Thursday, December 24, 2015

2016 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Dale Jr

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Dale Earnhardt Jr

Car #: 88

Make: Chevy

Debut: 2000 (First-Full Season)

# of Career Races: 577

# of Career Poles: 14

# of Career Wins: 26

# of Career Top 5s: 143

# of Career Top 10s: 246

# of Career DNFs: 56

# of Career Laps Led: 8,136

Career Average Finish: 15.5

Career Average Start: 16.0

# of 2015 Wins: 3

# of 2015 Top 5s: 16

# of 2015 Top 10s: 22

# of 2015 Poles: 1

# of 2015 DNFs: 1

# of 2015 Laps Led: 287

2015 Average Finish: 11.3

2015 Average Start: 13.8

2015 Fantasy Recap: Dale JR had a very consistent season during 2015, but he never really was a true race winner contender most weekends. He had his car top 5 good by end of most races, or least top 10. However he never seems to have the ''it factor'' to him. Like oh damn he bad fast. Outside of the plates, he never really dominated any races. I felt like that gave him much less value compared to guys like Harvick, Kurt Busch, Kyle Busch, Logano, Johnson who often got up front and led laps on weekly basis. Besides that, he was a very solid driver in 2015. I don't think you will find a more consistent driver over the past 3 seasons. Overall hard to complain about his fantasy production. Almost every week, he would have some type of fantasy value and that all we can ask for really.

Strong Tracks: Daytona, Pocono, Phoenix and Las Vegas

Weak Tracks: WGI and Charlotte

Yahoo Grouping Prediction: A-list Grouping Tier

2016 Fantasy Outlook: I expect Dale Jr to be consistent like he have in seasons past and I think he can have his best season yet with HMS. I think that may depend on how HMS performs as a whole. These past few seasons, I felt like they have fell off a little in the second half. I think Dale can match his totals from 2015 and maybe a little more, if he can get on a few hot streaks. He will be at his best at the plate tracks. I think he is the best at Daytona. While he haven't been terrible at Talladega, he haven't had the same type of impact either. He will perform very well on the intermediate racetracks, especially on the 1.5 mile racetracks in length. As far as the flats, I am not sure how he will do. He have shown inconsistency these last few seasons with mix of top 5 finishes and outside of top 30 finishes. More so on the short flats though. I would say his best two flats would be Pocono (large flat) and Phoenix (short flat). I think short tracks will be tricky. Since joining HMS, he always been a hit or miss. I have had a tough time figuring him out. At times he looks like a top 5 driver and others well not so much. Personally I would take a wait and see approach with him. Overall Dale Jr should be a really consistent driver with top 5 to top 10 fantasy potential on a weekly basis.

Twitter - @JeffNathans