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Sleepers -
Ricky Stenhouse Jr - Ricky didn't quite live up my expectations, but I am going to sticky Stenhouse Jr though. I feel like he can end the year strong over these final two races. At Texas he probably would have finished inside the top 20, but Keselowski put most of the field a lap down. So I am not going to hold him accountable for his poor-ish finish. Even though 21st was still pretty decent overall for him. He should get back on track at Phoenix. In the past 5 races here, he have never finished worse than 18th. Earlier this season, he tied his career-best 12th place finish at this racetrack. In fact, he had his best performance at this track as well. In 5 career starts, he have completed every single lap at this racetrack and he ran very during the chase. On short-flats this season, he been shockingly one of the best fantasy values due to most people overlook him. Minus the first race at Richmond, he have supported 14.5 average finish with 19.5 average running position and 80.6 driver rating on the shorter flats racetracks. In those races, he have finishes of: 12th (Phoenix), 17th (New Hampshire), 16th (Richmond) and 13th (New Hampshire). Only race outside of the top 17th was back at the first Richmond race where he finished 28th.
Casey Mears - Yes yes I know he disappointed last week with a 26th, but he just had a bad day. I don't think there was a driver who had more problems than Casey Mears at Texas. From ill-handling racecar to unscheduled pit stops to terrible vibration to whatever else he had go wrong. And despite going 3 laps down before lap 20, he still managed a 26th-place finish. The 13 team actually fixed him up and got some speed into that car. At Phoenix, he could be in for a decent run! Earlier this season, he finished 20th at this track. Actually 3 of the past 5 races at this racetrack have ended in 20th or better. Mears also have ran quite well this season on shorter flats as well. Minus the first Richmond race, he have put together 18.8 average finish with 21.3 average running position. In fact, he have finished 20th or better in 4 of 5 short-flat races this season.
Aric Almirola - Almirola started off the chase very well with 3 Top 10 in the first 4 races. Then he finished 24th back at Kansas. Since? 3 straight finishes of 16th or 18th. Overall 6 of 8 races during the chase have ended inside the top 18. I can live with results like those from driver with middle of the road equipment. He been very consistent at Phoenix since being put in the 43 car back in 2012. In 7 races in the #43 car, he have never finished worse 19th. Also he have finished all 7 of those races on the lead lap which have helped him a lot in these races. To add onto his fantasy value, he have been solid on the short-flat racetracks this season. Outside of the 2nd New Hampshire race, he have 14.5 average finish, 28.0 average running position and 19.5 average running position. If you remember the New Hampshire race, he was running well in the top 15 before he blew a tire and hit the wall. Now let look deeper into his short-flat stats. His 4th place effort obviously boost his overall stats. So here what his averages would look like without that race: 18.0 average finish, 29.3 average start, 21.5 average running position and 70.3 driver rating. What is the one thing that stands out in both sets of those stats? His position differential. Nice fantasy option in leagues that reward that, if the price is right.
*Note - Stats are from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com and DriverAverages.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
Sleepers -
Ricky Stenhouse Jr - Ricky didn't quite live up my expectations, but I am going to sticky Stenhouse Jr though. I feel like he can end the year strong over these final two races. At Texas he probably would have finished inside the top 20, but Keselowski put most of the field a lap down. So I am not going to hold him accountable for his poor-ish finish. Even though 21st was still pretty decent overall for him. He should get back on track at Phoenix. In the past 5 races here, he have never finished worse than 18th. Earlier this season, he tied his career-best 12th place finish at this racetrack. In fact, he had his best performance at this track as well. In 5 career starts, he have completed every single lap at this racetrack and he ran very during the chase. On short-flats this season, he been shockingly one of the best fantasy values due to most people overlook him. Minus the first race at Richmond, he have supported 14.5 average finish with 19.5 average running position and 80.6 driver rating on the shorter flats racetracks. In those races, he have finishes of: 12th (Phoenix), 17th (New Hampshire), 16th (Richmond) and 13th (New Hampshire). Only race outside of the top 17th was back at the first Richmond race where he finished 28th.
Casey Mears - Yes yes I know he disappointed last week with a 26th, but he just had a bad day. I don't think there was a driver who had more problems than Casey Mears at Texas. From ill-handling racecar to unscheduled pit stops to terrible vibration to whatever else he had go wrong. And despite going 3 laps down before lap 20, he still managed a 26th-place finish. The 13 team actually fixed him up and got some speed into that car. At Phoenix, he could be in for a decent run! Earlier this season, he finished 20th at this track. Actually 3 of the past 5 races at this racetrack have ended in 20th or better. Mears also have ran quite well this season on shorter flats as well. Minus the first Richmond race, he have put together 18.8 average finish with 21.3 average running position. In fact, he have finished 20th or better in 4 of 5 short-flat races this season.
Aric Almirola - Almirola started off the chase very well with 3 Top 10 in the first 4 races. Then he finished 24th back at Kansas. Since? 3 straight finishes of 16th or 18th. Overall 6 of 8 races during the chase have ended inside the top 18. I can live with results like those from driver with middle of the road equipment. He been very consistent at Phoenix since being put in the 43 car back in 2012. In 7 races in the #43 car, he have never finished worse 19th. Also he have finished all 7 of those races on the lead lap which have helped him a lot in these races. To add onto his fantasy value, he have been solid on the short-flat racetracks this season. Outside of the 2nd New Hampshire race, he have 14.5 average finish, 28.0 average running position and 19.5 average running position. If you remember the New Hampshire race, he was running well in the top 15 before he blew a tire and hit the wall. Now let look deeper into his short-flat stats. His 4th place effort obviously boost his overall stats. So here what his averages would look like without that race: 18.0 average finish, 29.3 average start, 21.5 average running position and 70.3 driver rating. What is the one thing that stands out in both sets of those stats? His position differential. Nice fantasy option in leagues that reward that, if the price is right.
*Note - Stats are from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com and DriverAverages.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
