Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits (WK 6)


Welcome to Timerssports

Fantasy Football is a lot like police work (that my day job) , all of the piece are there. But not all of the pieces will be viewable. In fantasy football , we (the owners) are the police. While our teams represents the potential suspects and victims. And our journey to an league championship represent the case and crime scene. Can you solve the crime? Let dive into week 6!

**All scoring is based off CBS Sports scoring

Starts -

Matt Ryan: Ryan have been off to a fast start. So far this season , Ryan have 1579 yards. (2nd most), 11 TDs (T-6th most) and 6 Ints. Those stats are very impressive. Now the banged up Bears defense are coming. The Bears realistic only had one really bad game (against Green Bay) , but they haven't stopped anyone either though. Bears have allowed the 6th most fantasy points to QBs.

Phillip Rivers: Rivers ranked 2nd among QBs with 1443 yards (288 yards/PG) , 12 TDs (2.4/PG) and 2 Interceptions. Oakland surprisingly ranked 20th in fantasy points allowed against QBs. Nevertheless Rivers is hot and don't expect it to change anytime soon. Oakland have dropped last 4 of 5 to San Diego. During that span , Rivers have thrown 1304 yards, 9 TDs and 5 Ints (Threw 3 of them in last year game).

Big Ben: Big Ben get an awesome matchup in week 6 against the Cleveland Browns who have allowed the 6th most fantasy points against QBs. On only 137 pass attempts (90 completed) , the Browns have allowed 1092 yards and 7 TDs. They are allowing 12.1/yards per completion to Quarterbacks. Big Ben ranked 15th among QBs after week 5. Big Ben have scored multiple TDs in 3 straight games. He should make it 4 on Sunday.

Running Backs -

Lamar Miller: I am not concerned about Knowshon Moreno coming back. There room for two starting RBs in Miami. For now I would prefer Miller. The Green Bay Packers are up next.  They have allowed the 9th most fantasy points against the run. While allowing 124.4/Yards per game (2nd most) and almost one TD per game as well. Miller have been very effective since Knowshon got injuried in first play of week 2. For the immediate future , I expect it to continue.

Fred Jackson: Back in the preseason , the big debate was who the better back Spiller or Jackson? So far it isn't close. Spiller have 61 carries for 214 yards (3.5 per carry) , and 13 receptions for 106 yards (8.1 per catch.) Jackson have 43 carries for 202 yards (4.3 per carry) and 26 receptions for 228 yards (8.7 per catch.) New England represents a great matchup. The Pats have allowed the 10th most fantasy points to RBs. Including 4 scores through the air to running backs. Jackson have scored a TD through the air in 2014.

Justin Forsett: Forsett is Baltimore best RB. He brings two things the other RBs cannot. His ability to catch passes and pure speed. We saw both of those skills on display vs Indy in week 5. Tampa Defense have allowed the 11th most fantasy points to RBs in 5 games. Including 5 TDs so far this season. Forsett have 50 carries for 297 yards and 3 TDs in his limited role on offense.

Wide Receivers -

Victor Cruz - No way can screw this up vs Philly. The Eagles have allowed the most fantasy points to Wide Outs. They have allowed 1000 yards (3rd most) and 8 TDs (Most in league) after 5 games. Cruz haven't been the most consistent player , but he been more reliable on the road the past few seasons.

Kendall Wright: Wright isn't the most sought after player on the fantasy football market , but in week 6 he get a great matchup. Jacksonville have allowed the 5th most fantasy points to Wide Outs. Wright have scored 3 times in 2014 , I expect that total to go up after this weekend. Jacksonville defense just isn't very good..well at anything.

Golden Tate: Calvin was a great decoy for Tate last week and I expect that to continue in week 6. Golden tate ranked 13th among all Wide Outs after 5 weeks. The Vikings were bullied by the Packers wide out last week , and the Lions have potential to do the same. Vikings have allowed the 8th most fantasy points to Wide Outs.

Tight Ends -

Delanie Walker: Walker ranked 5th among Tight Ends after 5 weeks. With 26 receptions for 364 yards and 3 TDs. Those are solid stats for a Tight End. But it get better with Jacksonville next on the schedule. Jacksonville have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points against Tight ends (13.4 ffp per game) , also have allowed the second most TDs (5).

Greg Olsen: Olsen get a great matchup against Cincy who have allowed the 3rd most fantasy points against Tight Ends. Cam Newton have looked to Olsen early and often in 2015. Olsen have hauled in 27 catches for 323 yards and 4 TDs (3rd ranked Tight End.)

Sit -

Quarterbacks:

Cam Newton: Newton had a productive day against Chicago in week 5. But Cincy represents a much tougher matchup. So far Cincy have allowed 2nd least fantasy points against QBs. Newton rank 24th among QBs after week 5 (4 games). In years past , Newton had the rushing ability. This year he have only 44 yards.

Tony Romo: Excluding week 1 , Romo have been very good. Throwing close to 1000 yards , 7 TDs and only 2 Ints over the past 4 games. But Seahawks too tough at home for Romo to be trusted. Seahawks have stuffed elite QBs such as Rodgers and Manning to low ffp totals (at home). Romo may hit a brick wall this week.

Joe Flacco: Flacco is much better at home then on the road. Last week at Indy , Flacco struggled to do much of anything. Including zero TDs. Despite having multiple chances in the red zone. Tampa Bay have allowed the 8th most fantasy points to Quarterbacks. There are better choices until Flacco proves himself on the road.
Running Backs -

Zac Stacy: Stacy suffered a calf strain in week 5 , but the concerned for major injury is low. Zac should suit up Monday night. But he shouldn't be started in your lineups. The 49ers have allowed the 3rd least ffpts to running back. Its very unfavorable matchup for a somewhat hurt Stacy.

Doug Martin: I believe Martin can be the guy in Tampa , but not in week 6. Doug Martin faces the brutal Ravens defense who have allowed 7th least fantasy points against running backs. Martin is more of a liability since Rainey continues to eat into his carries. There are better choices.

Stevan Ridley: Ridley is a tough guy to figure out. Two weeks ago he looked dead. Last week he scored a TD and had around 100 yards. So will we get the bad Ridley or good Ridley. 2014 Stats say the bad side of Ridley. In 5 games , Buffalo have allowed the 4th fewest ffpts to running backs.  Buffalo have allowed 0 total TDs to running backs in 2014.

Wide Receivers -

Sammy Watkins: Watkins have been described as a young Larry Fitzgerald , but even Fitzgerald had his share of difficult matchups. Watkins in week 6 get a very unfavorable matchup vs New England. New England have allowed the fewest ffpts to Wide Outs in 2014. Watkins only have 2 scores in 5 games. Bench him this week.

Andre Johnson: TNF games have been very one sided in 2014. Which usually led to disappointments on the underdogs. Johnson haven't been as productive as fellow teammate Hopkins , as Johnson no longer in his prime. To make matter worse , the Colts have allowed 7th fewest ffpts to Wide Outs.

Tight Ends -

Martellus Bennett: Bennett is off to an fantastic start to his 2014 season. But his numbers seems to decline as a season goes on (based on past history.) Atlanta have allowed the fewest ffpts to fellow tight ends. Most noticeably only allowing 196 yards (39.4 yards/per game) and 0.0 TDs.

Zach Ertz: Ertz have been either all or nothing in. 2014. Big reason I don't consider him TE1 status. Giants have allowed the 2nd fewest ffpts to Tight Ends after week 5. While allowing 0.0 TDs and 44.6/ per game. Ertz have averaged 51.8 yards/ per game and 0.2 TDs/ per game.

*** All stats are from FFToday

Links from previous Starts/Sits:

Starts/Sit - Week 1

Start/Sits - Week 2

Starts/Sits - Week 3

Starts/Sits - Week 4

Starts/Sits - Week 5

Twitter - @MattAleza