! Usually Bristol is a wreckfest (or can be). Drivers will be side-by-side for 500 laps. I don't like the chances!
Sleepers -
Greg Biffle: There actually two RFR drivers who have shown potential at Bristol! The other one is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Surprisingly both ranked inside the top 10 in points scored over the previous two seasons. They have both logged around a 15.8 average running position and have done a good job of finishing the deal which is something I can live with. In general , I believe Greg is the better option. Biffle have finished inside the top 12 in the past 4 Bristol races dating back to 2013. Definitely suggests a reliable asset Biffle should be. Terms of upside , he really doesn't have any. Overall probably a top 15 option.
Paul Menard: There two ways to look at Menard this week! The first his strong track history. Such as an 11.0 average finish and 15.0 average running position with 4 Top 10s. These stats indicates he is very reliable and trustworthy. On the flip side , Menard struggled on short tracks in 2014 and didn't necessarily impress me on shorter tracks this season. Really don't have enough data to make a relevant comparison. So I will leave it at that. Also Menard have absolutely no momentum after finishes of 23rd and 41st in the past two races. Its really a judgement call on him.
Jamie McMurray: I debated who I should give the final slot to , and in the end I went with JMac! I think several drivers could make intriguing options. JMac probably brings the most upside and/or potential. Overall he is way underrated and will undoubtedly be passed up on. Since Bristol reconfiguration , Jamie have managed an 18.4 average finish , 14.0 average running position and 84.0 driver rating. Not eye popping , but his performance last season were very impressive! Trust me I know. In the spring , he ran competitively in the top 10 before finding trouble late. In the summer ,he dominated a lot of this event after the 225 lap mark. Ultimately finished 7th. However he should've won if he didn't get hung up on the wrong lane on a restart.
Busts -
Kyle Larson: There a lot to like about Larson ,in fact I wouldn't be shocked to see him win this weekend. However I haven't seen him "completely" finish a race since Phoenix's 10th place run. More noticeably , Larson have 4 finishes outside the top 25 with 2 Top 10s as well in 2015. Now there no comparable track this season. However I do believe in momentum and Larson haven't shown me is can be a legitimate threat. Even though I think Bristol really fits his style! Evidenced by last season performance and recent success in lowered level series.
Jimmie Johnson: Bristol is arguably one of Johnson worst tracks. Even if that so , Johnson still probably will contend for a top 10. Unfortunately for Johnson only have notch two top 10 since the reconfiguration in 2012. In his previous 5 attempts , Johnson have an 16.6 average finish and 14.8 average running position with 2 Top 5s. He been more hit or more than anything. Anytime he mention in the same sentence with hit or miss , its usually raise red flags. Why? Because there aren't many tracks where Johnson doesn't consistency run well at./
Email - Briggs_garry48@yahoo.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
We are headed to Bristol this weekend! Short tracks in my opinion make or break our seasons! Its seems like everyone have a different strategy when selecting. Which usually depends on your league scoring and format setting. If you're near bottom of your league , then this is your opportunity to rebound! Usually Bristol is a wreckfest (or can be). Drivers will be side-by-side for 500 laps. I don't like the chances!
Sleepers -
Greg Biffle: There actually two RFR drivers who have shown potential at Bristol! The other one is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Surprisingly both ranked inside the top 10 in points scored over the previous two seasons. They have both logged around a 15.8 average running position and have done a good job of finishing the deal which is something I can live with. In general , I believe Greg is the better option. Biffle have finished inside the top 12 in the past 4 Bristol races dating back to 2013. Definitely suggests a reliable asset Biffle should be. Terms of upside , he really doesn't have any. Overall probably a top 15 option.
Paul Menard: There two ways to look at Menard this week! The first his strong track history. Such as an 11.0 average finish and 15.0 average running position with 4 Top 10s. These stats indicates he is very reliable and trustworthy. On the flip side , Menard struggled on short tracks in 2014 and didn't necessarily impress me on shorter tracks this season. Really don't have enough data to make a relevant comparison. So I will leave it at that. Also Menard have absolutely no momentum after finishes of 23rd and 41st in the past two races. Its really a judgement call on him.
Jamie McMurray: I debated who I should give the final slot to , and in the end I went with JMac! I think several drivers could make intriguing options. JMac probably brings the most upside and/or potential. Overall he is way underrated and will undoubtedly be passed up on. Since Bristol reconfiguration , Jamie have managed an 18.4 average finish , 14.0 average running position and 84.0 driver rating. Not eye popping , but his performance last season were very impressive! Trust me I know. In the spring , he ran competitively in the top 10 before finding trouble late. In the summer ,he dominated a lot of this event after the 225 lap mark. Ultimately finished 7th. However he should've won if he didn't get hung up on the wrong lane on a restart.
Busts -
Kyle Larson: There a lot to like about Larson ,in fact I wouldn't be shocked to see him win this weekend. However I haven't seen him "completely" finish a race since Phoenix's 10th place run. More noticeably , Larson have 4 finishes outside the top 25 with 2 Top 10s as well in 2015. Now there no comparable track this season. However I do believe in momentum and Larson haven't shown me is can be a legitimate threat. Even though I think Bristol really fits his style! Evidenced by last season performance and recent success in lowered level series.
Jimmie Johnson: Bristol is arguably one of Johnson worst tracks. Even if that so , Johnson still probably will contend for a top 10. Unfortunately for Johnson only have notch two top 10 since the reconfiguration in 2012. In his previous 5 attempts , Johnson have an 16.6 average finish and 14.8 average running position with 2 Top 5s. He been more hit or more than anything. Anytime he mention in the same sentence with hit or miss , its usually raise red flags. Why? Because there aren't many tracks where Johnson doesn't consistency run well at./
Email - Briggs_garry48@yahoo.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
Monday, April 13, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (Bristol)
Welcome to TimersSports
Early Rankings -
1. Matt Kenseth
2. Brad Keselowski
3. Joey Logano
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Carl Edwards
6. Dale Jr
7. Kasey Kahne
8. Denny Hamlin
9. Jimmie Johnson
10. Jeff Gordon
11. Kurt Busch
12. Kyle Larson
13. Martin Truex Jr
14. Paul Menard
15. Jamie Mac
16. Greg Biffle
17. Ryan Newman
18. Tony Stewart
19. Clint Bowyer
20. AJ Dinger
21. David Ragan
22. Austin Dillon
23. Danica Patrick
24. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
25. Aric Almirola
26. Justin Allaiger
27. Casey Mears
28. Sam Hornish Jr
29. Trevor Bayne
30. Brett Moffitt
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
Early Rankings -
1. Matt Kenseth
2. Brad Keselowski
3. Joey Logano
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Carl Edwards
6. Dale Jr
7. Kasey Kahne
8. Denny Hamlin
9. Jimmie Johnson
10. Jeff Gordon
11. Kurt Busch
12. Kyle Larson
13. Martin Truex Jr
14. Paul Menard
15. Jamie Mac
16. Greg Biffle
17. Ryan Newman
18. Tony Stewart
19. Clint Bowyer
20. AJ Dinger
21. David Ragan
22. Austin Dillon
23. Danica Patrick
24. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
25. Aric Almirola
26. Justin Allaiger
27. Casey Mears
28. Sam Hornish Jr
29. Trevor Bayne
30. Brett Moffitt
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
Fantasy Nascar Preview (Bristol)
Welcome to TimerSports
After Jimmie Johnson winning in the lone star state , we head north to Bristol! One of my favorite races of the season , we can usually find get value throughout the field. The biggest challenge for us fantasy players will be sorting out the contenders from pretenders. Stats can be really misleading if you don't dig deep enough.
1-Jamie Mac: JMac is one of the most underrated options in the field. Last season he had finishes of 38th and 7th. Over the past 4 races he have compiled 18.8 average finish , 15.3 average start , 12.5 average running position , 158 laps led and 88.2 driver rating. Last spring JMac finished 38th , but don't be fool though. He was running top 5 before finding trouble with under 50 to go. He was very strong in that race too. In the summer , he backed it up. In that event he led a career-high 148 laps on his way to 8th place finish. If three cars didn't stay out on one of the final cautions , Jamie probably would've went to victory lane. 4 Of his past 5 races at Bristol have ended inside the top 20. 6 Of his previous 10 have ended inside the top 10!
2-Brad Keselowski: Keselowski is one of the hottest drivers in the series with 4 straight Top 5 finishes since Phoenix! Last season at Bristol , he finished 14th and 3rd. Over his past 4 races here , Brad have compiled 12.3 average finish , 7.5 average start , 9.8 average running position , 148 laps led and 100.5 driver rating. Over the past 3 spring races , Brad have been the best driver in the series. He have managed 6.0 average finish (Series-best) , 4.7 average start (Series-best) , 6.3 average running position (Series-best) , 334 laps led (Series-best) and 118.4 (Series-best). Can you say impressive? Probably would be even better if Harvick didn't wreck in front of Keselowski while running in the top 5. 4 Of his past 7 overall have ended inside the top 3 (two wins). Unfortunately both his wins were on old Bristol.
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon didn't impressive me at all last season. Quite frankly , he have a lot of work to do before he is a useable option. In two starts , Austin have compiled 19.5 average finish , 26.0 average start , 27.0 average running position and 51.5 driver rating. His 11th place run last spring stands out. In reality his performance in that race was at best acceptable for a rookie. He started 26th and posted 22.0 average running position with 67.4 driver rating. While only spending 11% of all laps inside the top 15! In the summer , Dillon finished 28th (-7L) with 32.0 average running position. Needless to say , Dillon needs to improve here.
4-Kevin Harvick: Harvick actually performed well at Bristol last season. Unfortunately his finishes didn't show it! He had finishes of 39th and 11th. While leading 103 laps and holding 6.5 average running position. Over his past 4 races here , Harvick have compiled 24.5 average finish , 15.3 average start , 8.8 average running position , 110 laps led and 99.1 driver rating. Harvick have finished inside the top 15 in seven of his past ten overall here. Including 3 of his past 4 race. Unfortunately his last top 10 was back in 2011. He is a streak of 7 straight finishes outside the top 10. Don't hear that often , right?
5-Kasey Kahne: Kahne is coming off an 8th place run at Texas! Bristol been good to him lately. Last season he had finishes of 8th and 35th. Over his past 4 races here , Kahne have compiled 11.5 average finish , 7.8 average start , 10.0 average running position , 165 laps led and 107.9 driver rating. Excluding last summer's 35th place effort , he have accumulated 4 straight Top 10s (1 win). 6 Of his past 9 starts have ended inside the top 10. Only twice in that span , Kahne have finished worse than 11th. Also worth noting , Kahne have led in 4 of his past 5 Bristol races. Including 40 more laps in three of those races.
10-Danica Patrick: Patrick is coming off 16th place finish at Texas! Patrick continue to make improvements every single weeks. I was convinced in the offseason she was legit on Intermediate tracks. Short tracks however make me cringe in fear when its comes to Danica. She wasn't bad last season when she posted 22.0 average finish. But I need her to take the next step and run top 20 for a entire race (or close to it). Until then , I think she is better off at the intermediate tracks. There plenty of them coming up!
11-Denny Hamlin: Hamlin had terrible average finish (23.0) at Bristol in 2014. He posted 18.5 average running position and led 32 laps. In the summer race , he was running inside the top 3 when Harvick spun him. Which also collected Dale Jr. Hamlin eventually finished 40th. In the spring race , he started on the pole and led 28 laps. When the checkers waved , Hamlin was 6th. Over the past 4 Bristol races , Hamlin have compiled 24.3 average finish , 4.5 average start , 13.0 average running position , 172 laps led and 91.0 driver rating. While finishes of late haven't been encouraging , however Hamlin have led in 5 straight races.
16-Greg Biffle: Name the only driver in the Cup Series to finished inside the top 12 at every Bristol since 2013? If your answer was Greg Biffle , then you're absolutely correct! Least RFR winning at something , right? Over the past 4 races here , Biff have compiled 10.5 average finish , 17.3 average start , 15.8 average running position and 82.6 driver rating. Biff historically been the best driver among active drivers. In 24 career starts , he have an 11.9 average finish with 13 Top 10s and 21 Top 20s. Surprisingly Biff have never won. His best finish was 3rd (2005). 9 Of his past 11 races have ended inside the top 13. Including 4 straight races in the top 12.
18-David Ragan: Ragan is coming off an 13th place run at Texas! I really been impressive by Ragan lately. Honestly feel like he isn't getting the respect he should. At Bristol expect another top 20 run out of him. I think he pretty much is an auto-start in Yahoo Fantasy Racing. Especially since his time with Gibbs is quickly coming to an end.
19-Carl Edwards: Edwards is coming off an 10th-place run at Texas! Now he goes to the track he won last spring. Over the past 4 Bristol races , Edwards have compiled 16.3 average finish , 9.8 average start , 13.3 average running position , 197 laps led and 96.8 driver rating. Last season Edwards had finishes of 1st and 7th. Before last season win , he finished outside the top 15 in four straight Bristol races. He should contend for the win. If he can run like the other JGR cars have at this track.
20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth have been the best driver in the past two seasons at Bristol. He is on my short list of potential winners. Over the past 4 races here , Kenseth have compiled 13.0 average finish , 9.0 average start , 8.3 average running position and 466 laps led. He actually have had problems finishing in the spring. Despite leading more laps (250) in the spring than summer (211) , Kenseth have much better finishes in the summer. Historically speaking , only Greg Biffle (11.9) and Kyle Busch (12.1) have better career average finish with least 10 starts. In 30 career starts , Kenseth have 19 Top 10s and 24 Top 20s with 3 wins. In 7 of his past 10 Bristol races overall have ended inside the top 10. Including 2 of his past 3 have ended inside the top 5.
22-Joey Logano: Logano arguably been the best driver the past 2 seasons at Bristol. He have compiled 10.8 average finish , 6.3 average start , 13.0 average running position , 89 laps led and 103.5 driver rating. Logano actually been solid from a career point of view. In 8 of his 9 starts , Logano have finished inside the top 20. Including a win last summer. Last spring he finished 20th. After leading early , Logano lost his power steering. He may have sweep Bristol if that didn't happen. In 2015 , he been very reliable! How reliable? Logano have finished inside the top 10 in every race. Something I love in a fantasy pick.
24-Jeff Gordon: Gordon is coming off his best finish of the 2015 season! Gordon have won 5 times at Bristol , however his last win was in 2002. His other 4 wins? 1998 or before. Clearly Gordon potential have declined , but his abilities haven't. Evidenced by his consistency over the years. In 7 of his past 10 Bristol overall he have finished inside the top 15. Including 2 of his past 3 starts (7th -twice). Over his past 4 races here , Gordon have compiled 16.0 average finish , 12.8 average start , 11.5 average running position , 83 laps led and 96.9 driver rating. Gordon had finishes of 7th and 16th in 2014. Expect another top 10 out of Gordon at Bristol.
27-Paul Menard: I was heartbroken when the 27 car had to go to garage at Texas! Let me tell you that 27 team is cooking right now. Poor finish , but Menard have outperformed both his teammates by a mile since Fontana. He's pretty good at Bristol too. Over the past 4 races , Menard have compiled 11.3 average finish , 17.8 average start , 15.3 average running position , 65 laps led and 84.0 driver rating. Since joining RCR (in 2011) , Menard been miles better than he's gets credited for! He have accumulated 6 Top 10s in 8 starts. Including 4 of his past 5 Bristol races.
31-Ryan Newman: Newman isn't on my fantasy radar and its pretty obvious why! After a hot start , Newman have gone back to being an top 15 option (again). Over the past 4 Bristol races , Newman have compiled 14.3 average finish , 14.8 average start, 14.0 average running position , and 84.2 driver rating. Last season he had finishes of 13th and 11th. Honestly I wouldn't really consider Newman in any format. Especially with the possibility of that huge penalty standing. Expect another top 15 out of Newman.
41-Kurt Busch: Honestly I am not real high on Busch at Bristol and kinda iffy of him going forward. As Busch haven't delivered at Martinsville and Texas. Despite having a fast car. Honestly not sure what happened at Texas. He was running top 5 and then suddenly faded as race went on (probably wrong adjustments). Last season at Bristol , Busch had finishes of 35th and 5th. Busch is a 5-time winner , but haven't won since 2006. Kurt isn't the same on this new surface. He been top 5 or bust pretty much. Over his past 4 Bristol races , he have compiled 18.8 average finish , 10.3 average start , 16.3 average running position , 83 laps led and 90.0 driver rating. Busch is pretty in store another top 10 on Sunday.
42-Kyle Larson: Larson have struggled lately and will be under the radar this week. Honestly I feel like this is exactly where Larson needs to be. He competitively running in the top 10 every week which is more than enough out of a 2nd-year driver. His time is coming and its will be soon. Larson and the 42 team keep shooting themselves in the foot though. Last season at Bristol , Larson was pretty impressive! He had finishes of 11th and 11th. While posting 12.0 average running position and 91.6 driver rating. Most impressive about Larson? He had an 30.0 average starting position. Almost certain his finishes would've been better , if he started up front.
48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson and Team 48 can turn on as quick as they can turn it off. If they want to win , then they will win. Heck look who we're talking about! At Bristol , its more a struggle for Johnson. Especially over his past 4 starts. Only one top 10 (4th) in last summer race. Before that he had 3 straight finishes outside the top 15. Over the past 4 races here , Johnson have compiled 20.3 average finish , 10.8 average start , 15.8 average running position , 44 laps led and 84.4 driver rating. Last season he had finishes of 19th and 4th. Johnson surprisingly struggled at Martinsville which is scary to think about.
78-Martin Truex Jr: This dude keep on clicking off top 10s , but its seems the streak is becoming less and less likely each week. He didn't have a top 10 car , but found a way to do it! At Bristol , I am not real high on him. In 17 career starts , only twice have Truex Jr finished inside the top 10. He did finish at Martinsville , but hate relying on one race to determine a driver's potential. If he shows he something in practice , then I will give me some consideration.
88-Dale Jr: Earnhardt jr have been stout on tracks of 1.5 miles or longer. However at Phoenix and Martinsville , Dale Jr have found trouble. Hard to pick Dale at Bristol knowing that. Also he had bad luck here in 2014! He had finishes of 24th and 39th. Once he have one problem , more are to follow at the short tracks. That been a theme lately for the driver of the 88 car. Over the past 4 races here , he have compiled 19.8 average finish , 21.3 average start , 16.8 average running position , 32 laps led and 86.9 driver rating. I expect another top 10 run out of Dale Jr.
*All stats from Driver Averages & FantasyRacingCheatSheet
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
After Jimmie Johnson winning in the lone star state , we head north to Bristol! One of my favorite races of the season , we can usually find get value throughout the field. The biggest challenge for us fantasy players will be sorting out the contenders from pretenders. Stats can be really misleading if you don't dig deep enough.
1-Jamie Mac: JMac is one of the most underrated options in the field. Last season he had finishes of 38th and 7th. Over the past 4 races he have compiled 18.8 average finish , 15.3 average start , 12.5 average running position , 158 laps led and 88.2 driver rating. Last spring JMac finished 38th , but don't be fool though. He was running top 5 before finding trouble with under 50 to go. He was very strong in that race too. In the summer , he backed it up. In that event he led a career-high 148 laps on his way to 8th place finish. If three cars didn't stay out on one of the final cautions , Jamie probably would've went to victory lane. 4 Of his past 5 races at Bristol have ended inside the top 20. 6 Of his previous 10 have ended inside the top 10!
2-Brad Keselowski: Keselowski is one of the hottest drivers in the series with 4 straight Top 5 finishes since Phoenix! Last season at Bristol , he finished 14th and 3rd. Over his past 4 races here , Brad have compiled 12.3 average finish , 7.5 average start , 9.8 average running position , 148 laps led and 100.5 driver rating. Over the past 3 spring races , Brad have been the best driver in the series. He have managed 6.0 average finish (Series-best) , 4.7 average start (Series-best) , 6.3 average running position (Series-best) , 334 laps led (Series-best) and 118.4 (Series-best). Can you say impressive? Probably would be even better if Harvick didn't wreck in front of Keselowski while running in the top 5. 4 Of his past 7 overall have ended inside the top 3 (two wins). Unfortunately both his wins were on old Bristol.
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon didn't impressive me at all last season. Quite frankly , he have a lot of work to do before he is a useable option. In two starts , Austin have compiled 19.5 average finish , 26.0 average start , 27.0 average running position and 51.5 driver rating. His 11th place run last spring stands out. In reality his performance in that race was at best acceptable for a rookie. He started 26th and posted 22.0 average running position with 67.4 driver rating. While only spending 11% of all laps inside the top 15! In the summer , Dillon finished 28th (-7L) with 32.0 average running position. Needless to say , Dillon needs to improve here.
4-Kevin Harvick: Harvick actually performed well at Bristol last season. Unfortunately his finishes didn't show it! He had finishes of 39th and 11th. While leading 103 laps and holding 6.5 average running position. Over his past 4 races here , Harvick have compiled 24.5 average finish , 15.3 average start , 8.8 average running position , 110 laps led and 99.1 driver rating. Harvick have finished inside the top 15 in seven of his past ten overall here. Including 3 of his past 4 race. Unfortunately his last top 10 was back in 2011. He is a streak of 7 straight finishes outside the top 10. Don't hear that often , right?
5-Kasey Kahne: Kahne is coming off an 8th place run at Texas! Bristol been good to him lately. Last season he had finishes of 8th and 35th. Over his past 4 races here , Kahne have compiled 11.5 average finish , 7.8 average start , 10.0 average running position , 165 laps led and 107.9 driver rating. Excluding last summer's 35th place effort , he have accumulated 4 straight Top 10s (1 win). 6 Of his past 9 starts have ended inside the top 10. Only twice in that span , Kahne have finished worse than 11th. Also worth noting , Kahne have led in 4 of his past 5 Bristol races. Including 40 more laps in three of those races.
10-Danica Patrick: Patrick is coming off 16th place finish at Texas! Patrick continue to make improvements every single weeks. I was convinced in the offseason she was legit on Intermediate tracks. Short tracks however make me cringe in fear when its comes to Danica. She wasn't bad last season when she posted 22.0 average finish. But I need her to take the next step and run top 20 for a entire race (or close to it). Until then , I think she is better off at the intermediate tracks. There plenty of them coming up!
11-Denny Hamlin: Hamlin had terrible average finish (23.0) at Bristol in 2014. He posted 18.5 average running position and led 32 laps. In the summer race , he was running inside the top 3 when Harvick spun him. Which also collected Dale Jr. Hamlin eventually finished 40th. In the spring race , he started on the pole and led 28 laps. When the checkers waved , Hamlin was 6th. Over the past 4 Bristol races , Hamlin have compiled 24.3 average finish , 4.5 average start , 13.0 average running position , 172 laps led and 91.0 driver rating. While finishes of late haven't been encouraging , however Hamlin have led in 5 straight races.
16-Greg Biffle: Name the only driver in the Cup Series to finished inside the top 12 at every Bristol since 2013? If your answer was Greg Biffle , then you're absolutely correct! Least RFR winning at something , right? Over the past 4 races here , Biff have compiled 10.5 average finish , 17.3 average start , 15.8 average running position and 82.6 driver rating. Biff historically been the best driver among active drivers. In 24 career starts , he have an 11.9 average finish with 13 Top 10s and 21 Top 20s. Surprisingly Biff have never won. His best finish was 3rd (2005). 9 Of his past 11 races have ended inside the top 13. Including 4 straight races in the top 12.
18-David Ragan: Ragan is coming off an 13th place run at Texas! I really been impressive by Ragan lately. Honestly feel like he isn't getting the respect he should. At Bristol expect another top 20 run out of him. I think he pretty much is an auto-start in Yahoo Fantasy Racing. Especially since his time with Gibbs is quickly coming to an end.
19-Carl Edwards: Edwards is coming off an 10th-place run at Texas! Now he goes to the track he won last spring. Over the past 4 Bristol races , Edwards have compiled 16.3 average finish , 9.8 average start , 13.3 average running position , 197 laps led and 96.8 driver rating. Last season Edwards had finishes of 1st and 7th. Before last season win , he finished outside the top 15 in four straight Bristol races. He should contend for the win. If he can run like the other JGR cars have at this track.
20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth have been the best driver in the past two seasons at Bristol. He is on my short list of potential winners. Over the past 4 races here , Kenseth have compiled 13.0 average finish , 9.0 average start , 8.3 average running position and 466 laps led. He actually have had problems finishing in the spring. Despite leading more laps (250) in the spring than summer (211) , Kenseth have much better finishes in the summer. Historically speaking , only Greg Biffle (11.9) and Kyle Busch (12.1) have better career average finish with least 10 starts. In 30 career starts , Kenseth have 19 Top 10s and 24 Top 20s with 3 wins. In 7 of his past 10 Bristol races overall have ended inside the top 10. Including 2 of his past 3 have ended inside the top 5.
22-Joey Logano: Logano arguably been the best driver the past 2 seasons at Bristol. He have compiled 10.8 average finish , 6.3 average start , 13.0 average running position , 89 laps led and 103.5 driver rating. Logano actually been solid from a career point of view. In 8 of his 9 starts , Logano have finished inside the top 20. Including a win last summer. Last spring he finished 20th. After leading early , Logano lost his power steering. He may have sweep Bristol if that didn't happen. In 2015 , he been very reliable! How reliable? Logano have finished inside the top 10 in every race. Something I love in a fantasy pick.
24-Jeff Gordon: Gordon is coming off his best finish of the 2015 season! Gordon have won 5 times at Bristol , however his last win was in 2002. His other 4 wins? 1998 or before. Clearly Gordon potential have declined , but his abilities haven't. Evidenced by his consistency over the years. In 7 of his past 10 Bristol overall he have finished inside the top 15. Including 2 of his past 3 starts (7th -twice). Over his past 4 races here , Gordon have compiled 16.0 average finish , 12.8 average start , 11.5 average running position , 83 laps led and 96.9 driver rating. Gordon had finishes of 7th and 16th in 2014. Expect another top 10 out of Gordon at Bristol.
27-Paul Menard: I was heartbroken when the 27 car had to go to garage at Texas! Let me tell you that 27 team is cooking right now. Poor finish , but Menard have outperformed both his teammates by a mile since Fontana. He's pretty good at Bristol too. Over the past 4 races , Menard have compiled 11.3 average finish , 17.8 average start , 15.3 average running position , 65 laps led and 84.0 driver rating. Since joining RCR (in 2011) , Menard been miles better than he's gets credited for! He have accumulated 6 Top 10s in 8 starts. Including 4 of his past 5 Bristol races.
31-Ryan Newman: Newman isn't on my fantasy radar and its pretty obvious why! After a hot start , Newman have gone back to being an top 15 option (again). Over the past 4 Bristol races , Newman have compiled 14.3 average finish , 14.8 average start, 14.0 average running position , and 84.2 driver rating. Last season he had finishes of 13th and 11th. Honestly I wouldn't really consider Newman in any format. Especially with the possibility of that huge penalty standing. Expect another top 15 out of Newman.
41-Kurt Busch: Honestly I am not real high on Busch at Bristol and kinda iffy of him going forward. As Busch haven't delivered at Martinsville and Texas. Despite having a fast car. Honestly not sure what happened at Texas. He was running top 5 and then suddenly faded as race went on (probably wrong adjustments). Last season at Bristol , Busch had finishes of 35th and 5th. Busch is a 5-time winner , but haven't won since 2006. Kurt isn't the same on this new surface. He been top 5 or bust pretty much. Over his past 4 Bristol races , he have compiled 18.8 average finish , 10.3 average start , 16.3 average running position , 83 laps led and 90.0 driver rating. Busch is pretty in store another top 10 on Sunday.
42-Kyle Larson: Larson have struggled lately and will be under the radar this week. Honestly I feel like this is exactly where Larson needs to be. He competitively running in the top 10 every week which is more than enough out of a 2nd-year driver. His time is coming and its will be soon. Larson and the 42 team keep shooting themselves in the foot though. Last season at Bristol , Larson was pretty impressive! He had finishes of 11th and 11th. While posting 12.0 average running position and 91.6 driver rating. Most impressive about Larson? He had an 30.0 average starting position. Almost certain his finishes would've been better , if he started up front.
48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson and Team 48 can turn on as quick as they can turn it off. If they want to win , then they will win. Heck look who we're talking about! At Bristol , its more a struggle for Johnson. Especially over his past 4 starts. Only one top 10 (4th) in last summer race. Before that he had 3 straight finishes outside the top 15. Over the past 4 races here , Johnson have compiled 20.3 average finish , 10.8 average start , 15.8 average running position , 44 laps led and 84.4 driver rating. Last season he had finishes of 19th and 4th. Johnson surprisingly struggled at Martinsville which is scary to think about.
78-Martin Truex Jr: This dude keep on clicking off top 10s , but its seems the streak is becoming less and less likely each week. He didn't have a top 10 car , but found a way to do it! At Bristol , I am not real high on him. In 17 career starts , only twice have Truex Jr finished inside the top 10. He did finish at Martinsville , but hate relying on one race to determine a driver's potential. If he shows he something in practice , then I will give me some consideration.
88-Dale Jr: Earnhardt jr have been stout on tracks of 1.5 miles or longer. However at Phoenix and Martinsville , Dale Jr have found trouble. Hard to pick Dale at Bristol knowing that. Also he had bad luck here in 2014! He had finishes of 24th and 39th. Once he have one problem , more are to follow at the short tracks. That been a theme lately for the driver of the 88 car. Over the past 4 races here , he have compiled 19.8 average finish , 21.3 average start , 16.8 average running position , 32 laps led and 86.9 driver rating. I expect another top 10 run out of Dale Jr.
*All stats from Driver Averages & FantasyRacingCheatSheet
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
Saturday, April 11, 2015
Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (Texas)
Welcome to TimersSports
Happy Raceday. Setting your fantasy team can be difficult ,
especially with everything being factored in. Below our group of
experts give their thoughts on today race (Including their final
picks).
Kate Roswell (@CrazyKateNascar):
-Chevys will dominate today's race.
-Expect a big run out of Greg Biffle. He was greatly overlooked and thought he was solid in practice.
-Kasey Kahne starts 4th and will be a heavily factor. Arguably had a top 3 car on Friday.
-Truex streak will end. I hope it don't , but I have a feeling it might.
Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):
-I am not convinced Aric Almirola is bad as he shown on Friday. I felt same towards JMac at Martinsville. That turned out pretty well.
-Jimmie Johnson will make the field know who owns this place. Least that what my gut says.
-Keselowski was way overlooked this week and will a threat all race long.
-Expect the winner to be chevy powered.
Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):
-Really like what I seen out of the RFR. Nothing special , but better than before. Anything better than Martinsville though.
-Dale Jr starts 25th and should be a nice play in Fantasy Live. Given he can make it to top 10.
-What the heck happened to David Ragan? 30th in qualifying. Will be interesting to see him move through the field.
-Paul Menard is someone to watch from 8th starting position.
Yahoo Lineups -
Kate's Lineup: 4,41,5,18
Garry's Lineup: 48,27,5,21
Matt's Lineup: 2,27,5,21
Sleeper Pick-
Kate's Pick: Greg Biffle
Garry's Pick: Paul Menard
Matt's Pick: Ryan Blaney
Race Winner -
Kate's Pick: Kurt Busch
Garry's Pick: Jimmie Johnson
Matt's Pick: Kevin Harvick
Happy Raceday. Setting your fantasy team can be difficult ,
especially with everything being factored in. Below our group of
experts give their thoughts on today race (Including their final
picks).
Kate Roswell (@CrazyKateNascar):
-Chevys will dominate today's race.
-Expect a big run out of Greg Biffle. He was greatly overlooked and thought he was solid in practice.
-Kasey Kahne starts 4th and will be a heavily factor. Arguably had a top 3 car on Friday.
-Truex streak will end. I hope it don't , but I have a feeling it might.
Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):
-I am not convinced Aric Almirola is bad as he shown on Friday. I felt same towards JMac at Martinsville. That turned out pretty well.
-Jimmie Johnson will make the field know who owns this place. Least that what my gut says.
-Keselowski was way overlooked this week and will a threat all race long.
-Expect the winner to be chevy powered.
Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):
-Really like what I seen out of the RFR. Nothing special , but better than before. Anything better than Martinsville though.
-Dale Jr starts 25th and should be a nice play in Fantasy Live. Given he can make it to top 10.
-What the heck happened to David Ragan? 30th in qualifying. Will be interesting to see him move through the field.
-Paul Menard is someone to watch from 8th starting position.
Yahoo Lineups -
Kate's Lineup: 4,41,5,18
Garry's Lineup: 48,27,5,21
Matt's Lineup: 2,27,5,21
Sleeper Pick-
Kate's Pick: Greg Biffle
Garry's Pick: Paul Menard
Matt's Pick: Ryan Blaney
Race Winner -
Kate's Pick: Kurt Busch
Garry's Pick: Jimmie Johnson
Matt's Pick: Kevin Harvick
Friday, April 10, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Update (Texas)
Welcome to TimersSports
There will be many challenges when setting our lineups! Both practices were held during the day which means , that data will be less relevant to us (than a day race.) Also I feel like certain teams perform better under the lights. So don't automatically assume a driver is a sure thing. On the flip side , don't disregard the practices either. Its really the only thing we have to go on.
A:
1. Kevin Harvick - Harvick have finished 1st or 2nd at every intermediate track in 2015. Also he looked solid in race trim which suggests he probably have a car capable of winning Saturday night. In final practice , he started off the session with a 13-lap run (in race trim) and sounded pleased with his car. Also I thought he was way better in final practice. Harvick was clicking off some very fast laps. I think he have an top 5 car and will have a great chance going to victory lane. Overall he is the best pick to go with right now. They're hot and shouldn't cool down anytime soon. Harvick have led least one lap in every race this season. Which just add addition value to his staggering potential.
My Overall Ranking: 1st
2. Jimmie Johnson - I could've easily ranked Johnson first , but I didn't. I believe the only way Johnson don't finish well is because the 48 team itself. They're fast and probably will finish in the top 5. In the first practice , Johnson solely focused on making his car better. Several cars in front of him put down a mock qualifying run (least I assume) , where Johnson did not. He started off loose with a 4-lap run. Later in the session with 30 minutes left , Chad Knaus was pleased with Jimmie's laps times. I say he is a top 5 option with possible winning potential.
My Overall Ranking: 2nd
3. Joey Logano - Logano starts up front and have a fast car which should contend for early on. Ultimately he will probably fade to the latter half of top 10 when checkers waves. The 22 team just never able to keep up with the track. Logano spent most of the practice in race-trim. He showed decent speed overall in the session. Put down some very fast laps in that session as well.
My Overall Ranking: 4th
4. Brad Keselowski - Keselowski was solid in both practices on Friday. I thought he very good based on his lap times. Nothing that stood out , but still should be competitive come the race on Saturday night. Brad have about a top 5 car heading into Saturday night car. Honestly I think Brad was way overlooked this week. If he have the right gameplan , then I wouldn't be shocked if he goes to victory lane.
My Overall Ranking: 5th
5. Matt Kenseth: Kenseth may be the safest option in the field. He showed he can run up front this season. While he didn't flex much muscle in practice , but Matt rarely does. He is like a magician! A magician never tells you his secrets , like Matt won't show you what type of car he have. Kenseth almost a lock for a top 10 in my opinion and quite frankly will likely be undervalued. 6 Of his past 9 races have ended in the top 5. I believe he will make it 7 of his 10 or come up a position or two short at worst.
My Overall Ranking: 6th
Other Options: Dale Jr (8th) , Denny Hamlin (9th) , and Jeff Gordon (11th)
B:
1. Kurt Busch - Really didn't watch Busch much in practice since I expected him to be fast. He didn't really disappoint either. I did track his opening race run of final practice and his times were pretty legitimate well in the top 10. I say when it all said and done , Busch will find himself with least another top 10. His teammate is Kevin Harvick , so that cannot be a bad thing either! I have acorss the line 3rd-8th place or so.
My Overall Ranking: 3rd
2. Kasey Kahne - I trust Kahne much as I do my wife with my credit card. But I think Kahne have a car that he could run and finished in the top 5. He sounded very happy about his car in first practice and ended final practice at top of the leaderboard. Kahne may be the best of the HMS (alongside Johnson) , but this is Kahne we talking about still. How many of you have seen Kahne finish poorly with a fast car? I know I have. I will say he finishes from 5th-10th place range.
My Overall Ranking: 7th
3. Carl Edwards - I believe Edwards will breakout of his slump. His #19 Toyota looked fast in both practices and certainly could breakout at Texas. I really want to say start him on your fantasy team , but something always seems to derail Edwards in 2015. Use him at your own personal risk. Its is encouraging to see his teammates also looking good. The JGR cars have been solid on Intermediate tracks this season.
My Overall Ranking: 10th
4. Martin Truex Jr - A lot to like about Martin Truex Jr with his current hot streak. I believe it will continue to seven top 10s. But I also believe the past few races , Truex Jr have had to overcome setbacks. Which leads me to believe his streak come be snapped sooner rather than later. Truex looked fast in first practice. He did a lot of race runs in final practice. But was fast once again. I have Truex pencil in as an top 10 play. In my overall rankings , I bumped him just outside the top 10 to give him more room for error.
My Overall Ranking: 12th
5. Kyle Larson - Larson probably have an top 15 car , but his driving abilities will give him top 10 potential. Honestly I am waiting for Larson to breakout before using him. Even though I think there a lot to like him. Especially how he rides the top side. All race long he will be glued to that wall. This should be beneficial in the race , but let hope he doesn't get loose or anything though. I say he finishes from 7th - 15th place range.
My Overall Ranking: 14th
6. Paul Menard - Menard haven't blown the roof off , but he looks like an top 15 option and should deliver a solid finish. Paul Menard earlier this week said the RCR cars have quickly adopted to 2015 package. The results have shown it too. I like Menard a lot , I think he is the best sleeper to go with. He doesn't bring much upside , instead brings reliable. I say Menard finishes from 12th - 17th place range. Anything better than that is bonus.
My Overall Ranking: 15th
Other Options: Tony Stewart (16th) , Jamie Mac (17th) , Greg Biffle (18th
C:
1. Danica Patrick - Patrick have impressed , I thought she needed to put together more consistency back in the offseason. 6 races in , she have done exactly that. Really no terrible finishes , which is the key in be a fantasy asset. I say she finishes 1-2 positions within David Ragan and Ryan Blaney. They were pretty close overall in two practices.
My Overall Ranking: 19th
2. David Ragan - Despite a poor qualifying effort , I believe Ragan still will deliver a solid finish around 20th-ish. He was fast for few laps and then fell off after awhile. Kinda been the theme with the 18 this season. A lot to do with the driver too. Cannot expect him to run a Kyle Busch setup who won this race last season. Ragan should be good for a finish from 20th-25th
My Overall Ranking: 22nd
3. Ryan Blaney - Blaney could jump both Danica and Ragan! My gut tells me , he just might. Unfortunately I trust the experience over Blaney. I thought he looked good on the long run. Wasn't crazy about his short run speed though. When it all said and done , I say he finishes near the the two drivers listed above. Blaney is a top 25 option with top 20 upside.
My overall Ranking: 23rd
Other Option: Justin Alliagier (25th)
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
There will be many challenges when setting our lineups! Both practices were held during the day which means , that data will be less relevant to us (than a day race.) Also I feel like certain teams perform better under the lights. So don't automatically assume a driver is a sure thing. On the flip side , don't disregard the practices either. Its really the only thing we have to go on.
A:
1. Kevin Harvick - Harvick have finished 1st or 2nd at every intermediate track in 2015. Also he looked solid in race trim which suggests he probably have a car capable of winning Saturday night. In final practice , he started off the session with a 13-lap run (in race trim) and sounded pleased with his car. Also I thought he was way better in final practice. Harvick was clicking off some very fast laps. I think he have an top 5 car and will have a great chance going to victory lane. Overall he is the best pick to go with right now. They're hot and shouldn't cool down anytime soon. Harvick have led least one lap in every race this season. Which just add addition value to his staggering potential.
My Overall Ranking: 1st
2. Jimmie Johnson - I could've easily ranked Johnson first , but I didn't. I believe the only way Johnson don't finish well is because the 48 team itself. They're fast and probably will finish in the top 5. In the first practice , Johnson solely focused on making his car better. Several cars in front of him put down a mock qualifying run (least I assume) , where Johnson did not. He started off loose with a 4-lap run. Later in the session with 30 minutes left , Chad Knaus was pleased with Jimmie's laps times. I say he is a top 5 option with possible winning potential.
My Overall Ranking: 2nd
3. Joey Logano - Logano starts up front and have a fast car which should contend for early on. Ultimately he will probably fade to the latter half of top 10 when checkers waves. The 22 team just never able to keep up with the track. Logano spent most of the practice in race-trim. He showed decent speed overall in the session. Put down some very fast laps in that session as well.
My Overall Ranking: 4th
4. Brad Keselowski - Keselowski was solid in both practices on Friday. I thought he very good based on his lap times. Nothing that stood out , but still should be competitive come the race on Saturday night. Brad have about a top 5 car heading into Saturday night car. Honestly I think Brad was way overlooked this week. If he have the right gameplan , then I wouldn't be shocked if he goes to victory lane.
My Overall Ranking: 5th
5. Matt Kenseth: Kenseth may be the safest option in the field. He showed he can run up front this season. While he didn't flex much muscle in practice , but Matt rarely does. He is like a magician! A magician never tells you his secrets , like Matt won't show you what type of car he have. Kenseth almost a lock for a top 10 in my opinion and quite frankly will likely be undervalued. 6 Of his past 9 races have ended in the top 5. I believe he will make it 7 of his 10 or come up a position or two short at worst.
My Overall Ranking: 6th
Other Options: Dale Jr (8th) , Denny Hamlin (9th) , and Jeff Gordon (11th)
B:
1. Kurt Busch - Really didn't watch Busch much in practice since I expected him to be fast. He didn't really disappoint either. I did track his opening race run of final practice and his times were pretty legitimate well in the top 10. I say when it all said and done , Busch will find himself with least another top 10. His teammate is Kevin Harvick , so that cannot be a bad thing either! I have acorss the line 3rd-8th place or so.
My Overall Ranking: 3rd
2. Kasey Kahne - I trust Kahne much as I do my wife with my credit card. But I think Kahne have a car that he could run and finished in the top 5. He sounded very happy about his car in first practice and ended final practice at top of the leaderboard. Kahne may be the best of the HMS (alongside Johnson) , but this is Kahne we talking about still. How many of you have seen Kahne finish poorly with a fast car? I know I have. I will say he finishes from 5th-10th place range.
My Overall Ranking: 7th
3. Carl Edwards - I believe Edwards will breakout of his slump. His #19 Toyota looked fast in both practices and certainly could breakout at Texas. I really want to say start him on your fantasy team , but something always seems to derail Edwards in 2015. Use him at your own personal risk. Its is encouraging to see his teammates also looking good. The JGR cars have been solid on Intermediate tracks this season.
My Overall Ranking: 10th
4. Martin Truex Jr - A lot to like about Martin Truex Jr with his current hot streak. I believe it will continue to seven top 10s. But I also believe the past few races , Truex Jr have had to overcome setbacks. Which leads me to believe his streak come be snapped sooner rather than later. Truex looked fast in first practice. He did a lot of race runs in final practice. But was fast once again. I have Truex pencil in as an top 10 play. In my overall rankings , I bumped him just outside the top 10 to give him more room for error.
My Overall Ranking: 12th
5. Kyle Larson - Larson probably have an top 15 car , but his driving abilities will give him top 10 potential. Honestly I am waiting for Larson to breakout before using him. Even though I think there a lot to like him. Especially how he rides the top side. All race long he will be glued to that wall. This should be beneficial in the race , but let hope he doesn't get loose or anything though. I say he finishes from 7th - 15th place range.
My Overall Ranking: 14th
6. Paul Menard - Menard haven't blown the roof off , but he looks like an top 15 option and should deliver a solid finish. Paul Menard earlier this week said the RCR cars have quickly adopted to 2015 package. The results have shown it too. I like Menard a lot , I think he is the best sleeper to go with. He doesn't bring much upside , instead brings reliable. I say Menard finishes from 12th - 17th place range. Anything better than that is bonus.
My Overall Ranking: 15th
Other Options: Tony Stewart (16th) , Jamie Mac (17th) , Greg Biffle (18th
C:
1. Danica Patrick - Patrick have impressed , I thought she needed to put together more consistency back in the offseason. 6 races in , she have done exactly that. Really no terrible finishes , which is the key in be a fantasy asset. I say she finishes 1-2 positions within David Ragan and Ryan Blaney. They were pretty close overall in two practices.
My Overall Ranking: 19th
2. David Ragan - Despite a poor qualifying effort , I believe Ragan still will deliver a solid finish around 20th-ish. He was fast for few laps and then fell off after awhile. Kinda been the theme with the 18 this season. A lot to do with the driver too. Cannot expect him to run a Kyle Busch setup who won this race last season. Ragan should be good for a finish from 20th-25th
My Overall Ranking: 22nd
3. Ryan Blaney - Blaney could jump both Danica and Ragan! My gut tells me , he just might. Unfortunately I trust the experience over Blaney. I thought he looked good on the long run. Wasn't crazy about his short run speed though. When it all said and done , I say he finishes near the the two drivers listed above. Blaney is a top 25 option with top 20 upside.
My overall Ranking: 23rd
Other Option: Justin Alliagier (25th)
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (Texas)
Welcome to TimersSports
Final Rankings -
1. Kevin Harvick
2. Kurt Busch
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Jimmie Johnson
5. Kasey Kahne
6. Joey Logano
7. Matt Kenseth
8. Martin Truex Jr
9. Dale Earnhardt Jr
10. Ryan Newman
11. Carl Edwards
12. Jeff Gordon
13. Denny Hamlin
14. Tony Stewart
15. Kyle Larson
16. Jamie McMurray
17. Paul Menard
18. Greg Biffle
19. Danica Patrick
20. Austin Dillon
21. Ryan Blaney
22. Clint Bowyer
23. AJ Dinger
24. David Ragan
25. Aric Almirola
26. Justin Alligier
27. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
28. Trevor Bayne
29. Sam Hornish Jr
30. Casey Mears
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
Final Rankings -
1. Kevin Harvick
2. Kurt Busch
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Jimmie Johnson
5. Kasey Kahne
6. Joey Logano
7. Matt Kenseth
8. Martin Truex Jr
9. Dale Earnhardt Jr
10. Ryan Newman
11. Carl Edwards
12. Jeff Gordon
13. Denny Hamlin
14. Tony Stewart
15. Kyle Larson
16. Jamie McMurray
17. Paul Menard
18. Greg Biffle
19. Danica Patrick
20. Austin Dillon
21. Ryan Blaney
22. Clint Bowyer
23. AJ Dinger
24. David Ragan
25. Aric Almirola
26. Justin Alligier
27. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
28. Trevor Bayne
29. Sam Hornish Jr
30. Casey Mears
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
Wednesday, April 08, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Picks (Texas)
Welcome to TimersSports
Yahoo -
A:
Start: Brad Keselowski (9)
Bench: Matt Kenseth (9)
Reason: Keselowski starts 3rd and should have an top 5 car on Saturday night. Kenseth starts outside the top 10 for Saturday race. He is good , but not good enough.
B:
Start: Kasey Kahne (8) , Kyle Larson (8)
Bench: Paul Menard (9) , Martin Truex Jr (7)
Reason: All 4 are useable options without question! I decided to go with Kahne and Larson.
C:
Start: Ryan Blaney (9)
Bench: David Ragan (6)
Reason: Blaney starts 13th and will probably be an top 20 option. Ragan wasn't very good on the long run and starts deeper in the field.
Fantasy Live - 41,4,78,5,13
Sleeper Pick - Paul Menard
Race Winner - Kevin Harvick
*Will update page throughout the week
Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com
Twitter - @MattAleza
Yahoo -
A:
Start: Brad Keselowski (9)
Bench: Matt Kenseth (9)
Reason: Keselowski starts 3rd and should have an top 5 car on Saturday night. Kenseth starts outside the top 10 for Saturday race. He is good , but not good enough.
B:
Start: Kasey Kahne (8) , Kyle Larson (8)
Bench: Paul Menard (9) , Martin Truex Jr (7)
Reason: All 4 are useable options without question! I decided to go with Kahne and Larson.
C:
Start: Ryan Blaney (9)
Bench: David Ragan (6)
Reason: Blaney starts 13th and will probably be an top 20 option. Ragan wasn't very good on the long run and starts deeper in the field.
Fantasy Live - 41,4,78,5,13
Sleeper Pick - Paul Menard
Race Winner - Kevin Harvick
*Will update page throughout the week
Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com
Twitter - @MattAleza
Tuesday, April 07, 2015
Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Busts (Texas)
Welcome to TimersSports
We are headed to Texas this weekend for the 7th race of the 2015 season! Texas marks the 4th Intermediate racetrack of the season already. Which means we can look back at races at Fontona , Las Vegas , and Atlanta. All 4 tracks share the same worn-out surface which will only makes it easier on us players with picks.
Sleepers -
Aric Almirola: Few weeks ago , I listed Almirola as a sleeper at Martinsville. He didn't disappoint with an 12th place run. I like him again at Texas! Over the past 6 races at Texas , Almirola have put together 17.8 average finish , 18.8 average running position and 3 Top 20s. Not impressive , right? Let look at his previous two spring races now. In the past two spring races , Aric have compiled an 9.5 average finish , 10.0 average start, 13.0 average running position , and 90.9 driver rating. Last season spring is more relevant. He finished 12th , had a 16.0 average running position , 80.4 driver rating and spent 68% of all laps inside the top 15. At similar tracks in 2015 , Amlirola have managed 16.0 average finish , 17.0 average running position and 78.5 driver rating. Decent numbers. Misleading though. He been better than that and most don't even realize it. At Vegas , he had a down race and finished 26th. At Fontana and Atlanta , he had an 11.0 average finish , 16.0 average running position and 81.8 driver rating. Aric have finished 5 of first 6 races in the top 20. Including 4 of those 5 in the top 15 this season.
Paul Menard: If you ever have played against me in a Yahoo Fantasy Racing League , then you're well aware I try squeeze every ouce of value from him. Especially early in the season. This is the 4th Intermediate track and 4th time he made my sleeper list. Most people will jump on the bandwagon around June ,that when his value will bottom out! Texas is a great place to consider him. Last season he posted finishes of 17th and 9th while having an combine average running position of 13.0 and held 87.5 driver rating. At similar tracks in 2015 , Menard have managed 9.7 average finish , 14.3 average running position , and 86.8 driver rating. Most noticeably he finished 4th at Fontona.
AJ Dinger: After back-to-back terrible finishes , expect a bounce back from old Dinger! Most people have jumped off the Dinger express , which means its time to jump on that sweet sweet value. Last season he finished 23rd and 14th while holding an 22.5 average running position. Nothing special , but 7 of his past 9 Texas races have ended in the top 19. At similar tracks in 2015 , Dinger have managed 15.7 average finish with a 19.7 average running position. At Fontona he struggled. Was running inside the top 15 before a speeding penalty late. He also started dead last which didn't help. At Atlanta and Vegas , Dinger muster an 6.5 average finish and 13.5 average running position.
Busts -
Greg Biffle: His Texas stats suggests he should be a great pick , but the past two seasond RFR been way off. I don't see how that will change this weekend. I am not even gonna put stats down , because almost everyone know how bad RFR been this season. Biff been a top 15 option at best this season. Not worth a roster spot in my opinion. Even though RFR introducing a new car this weekend at Texas. After a Charlotte test , Biffle wasn't too optimism about it. Said there wasn't fireworks going off after the test. But believe it right step in a better direction.
Jeff Gordon - I been don't see the upside in picking Gordon on a Intermediate track. At similar tracks , he managed an 23.0 average finish and 15.3 average running position. What really scares me is his Texas record recently. 3 Of his past 4 races have ended well outside the top 25. Not because lack of speed , but bad luck. He will likely have top 10 speed , but unfortunately I am not certain he can finish there and not enough upside in my opinion.
Twitter - @Garryy12
We are headed to Texas this weekend for the 7th race of the 2015 season! Texas marks the 4th Intermediate racetrack of the season already. Which means we can look back at races at Fontona , Las Vegas , and Atlanta. All 4 tracks share the same worn-out surface which will only makes it easier on us players with picks.
Sleepers -
Aric Almirola: Few weeks ago , I listed Almirola as a sleeper at Martinsville. He didn't disappoint with an 12th place run. I like him again at Texas! Over the past 6 races at Texas , Almirola have put together 17.8 average finish , 18.8 average running position and 3 Top 20s. Not impressive , right? Let look at his previous two spring races now. In the past two spring races , Aric have compiled an 9.5 average finish , 10.0 average start, 13.0 average running position , and 90.9 driver rating. Last season spring is more relevant. He finished 12th , had a 16.0 average running position , 80.4 driver rating and spent 68% of all laps inside the top 15. At similar tracks in 2015 , Amlirola have managed 16.0 average finish , 17.0 average running position and 78.5 driver rating. Decent numbers. Misleading though. He been better than that and most don't even realize it. At Vegas , he had a down race and finished 26th. At Fontana and Atlanta , he had an 11.0 average finish , 16.0 average running position and 81.8 driver rating. Aric have finished 5 of first 6 races in the top 20. Including 4 of those 5 in the top 15 this season.
Paul Menard: If you ever have played against me in a Yahoo Fantasy Racing League , then you're well aware I try squeeze every ouce of value from him. Especially early in the season. This is the 4th Intermediate track and 4th time he made my sleeper list. Most people will jump on the bandwagon around June ,that when his value will bottom out! Texas is a great place to consider him. Last season he posted finishes of 17th and 9th while having an combine average running position of 13.0 and held 87.5 driver rating. At similar tracks in 2015 , Menard have managed 9.7 average finish , 14.3 average running position , and 86.8 driver rating. Most noticeably he finished 4th at Fontona.
AJ Dinger: After back-to-back terrible finishes , expect a bounce back from old Dinger! Most people have jumped off the Dinger express , which means its time to jump on that sweet sweet value. Last season he finished 23rd and 14th while holding an 22.5 average running position. Nothing special , but 7 of his past 9 Texas races have ended in the top 19. At similar tracks in 2015 , Dinger have managed 15.7 average finish with a 19.7 average running position. At Fontona he struggled. Was running inside the top 15 before a speeding penalty late. He also started dead last which didn't help. At Atlanta and Vegas , Dinger muster an 6.5 average finish and 13.5 average running position.
Busts -
Greg Biffle: His Texas stats suggests he should be a great pick , but the past two seasond RFR been way off. I don't see how that will change this weekend. I am not even gonna put stats down , because almost everyone know how bad RFR been this season. Biff been a top 15 option at best this season. Not worth a roster spot in my opinion. Even though RFR introducing a new car this weekend at Texas. After a Charlotte test , Biffle wasn't too optimism about it. Said there wasn't fireworks going off after the test. But believe it right step in a better direction.
Jeff Gordon - I been don't see the upside in picking Gordon on a Intermediate track. At similar tracks , he managed an 23.0 average finish and 15.3 average running position. What really scares me is his Texas record recently. 3 Of his past 4 races have ended well outside the top 25. Not because lack of speed , but bad luck. He will likely have top 10 speed , but unfortunately I am not certain he can finish there and not enough upside in my opinion.
Twitter - @Garryy12
Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (Texas)
Welcome to Timerssports
Early Rankings -
1. Kevin Harvick
2. Jimmie Johnson
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Joey Logano
6. Denny Hamlin
7. Dale Jr
8. Kurt Busch
9. Kasey Kahne
10. Jeff Gordon
11. Martin Truex Jr
12. Carl Edwards
13. Kyle Larson
14. Ryan Newman
15. Paul Menard
16. Jamie McMurray
17. Tony Stewart
18. Clint Bowyer
19. Aric Almirola
20. AJ Dinger
21. Greg Biffle
22. David Ragan
23. Austin Dillon
24. Danica Patrick
25. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
26. Justin. Allagier
27. Sam Hornish Jr
28. Casey Mears
29. Trevor Bayne
30. Brian Scott
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
Early Rankings -
1. Kevin Harvick
2. Jimmie Johnson
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Joey Logano
6. Denny Hamlin
7. Dale Jr
8. Kurt Busch
9. Kasey Kahne
10. Jeff Gordon
11. Martin Truex Jr
12. Carl Edwards
13. Kyle Larson
14. Ryan Newman
15. Paul Menard
16. Jamie McMurray
17. Tony Stewart
18. Clint Bowyer
19. Aric Almirola
20. AJ Dinger
21. Greg Biffle
22. David Ragan
23. Austin Dillon
24. Danica Patrick
25. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
26. Justin. Allagier
27. Sam Hornish Jr
28. Casey Mears
29. Trevor Bayne
30. Brian Scott
Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)