Wednesday, July 01, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Busts (Daytona)

Welcome to TimersSports

We are headed to Daytona this week. There nothing quite like trying to filling out a fantasy team and knowing there a good a chance they all can get wrecked. At Daytona and Talladega there is no such thing as safe. It don't matter how much time you spend on your lineups, because quite frankly all your fantasy picks are like ticking time bombs. Question is how long does your picks have? Let dig into today's sleepers and busts


**Remember Practice is scheduled after Qualifying. So we will get a look at who fast. Not sure how much that means here though.

Sleepers -

Casey Mears: Mears is the first guy that should pop onto your fantasy racing sleeper radar. Honestly I feel like he been little hyped down after his disappointment at Talladega. He did have a tough race at Talladega, but that been his only poor result at the plate races since start of last season. At Daytona in that same span, he ranked 2nd in average only behind Dale Earnhardt Jr. It is pretty tough to find a better fantasy sleeper than a guy with a record like Mears. If he plays his cards right then his we can expect another great performance for the driver 13 car.

Austin Dillon -Dillon is one of the most underrated plate racers in the field. He understand how to use the draft to his advantage. What I like most about Dillon is he have ran very well at Daytona throughout his career. He always near front of the pack racing for the win. Dillon is currently on a 3-race streak at Daytona where he have finished inside the top 15. Earlier this season he finished 14th in that race. If I remember right he did start the big one though on the final lap. However that doesn't take away how strong he was in that strong. He never was a threat to win, but he makes for some nice value if you looking for some.

Paul Menard - Tough to say how Menard will do at Daytona. Personally I think his better racetrack is Talladega as he seems to have more luck there for some reason. However it hard to overlook how strong here been at both tracks over the past few seasons. Several races I can remember where Menard had one of the strongest cars in the event. Including back in May at Talladega. He also had a pretty good car earlier this season at Daytona, but was involved in the last lap wreck. With little luck Menard could be a very fine fantasy option.

Busts:

Greg Biffle -Back in 2012, RFR was easily one of the strongest organizations in Nascar and their plate racing programs was miles ahead of the competition as a whole in my opinion. We could count on guys like Greg Biffle and Matt Kenseth to run up front all race long and battle for the win. Sadly we are no longer in 2012 and RFR have slowly but surely digressed. It started with the Intermediate racetracks. However most recently their performance at Daytona and Talladega have gradually decreased. While Biffle still have a respectable track record at Daytona, he been much better at the 500 race. He still a solid plate racer, but that won't help if you cannot avoid wrecks. For some reason, he have had some tough luck in July lately. 

Matt Kesneth - Kenseth was in his prime at Daytona with RFR, however since joining JGR he been pretty bad. In the past 5 races at Daytona (all with JGR) , Kenseth have 4 finishes of 20th or worse. 3 of those results have ended outside the top 30. He been little better at Talladega, but seems to find bad luck at these type of venues with Joe Gibbs Racing. I think he is still one of the best plate racers in the field, but it pretty hard to trust a guy like Kenseth who have finished 20th or worse in 7 of his past 10 races at Restrictor Plate Tracks. We cannot predict the future, but for now there probably better options out there. Least in my opinion there are.

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