Sunday, September 03, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Dark Horses (Darlington)

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Sleepers -

Ricky Stenhouse Jr - Ricky is one of the better sleepers in the field for Sunday's night race. And remember, when I say ''sleeper'', I am not talking about winning potential or top 10. I am referring to ''fantasy value''. Stenhouse on a weekly basis is one of the better sleepers. Week in and week out, he is a top 15 finisher, if not better. Most people view him as a boarder-line top 20 guy. In reality, he have had very few finishes worse than 16th during this summer stench. He is having a career year and very well could be a guy who steal a finish near the top 10 on Sunday night.

Danica Patrick - Usually I don't give much love to Danica Patrick, but I will look the other way for this week. She is starting 33rd, okay. She has a good enough car to finish in the top 25 or top 30. The common theme during the summer months has been, she finish better than she starts. If she can finish about 25th or better, then she becomes a great value in a lot of formats. And it is not asking too much of her to finish 20th to 25th. Realistically that is her likely finish range. In games that require you to pick for ''position differential'', I like her overall. Especially since, she is not terribly overpriced in most games. Still for  her likely price, you are probably giving up more than you should. Considering that she won't finish any better than 20th-something. But if you have the extra cap, then she isn't the worst option in the field to go with. In 6 of her last 7 races this season, she has finished 22nd or better. While finishing 13 of her last 16 races this season in 25th or better. Danica haven't finished worse than 25th since her last DNF in June's Michigan race.

Ryan Newman - Newman is a nice sleeper for tonight's race. He is starting further back than I expected him to, but I think he has a good shot at finishing near the top 10 in the race though. He has always ran pretty good at Darlington. And he is coming off a top 10 at Bristol. He has been a consistent finisher at this track. In 10 of his last 12 races at this place, he has placed 13th or better. In 3 of his last 4 races, he has finished inside the top 10. With some momentum in his corner, he is primed for a solid race tonight. There are not many reliable drivers out there such as Ryan Newman. He is not the sexy product or the hyped up product, but he will get the results and the points for you. And you cannot beat that!

Dark Horses -

Jamie Mac - When I think of dark horses for this weekend, the first guy that popped into my mind was Jamie Mac. The CGR guys has been popping out fast cars all season long and it haven't been any difference at Darlington. He may not have a top 5 car entering the race, but I think they will get him pretty close by the checkers. He showed speed throughout the weekend, now they just have to translate it into the race. Something that they haven't done a great job of, but it is hard to overlook his upside and kind of speed they are capable of. I really do like Jamie. Worst case possible, he will finish in the top 12. I don't see him finishing worse than 12th. In reality, you are not gambling much here. He is starting 5th and will likely finish 3 to 6 spots behind that position. Obviously, he is a terrible option in position differential leagues. But you get my point in general.

Erik Jones - Over the past couple races, Erik Jones has been so close to winning but he haven't been able to seal the deal though. That could change tonight at Darlington, as the confidence in that young man is growing every single race. I think he is the most talented young driver in the series. This is coming from a Kyle Larson's fan, so that's saying a lot. But I really do believe he is that damn good. He has proven to us that he is capable of winning at any level in whatever you put him in. I think it is only matter of time before he goes to victory lane. If I had to pick a dark horse driver to win, I am going with Jones.

Beware Play of the Weekend -

Ryan Blaney: I know a lot of people are putting stock into Ryan Blaney this week, as I agree it is hard to overlook (or discredit) his potential on any given weekend. Problem is? More times than not, he is failing to meet our standards and usually coming a liability. Excluding his win, he does not have a finish better than 8th place since June. And he only has 4 other top 10 fnishes since end of May. In those 13 races, he have 8 finishes of 15th or worse. He does have 3 straight top 15 finishes entering tonight's race. However, he had issues at Michigan (finished 15th) that came to misleading finish. And finished 8th at Watkins Glen (ran out of fuel) and then 10th at Bristol. He had issues in two of those races. That's a scary thing as a fantasy player. I don't really want that kind of liability!


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Twitter - @Garryy12