Thursday, May 26, 2016

Fantasy Nascar Sleepers (Charlotte)

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Sleepers -

Austin Dillon - Austin Dillon showed a lot of promise early on in the season, but after a strong first 4 races he went cold in his results. Until he knocked off back-to-back top 5 finishes at Talladega and Kansas. Of course, then he followed that up with a disappointing Dover finish (mechanical issue). So what to expect from Dillon at Charlotte? Well, let's just say I have some high hopes for Austin. I think you have to have a short memory (good or bad) when it comes to fantasy nascar. It is a game of luck and more importantly it a game of opportunity. There are multiple reasons why I like Austin this week. Firstly, Dillon have been awesome this season on the cookie cutter racetracks. He finished top 5 at Vegas and Kansas. He had a top 10 run going at Texas as well, before losing control of car. So he been solid on the 1.5 mile racetracks. I think that is exactly what we need to be looking at, when deciding the type of ''potential'' fantasy impact he could have this weekend. I also like what he have done recently at Charlotte as well. He have never finished worse than 16th in four career starts, also he had a very impressive run here last fall. He finished 7th in that event and contended inside the top 15 for over 90% of the event. To go along with an 8.0 average running position and 103.5 driver rating. However it should be noted that Dillon have finished 16th in both of his 600s at Charlotte though. And a final side note, he also was one of the drivers who tested here a few months back.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr - Stenhouse Jr is having his best season of his cup career so far and I don't think he will stop now. After 12 races this season, he have knocked off 8 Top 16 finishes which almost equal last season (11) total. Hey, I know some of you aren't impressed by top 16 finishes, but he is consistently getting quality finishes. I think that's the main thing that matter towards Ricky's fantasy value. I think how he have ran at the intermediate tracks makes me more excited than anything about his potential this weekend. Listen  to his stat line on the cookie cutters (Kansas, Vegas, Texas and Atlanta) this season: 12.8 average finish (11th-best in series), 8.8 average start (6th-best in the series), 12.5 average running position (11th-best in the series) and 86.6 driver rating (12th-best in the series). Then add in the fact that Stenhouse Jr is one of 7 drivers to complete 85% or more of all the laps inside the top 15. So in basic terms, Stenhouse have been about a top 12 driver all season long on the 1.5 mile racetracks. I really like Ricky this week, I think he will finish around the top 10 or top 12 mark when it's over on Sunday night.

Kyle Larson - Larson got off to a very poor start with CGR obviously getting behind the competition. But in recent weeks, he have shown some promise. I think we will find out how legit Kyle Larson is this weekend at the 600. He ran very well a couple races ago (at Kansas), but that really remains his lone good result on the intermediate racetracks. With that said as I mentioned before, you have to have a short-term memory with that sort of thing. So what to expect from the 42 car this weekend? I think he have a lot of momentum with recent strong performances. I also believe the 42 team have hit on something with their setups and seems to be making solid gains with Kyle overall. With that said, Larson best two races at Charlotte have came in the fall. In fact, he was incredibly off in last season's 600 event. However he came back in the fall-time and had a very strong race until he nailed Kyle Busch coming onto pit road. After that Larson faded into the lower 20s. Larson obviously have had inconsistent results at Charlotte and in the 2016 season, but I think he can have another really solid race this upcoming weekend. I don't think it a question weather Larson can contend for a solid result, but I think the question is can he finish the deal? That's always the debate when it comes to Larson. He's a high-risk/high-reward type of fantasy pick!

Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12

Thanks for reading,

Garry Briggs