Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Fantasy Nascar Sleepers (New Hampshire)

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Sleepers -

Kyle Larson: Larson makes the sleeper list for 2nd week in a row. People tend to overvalue (or undervalue) the term sleeper a lot. Its simply means a driver who isn't getting enough attention have ''potential'' to performance well. However there nothing 100% guaranteed with this as we have seen throughout the season with Larson. Personally I think he been one of the more stronger drivers all season long as he consistency have had least a top 12 car. More often than not, he have contended for top 10 finishes. Unfortunately rarely have those strong performances translated into solid results. Larson finished 2nd twice last season which tells me a lot about him. Even though he probably only had about top 10 car in both races. I think Larson have a lot of potential to run well and finish well, but remember there will be a lot of risk with him too.

AJ Dinger: The best kept secret this week in my opinion is the Dinger! I have not heard one person mention him. Since beginning of last season (minus road course), the Dinger have performed his best on the short-flat racetracks. New Hampshire qualifies as short-flat racetrack. This season he have an 24.0 average finish at the short-flats (Martinsville, Phoenix and Richmond). To be fair, he was running top 10 at Martinsville before his equipment took a crap. At Phoenix and Richmond, he have an 15.0 average finish with 18.0 ARP and 77.1 driver rating. Last season he raced in both events at New Hampshire and had 15.5 average finishing position. If you need a deep sleeper with top 15 or so potential, then Dinger is your man. Hey you might get lucky and steal some major value.

Greg Biffle: Biff is probably one of the safest fantasy options for this weekend race. Only 3 times since 2005 he have finished outside the top 20. No driver in the field have formed consistency such as Greg. Okay maybe Jimmie Johnson or Carl Edwards, but still that is very impressive. Over his past 8 races at this track, he have an 12.1 average finish which is good enough for 10th-best in the series. Okay that might be too big of a data pool. So let look at the past two seasons (4 races) at New Hampshire. Greg have the 10th-best average finish of 12.3. I guess my point being is Biff will give you security if you are looking to play it safe without using a top tier driver. However he doesn't have much upside, so don't count on squeezing a top 10 finish out of him.


 ***Decided to leave out the busts this week. Mainly because I don't have time. Also I feel like they are useless at New Hampshire with all the crazy factors that goes into the finishes at this racetrack.



For awhile I been meaning to give a shoutout to Nascar Behind The Wall (NBTW)! Just a awesome blog with great information. Always appreciate the retweets on twitter and mentions from NBTW.


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Twitter - @Garryy12