Friday, August 22, 2014

Fantasy Nascar Update

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We are at Bristol this weekend! One of my favorite tracks in all nascar. Unfortunately it utter hell setting a lineup for the race. Especially since practice is total mess. Bristol 1/2 mile layout makes the lap times misleading. With some car in clear air and others in traffic. Therefore the typical 10 lap average is worthless. In fantasy nascar , we use a special lap average for Bristol. Know as the 40 lap average. This allow us to see who is good and who not.

1-JMac: JMac wasn't bad overall. Nothing that stood out , but I think he have a top 12 car for Saturday night. Even though I thought he fell off just a bit later in a run.

2-Brad Keselowski: Not surprising BK have a top 5 car this weekend. I thought he stout overall, but not dominated. He was bad fast on a long run. As he seemed to be all year long. He should make a nice option.

3- Austin Dillon: Dillon won't win any popularity contests based on lap times in practice. But he doesn't need to. He almost always races better then he practices. Like most weekends , Dillon will have a shot at a top 20. Dillon wasn't very happy with his car in final practice though.

4- Kevin Harvick: There no secret that Harvick hates New Bristol. He was better at Old Bristol (I think several drivers falls into this category.) Nevertheless Harvick was strong in both practices on Friday. He starts from the pole. Looks to be top 5 heading into Saturday.

5-Kasey Kahne: Kahne needs to win on Saturday and may well exactly do that. He was solid overall. Not sure if he have the car to beat though. He a top 10 guy after practice. Now it up to bullring to decide his faith.

10-Danica Patrick: Danica was so-and-so ,not really impressive overall though. Personally I would not use her. As even in Yahoo , there is least 3 better options. Possibly more. She at best have a shot at an 20th place finish. Realistically I have her 23rd at the checkers.

11-Denny Hamlin: Hamlin wasn't bad , but could use some improvement with his car. He have an top 10 car , maybe top 5. He should make a nice option for Saturday night.

14-Jeff Burton: Burton is clearly still trying to learn this car. So we cannot expect too much from Burton. Realistically he an top 20 guy based on practice. I would highly recommend him in Yahoo and other similar games.

16-Greg Biffle: I like Biff heading into Saturday night race. He was pretty good in Friday's pair of practices. His lap times were in the mid-teens overall. Unlikely for a top 10 , but a top 15 is definitely in his wheelhouse.

18- Kyle Busch: Rowdy was solid to me in Friday practice sessions. He is a lock for an top 10 based off practice. Weather he can stay out of trouble is a hole other problem. Not optimism about that honestly.

20- Matt Kenseth: I had a feeling Kenseth would show up fast to Bristol. And that exactly what he did. He had one of the more consistent cars on Friday. Which is typical for Kenseth in 2014. An repeat performance from March may be in order.

22-Joey Logano: Logano wasn't what I expected. I figured Logano would have looked better then he did. Still an top 10 option heading into Saturday night race. Honestly I would  save him for another week. If all possible, as I believe there a few nice value deals in the field this week.

24-Jeff Gordon: Gordon wasn't quite as good as I thought he was gonna be. He have top 5 car. Even though I thought Gordon was better in Qualifying trim , then race trim. He should be fine though.

27-Paul Menard: Menard CC Slugger's Notes caused a caution during beginning of final practice. Menard overall been fairly quiet on Friday. Typically Menard races better then he practices. So expect a finish around 13th - 17th range. He is a nice value deal this weekend.

31-Ryan Newman: Newman was pretty good overall. He seems a little off to me. Newman haven't done well here lately and I have feeling that will continue. He about an 13th place guy heading into Saturday race.

42-Kyle Larson: Larson was among the best in the two sessions on Friday. Topped practice 1 and rounded out the top 5 in final practice. He will have a shot at an top 15. Realistically he an top 15 guy , with top 10 upside.

48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson looked pretty good. Finished final practice in the top 5 ,but he mainly posted laps in q-trim. Didn't see him in race trim much , so not sure how he stacks up. Other then the laps times I tracked. I imagine he an top 10 guy with top 5 potential.

55-Brain Vickers: This week Vickers was overhyped or undervalued by players in fantasy nascar community. Realistically I thought he had a shot at top 15. And that seems about after Friday practice sessions. He nothing more then a nice start save option to me.

88-Dale Jr: Dale didn't really stand out in either practice session. Not surprising though. Normally Dale looks average in practice and goes out surpass his realistic post-practice examination. He should be a lock for an top 10. I have him finishing 7th.

99-Carl Edwards: Edwards was okay to me. He was overvalued due to his win in March. Personally I think he finishes just outside of the top 10. Don't think he can win back-to-back Bristol races. Without strategy of course.

Twitter - @JeffNathans