Saturday, May 30, 2015

Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (Dover)

Welcome to TimersSports

Happy Raceday. Setting your fantasy team can be difficult , especially with everything being factored in. Below our group of experts give their thoughts on today race (Including their final
picks).

Kate Roswell (@CrazyKateNascar):

-Today's race will be a tough day to pass. So track position will be huge from start to finish.

-The JGR cars have shown up with great amount of speed this weekend. Including 4 cars placed in the top 5 in final practice.

- Guy to watch may be Martin Truex Jr. He using the same car he dominated with at Kansas and Charlotte. He start 2nd!

- Can the HMS cars make to the front? Honestly only Johnson looked like top 5 material in practice.

Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):

-Paul Menard is someone to keep tabs on. He placed 3rd in final practice and finished 10th last season. He looked good all weekend!

-It may be reaching, but I have a feeling Brian Scott may surprise some people. He have ran well a few times this season in Cup. Can he do it again?

-Biggest disappointment this weekend? Probably Kasey Kahne. He looked lost since unloading on Friday.

-Those underestimate the Joe Gibbs Racing cars. They have led almost everything this weekend at Dover.

Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):

-Kyle Larson is a mystery puzzle. He qualified 3rd, but I am not convinced he will finish there. I need to see him build some consistency!

-Kyle Busch is my dark horse to win. JGR looked really good in practice and Dover is a Kyle Busch track.

-The key to victory will keeping up with adjustments and track position. As we saw in the NXS race.

-Can Johnson win at his best track? Maybe. Maybe not. It will be fun to watch.

Yahoo Lineups:

Kate's Lineup - 48,78,42,55

Garry's Lineup - 48,78,19,33

Matt's Lineup - 20,78,19,55

Sleeper Pick:

Kate's Pick - Paul Menard

Garry's Pick - Paul Menard

Matt's Pick - Austin Dillon

Race Winner:

Kate's Pick - Martin Truex Jr

Garry's Pick - Jimmie Johnson

Matt's Pick - Matt Kenseth

Fantasy Nascar Finak Rankings (Dover)

Welcome to TimersSports

1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Denny Hamlin
3. Kevin Harvick
4. Joey Logano
5. Matt Kenseth
6. Martin Truex Jr
7. Kurt Busch
8. Carl Edwards
9. Kyle Busch
10. Jeff Gordon
11. Brad Keselowski
12. Dale Jr
13. Paul Menard
14. Kasey Kahne
15. Kyle Larson
16. Greg Biffle
17. Ryan Newman
18. Jamie McMurray
19. Clint Bowyer
20. David Ragan
21. Aric Almirola
22. Austin Dillon
23. Tony Stewart
24. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
25. Casey Mears
26. AJ Dinger
27. Danica Patrick
28. Trevor Bayne
29. Brian Scott
30. Justin Allagier

Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar

Fantasy Nascar Update (Dover)

Welcome to TimersSports

Dover isn't a tough track to make picks for. Typically the guys who we suspect to run in front on Sunday will find away through the field. However starting positions are very important! In 90 races , the race winner have came from the top 10 positions an staggering 71 times (78.8%). Not only is it difficult to pass, but track position is golden here. In terms from a fantasy vantage, the key is to use drivers who looked good in practice and have had decent historically success at Dover.

A:

1. Jimmie Johnson - Johnson is the safe bet this weekend! He qualified 14th and seems to have a really fast car for Sunday. On Saturday, he posted of a pair of strong practices that confirmed his spot as the favorite heading into this weekend race. Historically speaking, Johnson been the best driver at Dover for a long time. In 26 career starts, he have 9 wins and 14 Top 5s. Those numbers alone give him unlimited upside. I say he least scores another top 5 finish!

My Overall Ranking: 1st

2. Matt Kenseth - Kenseth in my opinion is the most undervalued driver in the field this weekend. He qualified 4th and posted a pair of good practices on Saturday. I wouldn't call them great, but it was definitely more than deserving. But typically when Kenseth start up front , he also finishes up front. Kenseth have been one of the most consistent driver over the past 4 seasons at Dover. I also like the fact that JGR have shown significant improves the past few weeks! With Kyle Busch back, I think JGR have a little swagger in their step. Don't be shocked to see this organization go back-to-back wins on Sunday!

My Overall Ranking: 2nd

3. Kevin Harvick - Harvick qualified 7th and looked pretty good in two practices on Saturday! However he wasn't dominated like he been in other race weekend this season.Typically you can tell when Harvick gonna dominate a race. This probably isn't one of them. I say he will finish in the top 5 on Sunday, but realistically I don't know if he have the best car heading into the race. However I am sure he will be a factor all day long though. I have him across the line 3rd.

My Overall Ranking: 3rd

4. Denny Hamlin - Hamlin should contend for a win on Sunday, but he been too inconsistent this season to be called a favorite in my opinion. Fortunately he have a lot going for him though. Finished 6th at Charlotte and qualified on the pole here at Dover! Followed that up by posting a pair of stout practices on Saturday. I definitely think JGR is onto something as of late. I don't think he will win, but it wouldn't surprise me either though.

My Overall Ranking: 4th

5. Joey Logano - Logano have performed well all season long, unfortunately he have qualified on the front row a lot too. Qualifying 5th isn't bad, but feel like he loses value since he doesn't have the luxury of starting on the front row. It definitely make a huge difference since Logano tend to fade through the field more often than not. I say he have an top 10 car with top 5 potential, if his team can keep up with the racetrack. Historically speaking this is a great racetrack for Joey Logano. Including 6 straight Top 10s finishes!

My Overall Ranking: 5th

Other Options - Kyle Busch (8th), Brad Keselowski (9th) , Gordon (12th), Dale Jr (13th) and Ryan Newman (15th)

B:

1. Martin Truex Jr - Truex is the top option in tier. He qualified 2nd and looked solid in pair of practices on Saturday. It helps that 2nd starting position have produced the most winners! Truex have always ran well here, so that definitely eases our minds too. Realistically I see Truex as a Top 10-option, but his momentum vaults him into the top 5. Add in his strong starting position. I think he end up somewhere between 4th - 8th place range. Honestly I don't know how good Truex truly is. He posted a lot of short runs in the two practices on Saturday. I am not too concerned since this is the same car he dominated Kansas and Charlotte with. I have across the line in 6th!

My Overall Ranking: 6th

2. Kurt Busch - Busch qualified 13th and posted a pair of strong practices on Saturday! I like Busch a lot, but Dover isn't exactly his best track. However that really doesn't matter. Busch have proven it doesn't matter how poor his track record been in the past. I believe he is an top 10 option heading into Sunday race. Not sure how he will finish though. Since Richmond, he haven't scored a top 5 finish. Even though he have ran inside the top 5 a lot! I have him in 7th when the checkers wave on Sunday afternoon.

My Overall Ranking: 7th

3. Kyle Larson - Larson had good practices and a strong qualifying effort. Honestly I definitely can see him notching his first top 5 of the season on Sunday. He had solid results last season and could continue that trend this weekend. He showed decent speed in practice this week and could potentially finish up front if the team can keep up with adjustments. I have him finishing somewhere from 8th-13th place range on Sunday. His solid starting position should help him out. Especially since Dover have one of the toughest pit roads in Nascar!

My Overall Ranking: 10th

4. Carl Edwards - Edwards look to keep the momentum going at Dover! He qualified 8th and posted solid practices on Saturday. Honestly I am still a little iffy on Edwards, but I think he should be more consistent going forward though. Especially since he is basically in the chase now. Joe Gibbs Racing as whole look more comfortable this weekend. All four cars look to have top 10 speed. I say Edwards contend for another top 10 on Sunday, but not sure if he have an top 5 car though. Overall I need to see Edwards put together back-to-back full races in 2015. Something I cannot say he have done this season. I have him across the line somewhere from 7th -12th place range.

My Overall Ranking: 11th

5. Kasey Kahne - Kahne get the last spot in my fantasy relevancy rankings. Cannot say I am very high on him though. In my preview, I wasn't very high on him either. Nothing have changed after 3 practices and a poor qualifying effort. He posted two mid-pack practices and look to have a car good enough for somewhere in the teens. That kinda been the trend for him over the past 5 Dover races. Hard seeing him running up front this weekend. I have him across the line in 14th.

My Overall Ranking: 14th

Other Options - Greg Biffle (16th), Jamie Mac (17th), Austin Dillon (18th), and Paul Menard (19th)

C:

1. David Ragan - Ragan once again look solid in practice, but I am not buying into it though. I personally cannot get behind MWR this season. Personal feelings aside, I think Ragan was by far the best driver this weekend in the C-list tier. He qualified 15th and posted solid practices on Saturday. In this tier, I think he have the potential to finish 4-5 positions ahead of everyone else. However he will need to keep his car out of trouble though.

My Overall Ranking: 20th

2. Brian Scott - Scott is the dark horse in this tier. He qualified 27th and looked okay overall. He wasn't nothing special, but Scott from time to time this weekend have shown flashes of terrific potential. Never consistent enough to be consider a sure thing unfortunately. I think he will contend for a top 25 at Dover. If he can find more speed, then Scott might be a steal in some formats. I have across the line anywhere from 23rd-28th place range when the checkers wave.

My Overall Ranking: 25th

3. Danica Patrick - Patrick have struggled all weekend! Honestly I expect her to be better than what she have shown so far. Danica qualified 33rd and posted lap times mainly around 30th place or so. Honestly I think she will do better than that come raceday. Realistically I don't think she is very useful in most formats. Typically she perform her best on the large-Intermediate racetracks like Michigan and Pocono coming up.

My Overall Ranking: 26th

4. Justin Allgaier - Allgaier typically doesn't performance well on tracks like Dover. He usually good for finishes somewhere in the mid-20s to lower-30s. He qualified 24th, but have hovered around the 30th place mark on the speed charts most of the weekend! Honestly I usually don't even consider Justin outside of the short-tracks. His equipment just isn't good enough to run competitively in this tier. I have him across the line in 28th!

My Overall Ranking: 28th

Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Picks (Dover)

Welcome to TimersSports

Dover is next on tap for NSCS. This is a tough racetrack to master. The monster mile brings many challenges to teams and drivers. Most drivers will be chasing the track all weekend long. While other will find a rhythm and run away with Sunday's race!

From fantasy point of view the key to success will be to use drivers who have performed well at Dover. As there is no true comparable track. Unlike the cookie-cutters we have been visiting recently.

Yahoo -

A:

Start: Jimmie Johnson (7)

Bench: Matt Kenseth (8)

Explanation- Jimmie Johnson will be the favorite in Sunday race. No need to get cute and leave points on the table. It won't pay off to save because this Johnson best track. What are saving him for? Need to use him at his best tracks and Dover qualifies.

B:

Start: Carl Edwards (9), Martin Truex Jr (7)

Bench: Kyle Larson (9) , Kurt Busch (7)

Explanation- Who offer me the most potential points? Larson will be good, but I don't trust him. Busch will be good, but I think there better tracks ahead for him. Edwards and Truex in my opinion were just better overall! Strong Dover record and fast cars.

C:

Start: Brian Scott (9)

Bench: Danica Patrick (8)

Explanation- Pretty meh options in C this week. I really don't like anyone. One of the reasons I thrown Brian Scott on late Thursday night. He haven't been super, but he might be a sneaky option to use. Especially since I don't really see anyone running away in this tier.

Fantasy Live - 78,41,4,46, and 19

Fox Fantasy Racing - 48,2,24,18 and 41

Draft King - 48,78,18,27 and 43

Sleeper - Paul Menard

Winner - Jimmie Johnson

Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12

Fantasy Sleepers & Busts (Dover)

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The Nascar Sprint Cup Series travels north to Dover,Delaware! Dover is one of my favorite racetracks on the schedule. The key to success this weekend is to load up on drivers who have performed well at Dover. Typically the same drivers run up front each time we come here. Not often do we see smaller (or non-big name) teams contend even for top 10s. There isn't a lot of good sleepers I would consider this week, but one or two may surprise us though.

Sleepers -

Clint Bowyer: Bowyer isn't the most talked about driver this week, but he been solid at Dover the past few season! Since joining MWR, he have knocked off 6 Top 10s in 6 starts. In fact he have wheeled off 8 straight Top 10s. More impressively, he have a 11.8 average finish in 18 career starts. Only 3 active drivers boots better average finish (minimum 10 starts). Last season he was just as strong! He slapped together 6.5 average finish (5th-best) with 9.5 average run position (6th-best) and 99.9 driver rating. Feel like Toyota is in a better place this season, so Bowyer definitely will have the potential to match those numbers!

Kyle Busch: Busch wouldn't be a sleeper if he didn't miss the first 11 races! He is a threat to win this weekend. Last week at Charlotte, I was super impressed by him! Not many drivers can race like Kyle did so quickly after injury. Dover is one of Kyle's better tracks. 13 of his 20 career starts have ended inside the top 10. Over the past 6 races at the 1-mile track, he have wheeled off 16.2 average finish, 5.7 average start (series-best) , 10.0 average run position (7th-best), 568 laps led (2nd-most) and 112.2 driver rating (3rd-best). Across the board very strong numbers. Just know Busch typically finishes top 10 or somewhere outside the top 20.

Greg Biffle: Biffle have finished 12th and 2nd over his past 2 NSCS races. Last weekend's race at Charlotte was definitely a fluke, but his Kansas effort wasn't though! Biffle have a decent record at Dover. 4 of the past 6 races have ended inside the top 16. Before Roush jumped into the shitter, Biffle was one of the more reliable fantasy options in the series! From 2003 to 2010, he knocked off 11 Top 10s in 14 races! I don't expect another top 10 this weekend, but an top 15 isn't out of the question though. However I say he is more likely to finish inside the top 20 with potentially Top 15 upside!

Busts -

Jamie Mac: Usually I don't throw Jamie Mac on the bust list because of his equipment/potential. Unfortunately Dover haven't been a great track for him! He haven't gone 13 straight races at Dover without a Top 10 finish. In that span, he have held 21.5 average finish with 18.1 average run position and 77.5 driver rating. Okay maybe that too much data. Let look at his past 4 races at Dover: 19.8 average finish with 15.0 average run position and 80.4 driver rating. Guess my point being there are better places to use him at!

Kasey Kahne: I like Kahne most weeks because of his equipment level. Unfortunately that won't matter at Dover! In 6 career starts with HMS, he have only 1 Top 10 finish. That was in his debut in June 2012. Where he finished 9th. Since? Every finish have been between 13th and 23rd. Typically Kahne will have top 10 potential with a little luck. Personally I think there better places to use him. Especially since Kahne tend to run his best on cookie-cutter racetracks.

Email - briggs_gary48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12

Monday, May 25, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (Dover)

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1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Kevin Harvick
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Martin Truex Jr
6. Jeff Gordon
7. Kyle Busch
8. Joey Logano
9. Dale Jr
10. Kurt Busch
11. Carl Edwards
12. Denny Hamlin
13. Kasey Kahne
14. Kyle Larson
15. Paul Menard
16. Jamie McMurray
17. Ryan Newman
18. Tony Stewart
19. Clint Bowyer
20. Greg Biffle
21. Aric Almirola
22. Austin Dillon
23. Danica Patrick
24. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
25. David Ragan
26. Justin Allagier
27. Casey Mears
28. AJ Dinger
29. Sam Hornish Jr
30. Trevor Bayne

Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar

Fantasy Nascar Preview (Dover)

Welcome to TimersSports

We are headed to Dover! Where an 1-mile racetrack known as the "monster mile" lies! This is arguably one of the most difficult track on the schedule. Not because how physically challenging it is, but only handful of driver understand Dover. In simpler terms, only a select few have successful mastered this place. So making fantasy picks this week should be pretty cut-clear.

Typically the cream rises to the top at Dover! So from a fantasy vantage point, I wouldn't try to get too fancy. Especially with tracks such as Pocono, Michigan and Sonoma on tap. All good places to get off-sequence!

Let get start!

1-Jamie Mac: The CGR cars sucked at Charlotte! Honestly I was very surprised. Thought they were decent all weekend. Not real high on JMac at Dover though. He struggled last season here. He posted 17.5 average finish, 12.0 average start, 18.5 average running position, 25% laps completed inside the top 15 and 73.9 driver rating. Those aren't great numbers and that was with CGR running better last season. Over his past 5 races at Dover, JMac have compiled 20.6 average finish, 12.2 average start, 16.4 average running position, and 77.5 driver rating. In those 5 races, he been pretty inconsistent with 2 Top 15s and two finishes outside top 20. Historically speaking, JMac holds 18.2 average finish with 5 Top 10s (15 Top 20s) in 24 starts. However, his last top 10 was in 2008 with Roush.

2-Brad Keselowski: Keselowski is coming off another top 10 at Charlotte! I like what he brings to the table in terms of fantasy value this weekend at Dover! Last season he was real strong here. He finished 2nd in both races. Over the past 5 races here, Brad K have compiled 9.4 average finish, 5.8 average start, 8.8 average running position, 95 laps led and 108.1 driver rating. Those are some really strong numbers! Historically speaking, Keselowski holds 13.2 average finish with 4 Top 5s (8 Top 10s) in 10 career starts. Including 4 of the past 5 races ending inside the top 5. He should make a fine fantasy option at Dover in almost every format!

3-Austin Dillon: Dillon is coming off his best performance of the season arguably at Charlotte! At Dover, he isn't exactly an viable fantasy option! In 3 career starts, Dillon have compiled an 23.4 average finish with 2 Top 25 finishes. The lacking of data and other important variables makes Dillon's value unknown. Based on this season, I wouldn't nothing more than maybe top 20 finish. And that's probably on a good day for him.

4-Kevin Harvick: Harvick is coming off his worst finish of the 2015 season! At Dover last season, he held 15.0 average finish, 4.5 average start, 10.5 average running position, 247 laps led and 112.1 driver rating. Last fall he led 223 of 400 laps and finished 13th. He had the car to beat most of that race! Feel like Harvick will be overshadowed by guys like Johnson and Gordon. Mainly because of their stout track records. Let me be clear that Harvick will be a heavy favorite come Sunday. In 28 career starts, Harvick holds 15.1 average finish with 12 Top 10s and 22 Top 20s. Including 13 straight finishes of 20th or better!

5-Kasey Kahne: I am not super high on Kahne, but there probably worst options out there too though. Not many drivers have teammates like Gordon and Johnson either. Last season, Kahne posted 19.5 average finish, 14.5 average start, 15.0 average running position and 87.4 driver rating. His career numbers are even worse! In 22 career starts, Only 20.9 average finish with 5 Top 10s and 12 Top 20s. Since joining HMS, he have only 1 Top 10 and that was in his debut. There better places to use him!

10-Danica Patrick: Patrick isn't my ideal fantasy option, but SHR will give her a good enough car to potentially run top 20. Realistically she will be able to finish top 25 more likely. Last season, she posted 24.0 average finish with 24.5 average running position and 58.4 driver rating. She is a visible option in Yahoo! and probably the only format she is worth anything in. Least this week at Dover!

11-Denny Hamlin: Joe Gibbs Racing have made huge strides of late and they as a whole have a lot of momentum! Dover is a good place to keep it going too. Last season, Hamlin posted 8.5 average finish, 5.0 average start, 8.0 average running position, and 101.2 driver rating. Really good numbers in a down year for JGR as a whole. Over the past 5 races here, Hamlin compiled 15.8 average finish, 6.0 average start, 7.8 average running position, and 98.7 driver rating. Historically speaking, Hamlin been pretty middle of the road! In 18 career starts, he holds 19.2 average finish with 12 Top 20s and 6 Top 10s. There probably better options out there in my opinion!

14-Tony Stewart: I am not that high on Stewart, but his last three starts have looked pretty decent though. With all three races ending inside the Top 14. Including 2 Top 10 in those 3 races. Realistically I am not expecting too much from him. Fantasy Nascar is all about assets/liabilities when it comes to sleepers. Stewart fall on the wrong side of the coin. He need to show some consistency eventually, before we can even consider him!

16-Greg Biffle: Biff been decent the past few races. If RFR is even little legitimate, then Biffle should run well at Dover! Before RFR went to crap, they were one of the best at Dover. Last season he posted 29.5 average finish with 24.5 average running position and 65.1 driver rating. From career point of view, Biff holds 13.7 average finish with 11 Top 10s and 19 Top 20s. Including 4 finishes inside the Top 16 in the past 6 races (3 seasons). I am not sold on Roush, but they seem to be on the right track though. I would expect another top 20 from him, but wouldn't rule out top 15 potential though.

18-Kyle Busch: The return of Busch was huge for JGR! They ran one of their best races of the 2015 season and placed all four cars in the top 11 at Charlotte. Dover have been for a long time a great track for Rowdy! Last season he had finishes of 42nd and 10th. In the summer race, he led 81 laps before getting put in the wall. Over the past 5 races here, Rowdy have compiled 13.6 average finish, 5.2 average start, 8.6 average running position, 563 laps led and 118.1 driver rating. Historically speaking, Rowdy been great in 20 career starts! He holds 14.1 average finish with 13 Top 10s. Including 8 Top 10s in the past 10 races. Including 3 of the past 4!

19-Carl Edwards: Edwards finally got that win and now he may go on a hot streak. At the right time too! A lot of great tracks coming up and JGR seems to be headed in the right direction. Last season Edwards posted respectable numbers with RFR. He held 12.5 average finish with 16.5 average running position and 80.4 driver rating. He been solid over the past 5 races. He posted 15.8 average finish, 16.8 average start, 14.0 average running position and 82.1 driver rating. If he can run that good with RFR in lesser equipment, then he should easily run top 10 this weekend. Historically speaking, Edwards been one of the best in the series! In 21 career starts, he holds an 10.2 average finish with 12 Top 10s and 19 Top 20s. Including 16 of the past 18 races ending inside the Top 15.

20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth is having a solid season, but he could be a lot better. Honestly I think Dover is one of his best tracks. Last season he was very strong and posted 4.0 average finish, 17.5 average start, 6.0 average running position, and 111.2 driver rating. Dover been one of Kenseth best tracks since joining JGR. He have wheeled off 3 straight Top 7 finish. Historically speaking, Kenseth been very stout. In 32 career starts, he holds 12.7 average finish with 21 Top 10s and 24 Top 20s. Including 10 of the past 14 races have ended inside the top 5. A lot of people will probably overlook Kenseth, but he definitely have the potential to be a great option!

22-Joey Logano: Logano is coming off one of his worst races of the 2015 season! However Dover is one of his favorite racetracks on the schedule! Last season he posted 6.0 average finish with 10.0 average running position and 98.8 driver rating. Those aren't the best numbers in the series, but he been strong throughout his entire career here! In 12 career starts, Logano holds 13.8 average finish with 8 Top 10s and 9 Top 15s. Including 6 straight Top 10s finishes. Need a sneaky fantasy option? Logano may be your go-to-guy!

24-Jeff Gordon: Gordon is widely known as one of the best drivers at Dover, but I don't think that will be the case at Dover though. He have struggled all season long, so I am not expecting anything special from him honestly. He was very strong last season here. As he posted 6.0 average finish, 8.0 average start, 4.0 average running position and 122.0 driver rating. Realistically I wouldn't expect those type of numbers this weekend. I would say he could be an top 10 play if everything goes according to plan!

27-Paul Menard: Menard is having a nice season and should be worth a look. Last season he posted 13.0 average finish, 17.0 average start, 15.5 average running position and 79.7 driver rating. Those are respectable numbers that should get Menard some consideration this weekend at Dover. He been strong all season though. Eventually he will get the results to go along with the performances too! Historically speaking, Menard have struggled at the 1-mile racetrack. Only 8 Top 20s and 2 Top 10s in 15 starts with 19.0 average finish. On the positive side, he have 6 Top 20s in 8 starts since joining RCR.

41-Kurt Busch: Busch have been strong all season long. His Dover record doesn't exactly stout, but do it really matter? Busch been fast everywhere this season and that unlikely to change this weekend. Last season he posted 18.0 average finish with 15.5 average running position and 77.7 driver rating. Looking at his career numbers that been he been typical Kurt Busch. Pretty much an teen-driver most of the time! In 29 career starts, he holds 18.1 average finish with 8 Top 10s and 19 Top 20s. I don't hate use Busch, but there definitely better tracks for him in the near future though.

42-Kyle Larson: Larson is coming off one of his worst performances of the 2015 season! Not sure what wrong with CGR, but they're off compared to last season. However I wouldn't worry about Larson. They probably missed the setup as this was the first time both cars struggled that bad. Not really sure what to expect from either CGR cars. Larson posted two solid results last season, but his performance level been down this season. Last season he posted 8.5 average finish, 6.0 average start, 11.5 average running position and 93.5 driver rating. I would expect another Top 15 from Larson with potential to run top 10.

48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson love messing with us fantasy players! Two of his best tracks had ended in poor finishes. Fortunately Johnson rarely deliver back-to-back duds. When Johnson messes up, he usually rewards the loyal players with a win the following week. At Dover, I would say it almost a given he will show up as the heavy favorite. Last season he posted 2.0 average finish, 6.0 average start, 3.0 average running position, 272 laps led and 133.4 driver rating. Surprising he had one of the strongest cars last fall, but failed to lead a lap. Historically speaking, Johnson been a top 10 machine here. In 26 career starts, Johnson holds 8.1 average finish with 19 Top 10s and 24 Top 20s. Including 10 Top 5(!) in the past 13 races.

78-Martin Truex Jr: Truex is a former Dover winner and no driver is hotter than the driver of the 78 car! For weeks now I been circling Dover as Truex's next win. Last season he posted 6.5 average finish, 21.0 average start, 15.5 average running position and 86.7 driver rating. The past two races he been one on a tear and he will eventually rip off a win and it might be this weekend! Historically speaking, he holds 15.8 average finish with 8 Top 10s and 12 Top 20s in 18 career starts!

88-Dale Jr: Dover isn't Dale Jr best track, but he probably better than most even realize. 5 Of the past 6 races here have ended inside the Top 11 for Dale Jr. Including an 2nd place run in 2013. Last season he posted 13.0 average finish, 19.0 average start, 13.5 average running position and 87.3 driver rating. Dale Jr is having a great season, so I wouldn't rule out another top 5 from him this weekend. Currently he is on a streak of 3 straight Top 5 finishes dating back to Talladega.

Also don't forget to check out Nascar Behind The Wall! Good blog for all your basic Nascar needs. Such as track schedule, Entry lists, Race Preview,etc. All in one easy location!

Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans

Saturday, May 23, 2015

Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (CMS)

Welcome to TimersSports

Happy Raceday. Setting your fantasy team can be difficult , especially with everything being factored in. Below our group of experts give their thoughts on today race (Including their final
picks).

Kate Roswell (@CrazyKateNascar):

-Can Jimmie Johnson win his 4th race on the 1.5 milers? He had the best car at end of happy hour.

- Expect pit strategy to be the ultimate decision maker in tonight's race.

-I expect least a few blown engines tonight. 600 miles is a tough task to accomplish. Especially for these smaller teams!

- David Ragan starts from 7th! Can he keep his Toyota up front? Would be huge, if he could.

Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):

- How about Greg Biffle? He have looked decent all weekend. Can he keep it rolling? I think he can.

- Those Gibbs cars are being overlooked. Don't sleep on them! Especially the 20.

-CGR cars could make some noise before the checkers wave. More specifically Kyle Larson. Be watching that kid. He gonna eventually put together a full race.

-The guy to watch is Paul Menard! He have shown great potential on the Intermediate tracks lately and is due for a breakout finish.

Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):

-Austin Dillon caught my eye this week. Qualified well and had respectable practice results.

-Can Kasey Kahne make up to the front? Maybe. Maybe not. He definitely have the equipment to do it!

- Is this the week Edwards finally break out of his slump? Or do we have to re-adjust our standards for him? Soon we may have to.

-How will Kyle Busch do in his first race back? Hopefully very well. He's good for this sport.

Yahoo Lineups -

Kate's Lineup: 48,41,19,21

Garry's Lineup: 22,41,78,25

Matt's Lineup: 48,41,19,25

Sleepers Pick-

Kate's Pick: Greg Biffle

Garry's Pick: Paul Menard

Matt's Pick: Paul Menard

Race Winner -

Kate's Winner: Kevin Harvick

Garry's Winner: Kevin Harvick

Matt's Winner: Jimmie Johnson

Fantasy Nascar Update (Charlotte)

Welcome to TimersSports

The key to success this weekend will be track position and keeping up with the track for 600 miles. The Coca-Cola 600 is the longest race of the season and have a known history of favoring drivers who start up front. From an fantasy vantage point, Sunday night's race will be like trying to pinpoint where lightning will strike! The track will go through three stage: Daylight, dust and nighttime! Each transition will change the track and the front runners. Who can keep up with the changes best may end in victory lane!

A:

1. Kevin Harvick - When it all said and done, I believe Harvick will be one of the drivers contending for the race win. He rolls off from 8th starting position and looked pretty good in practice overall. He didn't look like an odd-on favorite, but mark my words he will finish least in the top 5! Its definitely helps that he have won this event 2 of the past 3 seasons. More importantly, he have an 1.8 average finish on this type track in 2015. Texas and Atlanta are the most similar tracks to Charlotte. He won at Atlanta and finished 2nd at Texas. Harvick is probably your safe pick.

My Overall Ranking: 1st

2. Joey Logano - People tend to undervalue the importance of starting up front! I find it a special advantage to start up front with a driver like Logano. Especially since Penske doesn't have the power to outrun the Hendrick powered cars. His overall value may vary depending on type of scoring system. In formats such as Yahoo, he is probably the most valuable. Mainly due to how the scoring is setup. Not to mention, he was only selected by 23% compared to Johnson/Harvick 50%. Other formats that take position differential and count each laps as points (such as Fantasy Live and draftKing). He will likely be overvalued. He was pretty good in both practices. I see Logano finishing inside the top 5 when the checkers wave!

My Overall Ranking: 2nd

3. Jimmie Johnson - Johnson have looked strong since unloading! Potential alone he belongs inside the top 5. I definitely like Johnson a lot as I think he will contend at some point in Sunday's race. However his track record at Charlotte is concerning. Over his past 10 races ( 5 seasons span) , he have finished 17th or worse in 50% of his starts. Also had 4 top 5s though. On flip side, he have been the best driver on the 1.5 mile tracks this season. Winning 3 times in 4 races! Probably should've won all four in my opinion. Based off practice, Johnson is locked for an top 5 finish at Charlotte.

My Overall Ranking: 3rd

4. Matt Kenseth - Kenseth starts from the pole on Sunday! I believe he have a solid car this weekend, but I am not convinced he can stay with the Hendrick and Penske powered cars. He probably will mix it up with them, but in the end it probably won't matter. Kenseth may have the winning card though with the best pit stall. Remember the All-star race? Hamlin was the first one off pit road! JGR have been consistency the best on pit stops. Based off practice, I think Kenseth have Top 5-potential. His excellent starting position should give him the opportunity to lead the first lap. Definitely give him consideration in league which offer bonus points for leading laps. It could pay off, if he can get a good start. Clean air at Charlotte is an equalizer in my opinion! Least for a little while.

My Overall Ranking: 4th

5. Brad Keselowski - I don't think Keselowski is good enough to win. But I expect him to hover around the top 5 for most of Sunday's race. In practice, he was pretty solid overall. Posted consistent lap times from what I saw on the speed charts. He never stood out from the pack, but I wasn't expecting him to either though..I have him across the line in the 5th position.

My Overall Ranking: 5th

Also consider - Dale Jr (6th) , Jeff Gordon (9th), Kyle Busch (11th), Denny Hamlin (12th) and Ryan Newman (13th)

B:

1. Martin Truex Jr - Truex Jr is the top driver in this tier for several reasons! He start 10th and look to have an fast car this weekend. I don't think he will be as good as Kansas, but he will mix it up among the leaders all race long. Another attribute I like is his track record in 2015! 10 of 11 races have ended inside the top 10. Atlanta and Texas are the most similar tracks and he finished inside the top 10 in both races. I see him finishing around there once again. I have across the line in 6th!

My Overall Ranking: 7th

2. Kurt Busch - Busch will start from 15th and seems to be have a car capable of running up front with teammate Kevin Harvick. However he haven't been able to stay up front at end of races. He tend to fall off more often than not. Minus his win, Busch only have two other Top 5 finishes this season. Not for lack of speed or performance though. If nothing goes wrong, I expect Busch to finish near the top 5. Unfortunately I have feeling he may fade late in the race. I have Busch across the line inside the top 10!

My Overall Ranking: 8th

3. Carl Edwards - Edwards is a true headache for fantasy players! Honestly I feel like he have a better setup for qualifying than the race. I am sure he will race fine on Sunday, but it unlikely for him to stay inside the top 3 all race long. Some of his best performances this season have came on the 1.5 mile racetracks. He was decent in practice, but I thought he had about 10th place car. Maybe a little better at times. Unfortunately his inconsistency in 2015 hurt him in my overall rankings!

My Overall Ranking: 10th

4. Kasey Kahne - Kahne wil either be a super-value play or fool gold. That will depend how Kahne makes it through the field. Can he make it to the front without finding trouble? I think he can make up to the front without much trouble at all. However I would feel much about him with an decent starting position. In practice, I thought he was pretty strong overall! He should be able make his way through the field fairly quick and potentially contend for an top 10.

My Overall Ranking: 14th

5. Kyle Larson - Larson starting to show that competitiveness from 2014. Saw glances of it at Bristol and Kansas, and showed flashes of it in practice this weekend too! Earlier in the season, we didn't really see it all that much. He will start from inside the top 10 and seems to have a car capable of running up front! I think him running the NXS race should've greatly benefit him. I say he definitely have top 10 potential, but it difficult to say with his inconsistency in 2015 though.

My Overall Ranking: 15th

Other Options - Greg Biffle (16th) , Paul Menard (18th) and Jamie Mac (19th)

C:

1. David Ragan - Ragan was pretty much the best driver in this tier all day in Saturday's practices! I thought he was better in the morning session, but still looked solid in the afternoon practice though. It helps that he starts inside the top 10 too. I don't think he will stay inside the top 10, but he have impressed me all weekend. Honestly I was caught off guars by him!

My Overall Ranking: 17th

2. Ryan Blaney - Blaney was pretty good in both sessions on Saturday! He will roll off from 16th and should probably contend for an top 20 at the 600. Realistically I think he will run outside the top 20 for most of the event and sneak in late. Just think he will get better as more laps get put down. His inexperience is what make me nervous. I have him across the line at 19th when the checkers wave on Sunday!

My Overall Ranking: 20th

3. Chase Elliott - Elliott wasn't really that impressive in either practices on Saturday, but I think he will be fine. Think back to his NXS career and his last cup race at Richmond! What does he do well? Consistency improve throughout the race. I am not too worried about him. I say he least score an Top 25 at Charlotte! He start from 28 and I have across the line at 22 when checkers waves.

My Overall Ranking: 22nd

4. Danica Patrick - Patrick haven't been nothing special this weekend, but she should be able to keep pace in this tier. Along as she stay on lead lap. I wouldn't expect nothing beyond an top 25 finish though. Maybe Top 20, but that may be pushing it though.

My Overall Ranking: 24th

Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans

Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (CMS)

Welcome to TimersSports

1. Kevin Harvick
2. Jimmie Johnson
3. Joey Logano
4. Brad Keselowski
5. Kurt Busch
6. Matt Kenseth
7. Jeff Gordon
8. Martin Truex Jr
9. Kyle Busch
10. Carl Edwards
11. Dale Jr
12. Denny Hamlin
13. Kasey Kahne
14. Kyle Larson
15. Paul Menard
16. Greg Biffle
17. Ryan Newman
18. Jamie McMurray
19. Austin Dillon
20. Tony Stewart
21. David Ragan
22. Ryan Blaney
23. Aric Almirola
24. Clint Bowyer
25. Chase Elliott
26. AJ Dinger
27. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
28. Danica Patrick
29. Casey Mears
30. Sam Hornish Jr

Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Busts (CMS)

Welcome to TimersSports

This week we head to Charlotte Motor Speedway for the Coca-Cola 600! Usually taking the best drivers available here will make for an excellent outing in terms of fantasy points. However knowing what the scoring is in your respected league will be just as important as your lineup.

Typically at Charlotte, it important to run big guns as they will dominate most of Sunday's race. But don't be shocked to see a few surprises finish in or near the top 10. This race could come down to fuel mile and if it does you could score big with the right pieces.

Busts (or fantasy disappointments) are always harder to spot and predict. Mainly because it usually based on current momentum and/or past track data. Honestly it pretty much a stab in the dark on a weekly basis. Kinda why I may revamp this column eventually!

Sleepers -

Aric Almirola: Knowing your scoring format and rules are extremely important, especially with sleepers options such as Almirola. Depending on your league, Aric should be a super fine underrated fantasy option. Yahoo! players should be jumping on this kind of value. Few options in B-list grouping tier brings the consistency he does. The key to success is reliability usually. Aric doesn't have any Top 10s in 6 career starts. However have 4 Top 20s. Including 3 Top 15s. Honestly he have had only one bad race. Realistically the best you can hope from him is an top 15. That's probably the only reason you would consider him. As I said before don't ever underestimate the value of an top 15 finish.

Paul Menard: I believe Menard's value is running thinner at this point in the season. Most of this is because his inconsistency of late. However he have ran significantly better than he was earlier in the season. In basic terms, his performance have improved while his reliability have decreased. He doesn't have stout track record at Charlotte, but he did finish inside the top 10 last season though. The past 2 night races on this type track (Texas and Kansas) , Menard have been impressive. Before having setbacks in both races. He was running inside the top 5. If he can put together a full race, then he would be a solid top 10 or top 12 option.

AJ Dinger: The Dinger been way better than most people realize! He more known for his potential on road courses and short tracks. However he been solid on the 1.5 mile tracks in 2015. In 4 races, he have an 12.0 average finish with 3 Top 15 finishes. Including 2 Top 10s. He isn't a great qualifier which hurt his stat line overall. I like Dinger a lot at Charlotte because cars usually get strung out fairly quickly! Only take one good pit stop to get decent track position. I am not saying he is a sure thing, but he been solid on this type track all season. Something that caught my attention at the All-Star Race though! Not how AJ Dinger performed, but what Crew Chief Brian Burns said afterwards. He said they're heading in the right direction with their intermediate program. That alone tells me they're making strides with their performances. Hopefully the results shows it on Sunday.

Busts -

Denny Hamlin: Hamlin have a strong track record at Charlotte! 11 Of his 19 career starts have ended inside the top 10. Unfortunately he gotten inconsistent results on the Intermediate tracks. Only 1 Top 10 in 5 races (Cali,Texas,Vegas,Atlanta and Kansas) this season. Actually only one top 15 too (2 technically.) His average running position is 11.8, but hard to trust someone who fades late in races. Realistically I think Hamlin is way too deep of a option to trust. The biggest reason is his inconsistency and lack of raw speed.

Carl Edwards - Honestly I tried to think of reasons to leave Edwards off this list. But I couldn't! In 11 races, he only have one top 10 finish. Edwards always have the potential, but that pretty much it. Until he proves himself, I think it wiser to stay away from him. Unfortunately time is timing on this season. We are only 6 races away from halfway point in the 2015 season! For Edwards it may be now or never.

Email - Briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12

Monday, May 18, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Picks (Charlotte)

Welcome to TimersSports

One of my least favorite races in terms of fantasy is the Coca-Cola 600! This is a endurance race which means equipment,crews and drivers will pushed to the limits. On Sunday, expect to see several failed mechanical issues (such as engines). Also track position is huge at Charlotte. Cars usually get strung out pretty quickly. Especially in the first 500 miles of this race.

Its would be wise to bring the big guns to Charlotte! Not because its a challenging race, but the big name tend to run well here. Like they have all season long. Here are my picks!

Yahoo -

A:

Start: Jimmie Johnson (8)

Bench: Joey Logano (8)

Reason - Gambled on Logano over Harvick for Qualifying points in a last minute decision. It paid off! Who is better? Johnson or Logano? I think Johnson will lead the most laps and win at Charlotte. Ultimately it came down to how many positions do I think Logano finishes behind Johnson? Personally I say north of 3. Isn't worth the start-save IMO.

B:

Start: Carl Edwards (8) , Kurt Busch (6)

Bench: Kasey Kahne (6) , Aric Almirola (8)

Reason - Busch and Edwards look solid in practice, so my hand pretty much forced. Kahne have a fast car, but starting deep. A lot could go wrong. I rather play it safe! Aric will probably knock off an respectable finish, but didn't see enough out of him this weekend.

C:

Start: Chase Elliott (8)

Bench: Justin Allgier (9)

Reason - Both start deep in the field. Both are inexperienced, but Elliott have way more potential and way better equipment! Once again my hand my was forced here.

Fantasy Live - 4,41,78,25 and 83

Sleeper - Greg Biffle

Race Winner - Jimmie Johnson

Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com

Twitter - @MattAleza

Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (CMS)

Welcome to TimersSports

Early Rankings -

1. Kevin Harvick
2. Jimmie Johnson
3. Joey Logano
4. Dale Jr
5. Kasey Kahne
6. Kurt Busch
7. Brad Keselowski
8. Matt Kenseth
9. Jeff Gordon
10. Martin Truex Jr
11. Jamie McMurray
12. Carl Edwards
13. Kyle Busch
14. Denny Hamlin
15. Kyle Larson
16. Ryan Newman
17. Paul Menard
18. Aric Almirola
19. Greg Biffle
20. Clint Bowyer
21. Tony Stewart
22. Austin Dillon
23. Chase Elliott
24. AJ Dinger
25. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
26. Danica Patrick
27. Ryan Blaney
28. Justin Allagier
29. David Ragan
30. Casey Mears

Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar

Sunday, May 17, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Preview (Charlotte)

Welcome to TimersSports

The Coca-Cola 600 is the biggest race of the season (in my opinion). Not only is it 100 miles longer than the Daytona 500 , but it is a home race for majority of the NSCS team! Every raceteam will looking to show off in their backyard. Especially with friends and family likely in attendance. For this weekend race , we will use past Charlotte race data , current momentum , info from the ASR and season data to make our fantasy picks!

1-Jamie Mac: JMac is known to deliver on Nascar biggest stages. He is an former Charlotte winner and won the ASR race last season. More importantly , he been on a tear since Martinsville. In that span , he have an 9.6 average finish and have finished 15th or better in every race. On similar tracks in 2015 , 17.5 average finish, 8.0 average start, 13.0 average running position, 9 laps led and 86.7 driver rating. Only 1 Top 10 in 4 starts on those Intermediate tracks. However last season he posted 4.0 average finish , 22.0 average finish , 8.5 average running position , 39 laps led and 106.6 driver rating. He was one of 5 drivers to sweep the top 10 and only 1 of 2 drivers to sweep the top 5 in 2014 at Charlotte! Historically speaking , JMac been hit or miss. In 25 starts , he have 2 wins and 10 Top 10s. Including 7 of them being Top 5s. Unfortunately he only have 14 Top 20s. In fact he have finished inside the top 5 in 4 of his past 10 Charlotte races. The other 6 results ended in 17th or worse. He worth taking a risk on though. Especially after considering the potential he have.

*Tested at Charlotte in March


2-Brad Keselowski: Brad-K been meh this season. He been really strong at times, but other just good enough for top 10s. Last season at Charlotte , he posted 13.0 average finish , 9.5 average start, 7.5 average running position, 51 laps led and 102.3 driver rating. On similar tracks in 2015 , he been solid overall. He have compiled 7.3 average finish, 7.0 average start, 8.3 average running position, 81 laps led and 108.1 driver rating. Historically speaking , Brad been good. However not great. In 11 career starts , BK holds an 15.7 average finish and 9 Top 20s. Including 1 win and 3 Top 10s over his past 6 Charlotte races. Most noticeably he have knocked off 4 Top 11 in that span. The other two? 16th and 36th. Both races were inflated due to an incident/mechanical issues.

3-Austin Dillon: Dillon isn't my ideal option , but he could make a potential sleeper for deep formats. Last season he posted 14.5 average finish , 26.0 average start, 17.0 average running position , 6 laps led and 76.2 driver rating. His average running position (17.0) stands out because that's really good for him. Usually his ARP is somewhere in the mid-20s or something. However he have struggled on the intermediates in 2015. Only an 23.8 average finish with 24.8 average running position. Including 3 Top 20s (best of 16th - Cali). I don't really love Dillon to be honest. Hard to overlook his numbers this season. Realistically I think he is having an Sophomore slump this season. Kinda surprise nobody have noticed that.


4-Kevin Harvick: There no better option than Harvick right now. He been a freak on the 1.5 mile intermediate racetracks all season long. Including 1.8 average finish , 7.0 average start, 3.5 average running position, 4 Top 2s , 407 laps led and 133.0 driver rating. That's just ridiculous! He was also ridiculously good at Charlotte last season too! How good exactly? He posted 1.5 average finish (series-best) , 9.0 average start (Tied 3rd-best) , 4.0 average running position (Series-best) , 262 laps led (Series-best) and 136.8 driver rating (Series-best). So in basic terms , he was unstoppable. You almost have to have Harvick on your fantasy roster. Historically speaking , Harvick holds an 15.8 average finish and 11 Top 10s. Over his past 10 starts (dating back to 2010) , Harvick have knocked off 8 Top 10s. Including 3 wins in that span. In fact , only once have Harvick finish worse than 11th. No other driver have won more than once since 2010. Do I need to say anymore? I think not.

*Tested at Charlotte in March

5-Kasey Kahne: Kahne's best track is Charlotte. He have won there 4 times and have been strong in recent seasons here. Last season he posted 12.0 average finish , 11.0 average start, 17.0 average running position, 0 laps led, and 84.4 driver rating. Those aren't terrible numbers , but definitely below Kasey's potential! On similar tracks in 2015 , KK have compiled 14.0 average finish, 4.8 average start, 7.8 average running position, 6 laps led and 103.4 driver rating. Most noticeably , he have only 1 Top 10. That was at Texas , where he finished 8th. He ran most of that in the top 5 though. Historically speaking, Kahne holds 11.4 average finish and 13 Top 10s in 22 starts. Including 5 Top 10s and 3 Top 2s in 6 races since joining HMS. I don't see how I leave Kahne off my fantasy roster

*Tested at Charlotte in March

10-Danica Patrick: Patrick been inconsistent this season. At times she looked like an teen-ish driver. At others , she looked averaged in the mid-20s. Hard to judge what she will be at the 600. Last season, she posted 32.0 average finish, 9.0 average start, 21.0 average running position, 0 laps led and 62.2 driver rating. Most Noticeably she have qualified inside the top 15 at Charlotte last season. However haven't fared well during the actual race. This season on Intermediates , she have been middle of the road. Only 21.0 average finish and 3 Top 20s with 21.4 average running position. Her finish was 16th (twice- Texas and Atlanta). There probably better options out there.


11-Denny Hamlin: With Busch back, it hard seeing Hamlin or Kenseth getting the best equipment available. Especially since both are pretty much locked into the chase. Hamlin inconsistency is a real problem too. He only have 4 Top 10s in 2015. More noticeably , he haven't put back-to-back top 10 together. In fact , he have more finishes "outside" the top 20 (6) , then he have "inside" the top 20 (5). However all isn't lost for Hamlin. On 1.5 Intermediate tracks in 2015 , he have 23.8 average finish, 13.5 average start, 13.0 average running position, 14 laps led and 88.4 driver rating strongly suggests he have had bad luck. He showed excellent potential last season at Charlotte though. He posted 15.5 average finish, 4.5 average start, and 14.5 average running position. Hamlin qualified very strong at Charlotte last season, but I wouldn't count on that this season though.

*Tested at Charlotte in March

14-Tony Stewart: Watching Smoke is like watching my New York Knicks (yes I went there). Highly frustrating! Smoke have been historically bad in 2015. This is worst of his career and quite frankly it hard seeing him going on a major run in the summer. He didn't last season and he arguably ran better last season. Honestly his recent track record at Charlotte may give him small relevancy. With 3 of his past 4 Charlotte races resulting in the top 15. Unfortunately I am buying into it. In 5 Intermediate tracks in 2015, Smoke have compiled 28.0 average finish, 23.0 average running position, and 62.6 driver rating. His average finish (28.0) is ranked 36th-best. Brett Moffitt, Casey Mears, Sam Hornish Jr, Trevor Bayne and Justin Allgier are ranked ahead of him. I think I made my point pretty clear!


16-Greg Biffle: RFR have shown signs of life! Okay it not a consistent heartbeat , but for them it an major improvement. All three drivers continue to be running closer to the front since RFR introduced their new car. Biffle is coming off an top 15 at Kansas. How he perform the next few weeks should give us a great idea on his value. Especially with Pocono, Michigan, London, Bristol on the the horizon in the summer months. His stats this season been pretty low to be honest. On 1.5 Intermediate racetracks , Biff have compiled 17.0 Average finish and 3 Top 20s with 19.8 average running position. I will pass most likely!

18-Kyle Busch: Rowdy is back! Its may take a few races, before he get up to speed. But he can definitely go on a run. Rowdy is a streaky driver. Meaning he usually go on hot red runs and cold runs. The key is to jump on that hot trend early on. However I wouldn't use him at Charlotte unfortunately. He have a decent track record, but no season data means its difficult to pinpoint his value. Also consider this is the longest race of the season. More trustworthy options out there.

19-Carl Edwards: Edwards have been a nightmare for fantasy players in 2015. A lot of people (including myself) was expecting good things from him. Unfortunately he been a major headache instead. Consistency runs well, but never get the finishes. Last season at Charlotte, he posted an 6.0 average finish, 13.5 average running position, and 87.3 driver rating. Roush was considerably down and Edwards still got respectable stats. Hopefully he can match last season's production at Charlotte! On Similar tracks in 2015, Edwards have compiled 21.0 average finish, 10.0 average start, 11.8 average running position, and 90.4 driver rating. His average running position (11.8) tells me a lot. Its indicates he been pretty competitive and have ran into a lot of bad luck. Maybe after All-star weekend, he can go on a hot streak. Charlotte would be a great place to do it! Historically speaking, Edwards have 11 Top 10s (and 18 Top 20s) in 20 career starts with an 11.2 average finish. Including 7 straight finishes inside the top 10.


20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth have been the best JGR car this season by far. He always the safe option, so he usually good for a top 10 finish. Expect no different this week at Charlotte. Last season he was strong at the 1.5 mile racetrack. He posted 11.0 average finish, 12.5 average running position, and 91.5 driver rating. His stats should have been better if Brad Keselowski didn't get into him late in the race. He finished 3rd last May at the 600 though. On Intermediates in 2015 (including Cali), Kenseth have compiled 14.8 average finish, 16.0 average start, 11.0 average running position, 55 laps led and 93.7 driver rating. Honestly Kenseth little snake bitten! Had the race won at Fontona, but a late caution killed him. The next Intermediate race (Texas) , he spun and finished poorly once again. Other 3 races? 6.6 average finish. Including finishes of 6th , 9th and 5th. Historically speaking, he holds 13.2 average finish and 25 Top 20s in 31 starts. Including 2 wins , 9 Top 5s and 16 Top 10s. Kenseth is a great dark horse to think about.


22-Joey Logano: Charlotte is Logano best racetrack and not everybody realizes it yet. He been a machine here. Last season at Charlotte, he posted 8.0 average finish, 10.5 average running position, and 93.8 driver rating. Nothing special, but so far in career he been able sustain that level of production. In 12 career starts, Logano holds 10.0 average finish and 7 Top 10s (and 11 Top 20s) with career best of 3rd. Since 2011, Logano have altered top 5 (and top 10) finishes between the fall and spring races. If the trends holds up, then he is due for a strong run at the 600. He finished inside the top 5 in the spring Charlotte races in 2011 & 2013. Finished in the Top 10 in the fall Charlotte races in 2012 and 2014. On 1.5 mile Intermediate tracks in 2015, Logano have compiled 5.8 average finish, 2.5 average start, 6.8 average running position, 179 laps led and 112.9 driver rating. Logano strongest attribute is his qualifying. That asset alone set him apart from most fantasy options.

*Tested at Charlotte in March


24-Jeff Gordon: Gordon is a 5-time winner. However lately he been pretty inconsistent here. Last season he posted 4.5 average finish, 5.5 average running position, and 116.8 driver rating. Stout numbers, however last season was a rare occurrence at the 1.5 mile racetrack. Over his previous 8 races (minus last season) , Gordon have finished 18th or worse in 5 races. Including finishes of 20th, 21st, 23rd, and 35th. On flip side, he have three finishes of 6th or 7th in that span. Feel like people use last season data far too often. Facts remain, this season rule package doesn't favor Gordon. He have taken a step back. Not because he lost his competitiveness, but because last season rule package perfectly lined up for him. This season's not so much. On 1.5 mile Intermediate tracks in 2015, Gordon have compiled 17.5 average finish, 14.8 average start, 13.5 average running position, and 86.4 driver rating. He should contend for a top 10 finish, but beyond that is unlikely in my opinion!

25-Chase Elliott: Elliott will make his 3rd scheduled start of the season at Charlotte. I feel like this type track is a real strength for him. Don't have any relevant data to go on, but I would expect another top 20 from him. Honestly rookies been killers this season. I mean Jones, Elliott and Blaney all found ways into trouble. Hard to leave him off, but I could definitely understand for the ones who do though.

27-Paul Menard: Menard have started the season off very well. However I feel like his best results are mostly behind him. He is starting to post inconsistent finishes. Usually that is a good indication he is becoming more of a liability (value wise). He will probably knock off few more top 10s, but he is ticking time bomb now. Last season at Charlotte he posted 25.0 average finish, 24.5 average running position, and 66.4 driver rating. Historically speaking, Menard have 16 starts with only 6 Top 20s. His career average finish is 22.8 with 2 Top 10s. Since joining (2011), he have posted 4 Top 20s. Fortunately the past 3 springs races have ended inside the top 15. Including 8th last season. Menard strong strength in 2015 have been the 1.5 mile tracks. He had knocked off 2 Top 12 finishes in 4 races. Don't be fooled though. He should have finished inside the top 10 (if not top 5) at Kansas and Texas. Unfortunately bad luck interfered! He was especially strong at Texas.

31-Ryan Newman: Newman have been decent in 2015. Nothing special though. Last season at Charlotte , he posted 11.0 average finish, 14.5 average running position, and 83.8 driver rating. However he been one of the strongest drivers on the intermediate tracks! He compiled 8.8 average finish and 9.0 average start with 13.3 average running position. He haven't been the top opinion, but he have found some consistency (like 2014). Newman lacks upside, but he may be a pretty safe option overall. Especially if you're just looking for an top 10 or top 12.

41-Kurt Busch: Kurt isn't exactly the best option at Charlotte, but he was pretty solid last season. He posted finishes of 40th and 11th. To be fair, he had a stock issue and eventual engine cut his day short. He was running strong before that point. Actually he was around 10th or something. This season he been really strong on Intermediate racetracks. In 3 races (including Cali) , he have compiled 8.3 average finish, 3.3 average start, 6.0 average running position, 130 laps led, and 114.1 driver rating. Expect another strong effort out of Busch! He started on the pole twice this season. Both were on this type track.

42-Kyle Larson: Larson is coming off an 15th-place finish at Kansas. Its doesn't justify how good he was though. Lately Larson starting to show flashes of his 2014 greatest. No surprise since the temps are heating up now. For few months, I have been saying this. He gonna eventually breakout. Wouldn't be shocked if it at Charlotte though. Last season here , he posted 12.0 average finish, 14.5 average running position, and 89.7 driver rating. He have ran extremely well this season on the Intermediates. His 10.8 average running position tells me a lot. Don't be fooled by 18.5 average finish. At Texas and Kansas, he probably should have gotten Top 10s (if not top 5s). Also he have had an 7.5 average start. Can Larson breakout of this slump? I think so.

43-Aric Almirola: Almirola have impressed the heck out of me! He keep knocking off solid finishes, yet people keep ignoring him! That's fine though. More value for me! In 11 races in 2015, Aric have 10 Top 20s and 7 Top 15s. Aric is basically an 3rd-tier driver (equipment wise). So that pretty darn good. In fact, he have scored the 13th-most points per race. More impressively, he currently holds better average finish than Jeff Gordon, Kasey Kahne, Kyle Larson, Carl Edwards, Tony Stewart, Clint Bowyer and Paul Menard. Since joining RPM, he have 3 Top 16 finishes in 6 starts. Last season he finished 11th at the 600. He have knocked off 3 Top 20s (2 Top 15s) on 1.5 mile racetracks in 2015.

*Tested at Charlotte in March

48-Jimmie Johnson: No there hotter driver than Jimmie Johnson. Since finishing poorly at Martinsville, Johnson have gone on a major hot streak! Including 2 wins and 5 straight Top 5s finishes in that span. And now he goes to a track he have win at a ridiculous 7-times. However only one win since 2010. He undoubtedly will be one of the favorites. But recent history shows that Johnson isn't consistent dominated force like he once was. In his past 10 Charlotte races, he have 4 Top 5s. However he have 5 finishes of 17th or worse. Johnson is the safe bet, but I think he is beatable though. Unfortunately I don't think anyone will have anything for him. He have 3 wins on 1.5 mile racetracks in 2015 (4 races). Hard to bet against that overall.

78-Martin Truex Jr: Truex continue to run well in 2015! Expect that to be the case at Charlotte. He had the best car two weeks ago at Kansas. But pit strategy did him in ultimately. Not totally surprising I guess. Since Kansas known for that. Charlotte will likely be the same way. Honestly I don't think Truex will back up his performance from Kansas. He been extremely strong on Intermediate tracks in 2015. He have compiled 6.5 average finish, 10.3 average start, 6.8 average running position and 113.8 driver rating . Very impressive stat-line. Probably should knock off another top 10 this weekend.

*Tested at Charlotte in March


88-Dale Jr: Junior is the most underrated driver in the series among the top drivers. He consistency output solid results and rarely misses a beat. On Intermediates in 2015, Dale have compiled 3.3 average finish, 13.3 average start, 7.0 average running position and 112.7 driver rating. His lackluster qualifying is what hurt his value. I like what he brings to the table. Strong consistency on high-speed Intermediate racetracks and legitimate top 5 upside. He's should be one of the favorites heading into this weekend race.

I want to end today's preview by saying, I wouldn't overvalue the All Star Race. There definitely relevant information from it. However I think it safer to use season data as your foundation.

**All stats from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com & DriverAverages

Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans

Saturday, May 09, 2015

Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (Kansas)

Welcome to TimersSports

Happy Raceday. Setting your fantasy team can be difficult , especially with everything being factored in. Below our group of experts give their thoughts on today race (Including their final
picks).

Kate Roswell (@CrazyKateNascar):

-Expect passing to be difficult! Which mrans strategy will get crazy. Especially after the 2nd or 3rd green flag run.

-Can Danica Patrick make it to the front? She was a popular sleeper this week. Her 7th place run last fall may have oversold her. Least her practice results indicated that.

-Can Erik Jones back up his impressive qualifying effort? Maybe? Maybe not? We will see.

-I think Edwards grabs his 2nd Top 10 of the 2015 season at Kansas!

Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):

-Aric Almirola is a guy to watch out for! He was really pleased about his car in race trim and think the 43 car run up front.

-Larson will have his best run of the 2015 season. I am higher than most on him.

-How will David Ragan fair tonight? That's something I am interested in finding out.

-How about Greg Biffle? Qualifying inside the top 10! Is he fool gold or hidden treasure? I hope he hidden treasure for the record.

Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):

- I expect to be extremely boring with very few cautions or a repeat of Bristol (from few races ago).

-Since the reconfiguration , no driver have won from outside the top 15 starting positions (actually 13th - Jeff Gordon.) Including 3 of the past 4 winners from the top 4.

-Since the reconfiguration , the pole have been won from twice. Logano starts on the pole. He won from 4th last season.

-The past 5 NSCS winners have finished outside the top 10 the race before (Thanks for the fantastic stat , Garry). I found that really interesting and strange!

Yahoo Lineups -

Kate: 4,78,5,18

Garry: 22,1,27,10

Matt: 4,43,27,18

Sleeper-

Kate: JMac

Garry: Almirola

Matt: Almirola

Race Winner-

Kate: Harvick

Garry: Logano

Matt: Harvick

Friday, May 08, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Update (Kansas)

Welcome to TimersSports

A:

1. Kevin Harvick - There a lot to like about Harvick this weekend at Kansas. He was bad fast in both practices and looks poised to take command early. Its also encouraging he was real strong last season here and been the driver to beat on this type track in 2015. In fact on similar tracks , he holds an 1.8 average finish and 4 Top 2 finishes. Hard to ignore stats like those. Especially one that are relevant! He have to be the favorite heading into Saturday's race.

My Overall Ranking: 1st

2. Joey Logano - Logano once again look like one of the favorite to win. He was pretty solid in both practice sessions. More noticeably he was especially strong on the long runs. Showed excellent speed all around. Hard to see Joey not being a contender on Saturday night. I say he will finish anywhere in the top 5. I really like him in Yahoo though. Leading a lap early on could give owners extra confident , in case he fades to latter part of the top 5/top 10 late in the race. Something I always look for in a option. He have a habit of leading laps early in races this season.

My Overall Ranking: 2nd

3. Jimmie Johnson- Johnson have finished 4th or better in 4 straight races. A lot to like about Johnson this weekend at Kansas. He showed decent speed in both practices , but I wouldn't say I was impressed though. Johnson was pleased at end of first practice with the car. However two things Johnson have that I like: 1) Stout Kansas track record. 2) Extremely strong record on similar tracks in 2015. Hard to deny thise things are very important when looking at fantasy picks. I say Johnson will contend for an top 5 on Saturday. Not sure if he is good enough to dominate up front though. I have him finishing around 3rd - 7th place range when the checkers waves. Despite starting mid-pack(ish).

My Overall Ranking: 3rd

4. Dale Jr - Junior looked real good in pair of practices on Friday. Shouldn't be surprised at all! Last fall , Dale Jr should have won this race. In my opinion he had a car capable of dominating at Kansas. He led 45 laps before a blown tire ended his day. I have very high hopes for the 88 this weekend. In the first practice , Dale was overall very fast and ended 4th. He backed that up in final practice , as he posted some very fast laps. Noticeably Dale completed the most laps in the first practice. Most times (in my opinion) that is a good indication , the driver happy with his car. He roll off from just outside the top 12.

My Overall Ranking: 4th

5. Brad Keselowski - Didn't pay much attention to Keselowski in either practices , but his lap times on the speed charts looked real good. So I assumed he was pretty good. His finished both sessions in the top 10 in terms of fastest lap. Also in the first practice , he posted the 7th-best ten lap average (183 mph). Only about 10 cars put down laps. Keselowski should be a top 10 option with potential top 5 upside. However I wouldn't count on it. He was pretty much on the line of top 5/top 10. I would put my money on just outside the top 5 when the checkers waves. I have crossing the line in 6th.

My Overall Ranking: 6th

Other Options - Jeff Gordon (8th) , Matt Kenseth (9th) , Ryan Newman (11th) ,and Denny Hamlin (13th)

B:

1. Martin Truex Jr - Truex is having an awesome season , and you can expect another strong run out of him at Kansas. He was strong in both practices and should be easily an top 10 car. I would be surprised if he finished worse than 8th. I am pretty high on Truex for several reasons. Not only because of his practice results , but he have 3 Top 5s in his past 4 Kansas races. Not to mention , he have finished every race on this type track in the top 10 this season. Everything points to Truex having another great run. I wouldn't be shocked to see him in victory lane.

My Overall Ranking: 5th

2. Carl Edwards - Edwards looked good in both sessions on Friday. He finished practice 1 in 3rd. Clearly was q-trim. He spent most (if not all) of that practice focusing on qualifying. In final practice , I expect he spent majority of it in race trim. He should be an top 10 car for Saturday race. Not sure if he can finish though. The key for Edwards is to get some momentum before the 600. I think Edwards finally steps up to the plate and deliver. I have him across around 10th. I would have him higher , but for now it best to give him little room for error.

My Overall Ranking: 10th

3. Kasey Kahne - We didn't hear much about Kahne on Friday. Despite finishing 13th and 9th in the Friday's practices. In final practice , Kahne posted the 3rd-best ten lap average. However there were only 7 cars eligible to be placed on this speed chart. There two things I like about Kahne: 1) he have finished 2nd or 3rd in his past 2 Kansas spring races. 2) His strength on the high-speed Intermediate tracks in 2015. I don't see him running inside the top 5 all race long , but another top 10 isn't out of the outside. Personally I think that the most likely outcome for the driver of the #5 car. I have him across the line around 8th. Unfortunately I don't entirely trust him , so I had to bump in my overall rankings.

My Overall Ranking: 12th

4. Kyle Larson - Kyle Larson rolled off the truck pretty fast. He was very pleased with his car throughout practice 1 and ended 6th on the charts. He wasn't quite as good in final practice , but I wouldn't be worried at all. Larson focused on race trim mainly and finished 21st ultimately. I expect a breakout race for the young 2nd-year driver. The weather getting warmer and he is due for a great run. Among under the radar drivers , Larson showed the most promise on Friday. I say he have an top 10 run. However he been really inconsistent this season , so that really hurt him in my overall rankings.

My Overall Ranking: 14th

5. Kurt Busch - I am not super high on Busch! In 18 career starts , only 1 Top 5 and 4 Top 10s. No I am not talking about his brother Kyle. His numbers are even worse. His career at Kansas is irreverent , but he didn't exactly scream "winning potential" in either practice. Honestly he more between Top 10 and top 15 than anything. I just cannot trust a guy with the last name Busch at Kansas. However he been bad fast all season , so no reason to believe he won't find a way to the front. Tough to say since this is a night race! I him across the line somewhere just inside or outside the top 10.

My Overall Ranking: 15th

Other Options - Jamie Mac (16th) , Aric Almirola (17th) , Paul Menard (19th) and Clint Bowyer (20th)

C:

1. Erik Jones - Jones was pretty impressive in practice , considering this is only his first career start. I think he can knock off an top 20. Not entirely sure if he can muster something like top 10 or even top 15 finish. Its difficult to run that competitive for a rookie in his first career start. Not to say , he won't. Generally speaking , it is quite difficult. I definitely think he can run top 15. His inexperience may be his ultimate flaw that does him in. I have him across the line at 18th.

My Overall Ranking: 18th

2. David Ragan -Ragan isn't exactly my ideal no.2 option , but you could do much worse in this tier. He wasn't too bad in those practices. He ended 23rd (practice 1) and 19th (final practice). Cannot say he gonna be able to finish inside the top 20. But MWR said they're making gains lately with their cars. I am not against rolling the dice with Ragan. He could be the top option in this tier , if Jones goofs up. I have him across the line around 23rd.

My Overall Ranking: 23rd

3. Danica Patrick -Patrick struggled in both practices on Friday. In my Preview (on Monday) , I pointed out Danica only had an 24.0 average running position and finished 16th last fall. I kinda feel like she will have an similar performance on Saturday. Honestly I don't know if she can sneak into the top 20 this weekend. I say it unlikely , but she have a habit of finishing better than she performs.

My Overall Ranking: 25th

4. Ty Dillon - Not sure what to expect from Dillon. He being backed by RCR , but that team scares the hell out of him. Blown engines have been a common occurrence of late. Including at Daytona and Texas. He wasn't too bad in practice , but nothing overly impressive. Not a lot to like about Ty really. Honestly he probably most useful in leagues that offer points for position differentiate.

My Overall Ranking: 26th

Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans

Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (Kansas)

Welcome to TimersSports

1. Kevin Harvick
2. Joey Logano
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Dale Jr
5. Jimmie Johnson
6. Kasey Kahne
7. Jeff Gordon
8. Martin Truex Jr
9. Carl Edwards
10. Matt Kenseth
11. Kurt Busch
12. Kyle Larson
13. Denny Hamlin
14. Ryan Newman
15. Jamie McMurray
16. Tony Stewart
17. Erik Jones
18. Greg Biffle
19. Clint Bowyer
20. Paul Menard
21. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
22. David Ragan
23. AJ Dinger
24. Danica Patrick
25. Justin Allgier
26. Austin Dillon
27. Casey Mears
28. Ty Dillon
29. Trevor Bayne
30. Sam Hornish Jr

Twitter -'@CrazyKateNascar

Wednesday, May 06, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Busts (Kansas)

Welcome to TimersSports

We turn our attention to Kansas this week! Its difficult to pass here , so expect qualifications to be huge. Its also could be the deciding factor on a late pit stop. Since the repave , we have seen several races decided on pit road. Including last season race in the spring. Honestly I don't expect a lot of caution this week. So picking a few underrated drivers could be pretty beneficial. Don't go too crazy outside the box. Usually decisions like that could come back and bite you.

Below are my potential sleepers and busts for Kansas!

Sleepers -

Paul Menard: I love employing Menard early and often in the season. He kinda my personal favorite go-to guy when I want a solid performance. Don't ever underestimate the value of an top 15 finish. That essentially what Menard does. However recent trends suggests he could be more than that this weekend. His past two Intermediate starts (Fontana and Texas) , he have ran competitively in the top 5 to top 7. That's is really encouraging! Minus Texas and Martinsville , Menard have finished 15th or better in every race since Atlanta. Its also helps that Kansas is Menard best track! In 15 career starts , Menard have an 15.5 average finish and have strung together 9 straight Top 20s. In fact , he have put together 4 Top 10s in his past 5 starts. All after the repave. Before the repave? Only 1 Top 10.

Aric Almirola: How about some respect for Aric Almirola? One of the best surprises of the 2015 season! He should continue his strong start at Kansas. Since the repave , he have shown up with a car capable of running up front in the top 10 every race. The results don't show how good he been. On other Intermediate tracks this season , Aric have managed 16.8 average finish with 17.8 average running position. Minus Las Vegas (worst finish of the season) , he have an 13.8 average finish. Including a pair of 12th place finishes. If you're looking to go deep , then Aric offers the most upside and potential.

Kyle Larson: Kyle Larson was so good in his rookie season , people are saying he is "all hype" after lackluster results. Yes consistency running for top 10s is considered disappointing. Well I have a feel he breaks out before long. Its may happen this weekend at Kansas. Last season he had finishes of 12th and 7th. He have shown great potential this season on other Intermediate tracks. Only scored a top 10 at Vegas. He was inside or close to running top 10 at the other three races (Atlanta , Fontana and Texas) , before finding trouble late. Larson is far from a sure thing , but it undeniable that Larson have the most upside among sleepers this week.

Busts -

Carl Edwards: After 10 races , it clear Edwards isn't settled in at JGR. At this point , it is extremely hard to trust him. His numbers on the Intermediate tracks don't exactly jump off the page either. Only have 19.3 average finish with 12.0 average running position. Those aren't terrible numbers. However Edwards haven't proven he can finish races. To me that is very troublesome in terms of reliability and overall fantasy impact. I cannot blame you , if you decide to trust Edwards at Kansas considering his track. But I wouldn't. Least not until he earns it.


Erik Jones: Jones isn't really a bust , but more of a pre-warning. I like Jones potential , however I wouldn't expect anything other than an top 25 from him. People seem to think he gonna have an similar performance to Chase Elliott did few weeks. There a major difference between Elliott and Jones. Including experience at the lower levels , equipment and abilities. Jones is talented no doubt , but JGR equipment isn't exactly top-notched. Heck his veteran teammates sometimes run in the teens all day. Point being don't expect anything too special from Jones. Or you might be disappointed.

Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (Kansas)

Welcome to TimersSports

1. Kevin Harvick
2. Joey Logano
3. Jimmie Johnson
4. Brad Keselowski
5. Kurt Busch
6. Dale Jr
7. Matt Kenseth
8. Kasey Kahne
9. Martin Truex Jr
10. Jeff Gordon
11. Jamie McMurray
12. Paul Menard
13. Kyle Larson
14. Carl Edwards
15. Denny Hamlin
16. Aric Almirola
17. Ryan Newman
18. Austin Dillon
19. Aj Dinger
20. Danica Patrick
21. Tony Stewart
22. Clint Bowyer
23. David Ragan
24. Greg Biffle
25. Erik Jones
26. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
27. Justin Allaiger
28. Ty Dillon
29. Casey Mears
30. Brett Moffitt

Twitter - @CrazyKateNascar

Monday, May 04, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Picks (Kansas)

Welcome to TimersSports

We are headed to Kansas this weekend. Kansas was recently repaved in 2012. Typically newer racing surfaces leads to faster speeds. Its also lack multiple racing groove which makes passing very difficult. Unlike Atlanta , Vegas, Texas,etc where passing was fairly easy. So expect track position to be huge.

There plenty of value plays laying out there , so I want to use some of those options to my advantage at Kansas. Don't be afraid to be different with your lineup than your competition!

Yahoo -

A:

Start: Kevin Harvick (7)

Bench: Joey Logano (8)

Reason - Last minute switch for Logano (from Johnson) got me 10 bonus points. I planned to roll Harvick and I will keep my word. I think Harvick will finish 2-3 (or more) spots ahead.

B:

Start - Paul Menard (8) , Aric Almirola (9)

Bench: Jamie Mac (8) , Kurt Busch (6)

Reason - This week it all about start-saving. Swapping 42 out for 43 was a really good call. As Almirola looks like a steal this weekend. The 43 team think they can run up front and contend for a win. Also this is their best starting position of the season. Hard to pass up this potential! Menard vs JMac really a coin toss IMO. Don't expect either to run better than top 15. I have a feeling Menard will run a little better. Just a gut feeling.


C:

Start: Erik Jones (9)

Bench: Danica Patrick (9)

Reason - Easy call. Jones is much much fast and start further up. Track position is huge here , so it pretty much a no-brainer.

Fantasy Live - 4,22,48,33,40

Sleeper - Aric Almirola

Race Winner - Kevin Harvick

Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com

Twitter - @MattAleza

Fantasy Nascar Preview (Kansas)

Welcome to TimersSports

After 3 short tracks and an restrictor plate in the past 5 Sprint Cup Races , we turn our attention back to bulk of the schedule. Kansas is an 1.5 mile Intermediate racetrack. This is the ideal track I want after a crapshoot like Talladega. From a fantasy vantage point , Kansas is a very versatile track. There several approaches you can take when attacking Kansas.

Obviously using popular big name drivers is the primary path. However there will be plenty of non-main stream options who could pack a powerful punch. In today's preview , we will look at track stats from Atlanta , Fontona , Texas and Vegas. Data from those tracks will give us a good insight in who will be fast! Also looking at the past few Kansas races isn't a bad idea either.

1-Jamie Mac: JMac will have a lot of potential , but his recent efforts at Kansas scary the hell out of me! Last season he held 32.0 average finish , 12.5 average start , 14.5 average running position , 27 laps led and 89.7 driver rating. He was running inside the top 5 twice last season before a mechanical issue ruined his day. On other 1.5 mile racetracks in 2015 (minus Atlanta - Wreck) , he have compiled 8.5 average finish , 10.0 average start , 12.0 average running position , 9 laps led and 90.4 driver rating. From career point of view , he have 16 starts with 20.6 average finish and 9 Top 20. Before last season bad luck at Kansas , JMac had 4 straight finishes of 16th or better. Including 1 Top 10. He also have formed consistency this season. Only once since Atlanta 38th place finish have JMac finished worse than 14th. That was at Fontana where he ended 21st.

2-Brad Keselowski: Keselowski was solid last season at Kansas , but was hit by the bad luck bug. He had finishes of 36th and 13th. However he did lead in both events. This season on similar tracks , BK have compiled 5.5 average finish , 8.5 average start, 8.5 average running position , 39 laps led and 107.6 driver rating. Last season at Kansas , he held 24.5 average finish , 4.5 average start , 14.5 average running position , 15 laps led , and 83.7 driver rating. He was much better than his finishing positions. Honestly feel like Keselowski was a little bit better on the older Kansas surface.

4-Kevin Harvick: Don't get fancy and try to leave Harvick off your roster. He was awesome here last season. Harvick held 7.0 average finish , 1.0 average start (2 poles) , 5.5 average running position , and 180 laps led. Not to mention , he been a machine on similar tracks in 2015! He have compiled 1.8 average finish , 6.0 average start , 3.0 average running position , 388 laps led and 133.6 driver rating. In other words , he basically been unstoppable! In 18 career starts , Harvick holds 11.5 average finish with 1 win and 15 Top 20s.Only once since 2006 (13 races) have Harvick finished worse than 15th. Including 9 straight finishes of 12th or better. In that 9-race Top 12 streak , he have racked up 5 Top 6s finishes.

5-Kasey Kahne: The only type track I trust Kahne on is the Intermediates. We have a lot of them coming up starting this week. I like Kasey a lot going forward. Especially over the next two races! He almost auto-starts for me in Yahoo. Last season he held an 12.5 average finish , 13.5 average start , 8.5 average running position , 24 laps led and 102.3 driver rating. Most noticeably he finished 3rd in last season event. He been strong on similar tracks in 2015. He have compiled 14.0 average finish , 9.5 average running position , 6 laps led and 95.4 driver rating. His should be much better , but found trouble at Atlanta and Las Vegas! I cannot say enough how impressed I been. Kasey looking like his 2013-self. Since joining HMS (6 races) , Kasey have managed 4 Top 8 finishes. Including 3 Top 4 finishes. His past two spring races have ended in 2nd and 3rd.

10-Danica Patrick: Kansas is arguably Danica's best racetrack in the NSCS. Last season she finished 7th and 16th. Looking at the 2nd race , she wasn't all too impressive. Started 29th , finished 16th , held 24.0 average running position and 67.9 driver rating. She have shown significant improvement from last season. On similar tracks in 2015 , Patrick have compiled 19.5 average finish , 20.5 average start , 20.3 average running position , 0 laps led and 69.7 driver rating. I expect another top 20 from Danica , but I doubt she will repeat her well-documented 7th place run from one year ago.

11-Denny Hamlin: Honestly not really loving any of the JGR guys. I think they all have decent potential though. Last season he compiled 12.5 average finish , 27.5 average start , 15.0 average running position , 0 laps led and 80.3 driver rating. In those races he finished 7th and 18th. I think Gibbs much more further along in terms of competitiveness than last season. The numbers don't show it though. At the other three 1.5 mile racetracks in 2015 , Hamlin have compiled 18.0 average finish , 13.7 average start , 11.0 average running position , 14 laps led and 95.1 driver rating. Several things immediately jump out at me! First is his average running position (11.0) and driver rating (95.1). Why? Because he ranked 9th in both categories. The 2nd thing that stands out is his average finish (18.0). Why? He finished 41st at Atlanta. He had finishes of 5th and 11th at Texas and Vegas. Not too bad. Good enough for 6th-best in the series.

16-Greg Biffle: The Biffle and RFR guys are having a tough season! Big surprise , right? Remember when he use to be good here? "Use to" and Greg Biffle coming pretty common these days. Last season he compiled 15.5 average finish , 10.5 average start , 15.5 average running position , 0 laps led and 78.1 driver rating. Cannot say I seen a performance in 2015 on Intermediate tracks that says Biffle can back those numbers up. On similar tracks in 2015 , he have compiled 22.0 average finish , 20.8 average start , 20.8 average running position , 0 laps led and 66.7 driver rating. Expect another Top 20 from Biff. He may sniff the top 15 before the checkers , but I wouldn't bank on it though.

18-Erik Jones: There will be various opinion on Jones this week. He officially making his Cup debut. I was pretty impressive by the way he filled in for Hamlin. So I will definitely think he can take the 18 JGR Toyota places while Kyle recovering. Really hard to judge him because of lackluster experience at this level. If Jones can keep it clean , then he potentially could end up in the top 20 when it all said and done.

19-Carl Edwards: Edwards continue his rough start at Talladega! If he gonna break out , then expect it to be at Kansas. Last season he compiled 5.5 average finish , 8.0 average start , 11.5 average running position , 6 laps led and 97.5 driver rating. Those are some very good numbers! On other 1.5 mile tracks , he have held 21.3 average finish , 11.7 average start , 11.7 average running position , 2 laps led and 91.8 driver rating. Edwards have been strong on 1.5 intermediate racetracks this season! Its pretty obvious by his 11.7 average running position. If he can break out of his funk , then watch out for the 19 team. In 15 career starts , Edwards have 10.1 average finish with 11 Top 10 finishes. Only twice since 2008 (11 races) have Edwards have finished worse than 10th. Including 3 straight finishes of 6th or better.

20-Matt Kenseth: The best JGR driver this season been Matt Kenseth! Last season at Kansas , Kenseth held 11.5 average finish , 27.5 average start , 17.5 average running position , 1 lap led and 82.1 driver rating. Like I pointed out with Hamlin , The JGR guys are further along in terms of competitiveness this season. On similar tracks in 2015 , Kenseth have compiled 17.0 average finish , 15.5 average start, 10.8 average running position , 54 laps led, and 93.4 driver rating. In 18 career starts , Kenseth an 14.2 average finish with 2 wins and 10 Top 10s. Only once since 2008 (11 races) have Kenseth finished worse than 13th. Including 9 straight finishes of 13th or better. 8 Times he have finished inside the top 10. Kenseth won twice in the past 5 Kansas races.

22-Joey Logano: The guy who may slip under the radar? Logano! An interesting trend have formed. The past 5 NSCS winners this season (dating back Martinsville winner's Denny Hamlin) have finished outside the top 10 the race before! Logano finished 33rd at Talladega. Last season he held 2.5 average finish (Series-best) , 3.0 average start (2nd-best) , 3.0 average running position (Series-best) , 185 laps led (Series-best) and 136.7 driver rating (Series-best). Logano isn't slipping off my radar. I have only Harvick and Johnson ranked ahead of Logano in my personal rankings. At similar tracks in 2015 , Logano have compiled 6.3 average finish , 5.5 average start, 6.3 average running position , 150 laps led and 110.7 driver rating. Most noticeably Logano have led in three of those races (Vegas , Texas and Atlanta). His ability to qualify up front have been huge for him! Logano have knocked off 3 straight finishes of 4th or better at Kansas. Including a win last fall.

24-Jeff Gordon: I would be much higher on Gordon if this was still 2014. He was very solid last season. He held 7.5 average finish , 9.0 average start , 10.5 average running position , 10 laps led and 105.7 driver rating. At similar tracks in 2015 , Gordon have compiled 19.0 average finish , 13.8 average start, 14.0 average running position , 6 laps led and 83.7 driver rating. Gordon haven't impressed me this season on this type track. Never seems to have his car right. In 18 career starts , Gordon holds 10.2 average finish with 3 wins and 12 Top 10s. Gordon have finished inside the top 15 in the past 5 races at Kansas. Including 2 of the past 3 inside the top 3. Most noticeably he won last season race in the spring.

27-Paul Menard: Menard is having a great season! He is coming off another solid effort at Talladega. Last season at Kansas he held 13.0 average finish , 14.5 average start , 16.0 average running position , 0 laps led , and 78.9 driver rating. He finished 17th and 9th in those race. He been solid on similar tracks this season. He have compiled 17.5 average finish , 14.0 average start , 15.3 average running position , 1 lap led and 76.7 driver rating. His past two races on the Intermediate tracks stood out to me! If I put him on my Yahoo roster , it may be because of how impressed I was by him at Texas. Remember that was also a night race.

31-Ryan Newman: Newman isn't exactly my first choice as a fantasy option. However you could probably do much worse. Last season he held 8.5 average finish , 12.0 average start , 10.0 average running position , 6 laps led and 97.5 driver rating at Kansas. Newman actually been quite solid on the Intermediate tracks this season. On similar tracks in 2015 , Newman have compiled 7.5 average finish , 7.5 average start , 11.8 average running position , 14 laps led and 93.1 driver rating. Not terrible numbers, unfortunately his overall fantasy value isn't very high in most format. Mainly due to his lack of upside and/or potential.

41-Kurt Busch: Busch will undoubtedly will have one of the fastest cars this weekend! Last season he was pretty bad in terms of final finishing position. He finished 29th and 42nd. Fortunately expect him to rebound very nicely this season. Tony Gibson was Crew Chief for Danica Patrick last season. She finished 7th and 16th. At Fontona and Texas , Busch compiled 8.5 average finish , 1.0 average start (2 poles) , 5.0 average running position , 110 laps led and 119.2 driver rating. Those are some impressive numbers. Expect least another top 10 from Busch.

42-Kyle Larson: Minus Talladega , Larson have finished 4 of his previous 6 races inside the top 12. On similar tracks in 2015, Larson have compiled 21.3 average finish , 6.3 average start, 11.8 average running position , 0 laps led and 85.6 driver rating. His finishes this season don't even come close to how well he ran. Just look at his average running position of 11.8. That's good enough for 10th-best in the series. Last season , Larson held 7.0 average finish , 11.5 average start , 9.5 average running position , 0 laps led and 103.9 driver rating. Expect least another top 15 from Larson!

43-Aric Almirola: Everyone talk about how great of the season Martin Truex Jr is having , but how about some love for Aric Almirola? The dude been impressive! After 10 races , he have 9 finishes inside the top 20. Including 6 Top 15s as well. Kansas is one of Aric's best high-speed Intermediate racetracks. In the past 4 races , he have 3 Top 10s. More impressively , he have started inside the top 6 in the 3 of the past 5 Kansas races. I believe Aric is performing better than ever. So he play be primed for another top 10.

48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson been a stud on the 1.5 high-speed intermediate racetracks in 2015! He have compiled 14.3 average finish , 17.0 average start , 10.3 average running position , 356 laps led , and 119.1 driver rating. Misleading however! Minus Las Vegas (wrecked out) , Johnson have an impressive 1.0 average finish (2 wins) , 21.0 average start , 4.5 average running position , 220 laps led and 132.1 driver rating. I am impressed about his average running position of 4.5. Because he started pretty deep in the field at Atlanta. Hard to contain an ARP that high , unless you're ridiculously fast. In the past 12 Kansas races , only once have he finished worse than 9th place. That was last fall race's (finished 40th). Before that finish , he had 11 straight Top 10 finishes. Including 6 Top 3 finishes.

78-Martin Truex Jr: Truex have had a great season and quite frankly I haven't been surprised. I was very high on him back in the offseason. At end of last season , there were several races that Martin really performed well at. Kansas was one of them. He finished 4th last fall. Actually 4 of the past 6 Kansas races , he have knock off an top 5 finish. On similar tracks in 2015 , he have compiled 6.3 average finish , 12.3 average start , 9.0 average running position , 8 laps led and 104.6 driver rating. Expect another top 10 from Truex this week.

88-Dale Jr: Junior Nation probably still partying hard! Well don't stop the party , because expect another great effort by Dale Jr at Kansas. Last season Dale had finishes of 5th and 39th. In the fall , he had a rocket! However a blew tire ended his day while leading. Don't sleep on Junior though. On similar tracks in 2015 , Dale have compiled 4.0 average finish , 13.8 average start , 6.0 average running position , 5 laps led and 114.4 driver rating. Expect another strong run by the 88 team.

**All stats from DriverAverages & FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com

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