Saturday, October 25, 2014

Fantasy Nascar Update (Mville)

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Notes -

1-Jamie Mac: JMac will start on the pole for Sunday race! Remember what I said in the Preview ? And boy he haven't been a letdown either. Fast in qualifying and every practice session. He also didn't fell off too much late in a run. He have an awesome pit stall and a very fast car. Expect an top 10 from him.

2-Brad Keselowski: Matt Kenseth said pay back isn't out of the question for Sunday race. Red flags are raised there. But BK have a very good car. Qualified 6th and looks to be one of the guys to beat on Sunday. Longer a run went on , the faster BK got in practice. He have least an top 5 car in my opinion.

3-Austin Dillon: Dillon wasn't overly impressive in practice , but he is known to perform better in the race then practice. So I would bet he close to a top 15 at the checkers. He looked like around an top 20 guy in practice.

4-Kevin Harvick: Not sure what happened to Harvick in qualifying  , but he's better then 33rd. On Saturday Harvick finished both sessions inside the top 3 on the speed charts. He was pretty fast late in a run as well. Especially after 20 laps.

5-Kasey Kahne: Fantasy racing is about limiting bad liabilities  and using assets to your advantage. Kahne doesn't fit the bill..well really anywhere. I cannot name a track where he was an asset at. Of course outside of Atlanta. If his chase results trends continues , then expect at best top 15. Practice wasn't very encouraging either.

10-Danica Patrick: Danica was unimpressive to me in both sessions on Saturday. Kinda reminds of earlier this season at Martinsville. I don't think she even have an top 25 car. I would avoid her if possible.

11-Denny Hamlin: Hamlin wasn't bad , but I don't think he scores a top 5 on Sunday. Didn't really show much of anything. I think he finishes around 10th place or somewhere around there.The 11overall seems a little off.

15-Clint Bowyer: Bowyer qualified 12th and looked decent in practice. Really not too much to say about Bowyer. Realistically I think his ceiling is top 10 this week. If they improve his car ,then watch out.

16-Greg Biffle: The Biff looked lost quite frankly. He probably couldn't find his way out of a paper bag. His overall speed just doesn't cut it. Longer a run goes on , Biff seems to fade more and more. Cannot have something like that here. An long run could last 100 laps or so.

18-Kyle Busch: Rowdy looked fantastic on Saturday. He may be eliminated , but don't be shocked to see him in VL before Homestead. Busch posted solid lap times in both sessions on Saturday. Fell off a bit too much later into a run though.

20-Matt Kenseth: MK also looked pretty good on Saturday. Matt starts 3rd and have a good car for Sunday race. Posted consistent lap times throughout a run. Expect least an top 10.

22-Joey Logano: Logano posted the 9th best ten lap average in happy hour on old tires. Yeah that impressive. Also track position is huge here. So I would highly recommend starting him. He's an top 5 guy heading into Sunday race.

24-Jeff Gordon: Gordon the last remaining Hendrick car looked great on Saturday. Posted some blistering fast laps in both sessions. And was near the top in 15 lap average in both respectable sessions. Nobody car perfect  , but Gordon closest to it.

27-Paul Menard: Menard showed some muscle in practice which was good to see. But honestly I am not big on him. I say he's have an 12th to 20th place car. I would put my money on a top 20.

31-Ryan Newman: Newman have looked pretty good all weekend. He's wasn't stout like the big guns , but very consistent. I like him for a top 15 finish (Potentially top 10 upside.) Newman could use a little more balance and speed to his chevy though.

42-Kyle Larson: Larson looked good on Saturday after a somewhat poor qualifying effort. Larson was an top 15 guy overall in practice. I think he scores an top 10 on Sunday though. He one of those guys who is a very quick learner. Remember Watkins Glenn earlier this season? He looked lost early on , and managed an impressive top 10.

48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson looking pretty good this weekend. Qualified 7th and posted the best single lap in practice 2 (Saturday morning session) and followed it up with another top 10 lap in final practice. Johnson was overall one of the best cars on the long runs. Johnson at times was just as good as his teammate.

88-Dale Jr: Dale was near the top 10 in my opinion at end of final practice (if not a little better), but thats it. The 88 like his teammates got better as the run goes on. He a nice value play , if the price is right.

99-Carl Edwards: Edwards didn't really look like a championship threat. Edwards was probably the worst of the chasers. In my opinion there are better choices. I expect a finish inside the mid-teen.

Twitter - @JeffNathans