Tuesday, November 29, 2016

2017 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Kasey Kahne

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Kasey Kahne

Car #: 5

Make: Chevy

Season Debut: 2004 (First full-season)

Number of Championships: 0

# of Career Starts: 468

# of Career Poles: 27

# of Career Wins: 17

# of Career Top 5s: 89

# of Career Top 10s: 169

# of Career DNFs: 59

# of Career laps led: 4,607

Career Average Finish: 17.3

Career Average Start: 13.7

# of 2016 Wins: 0

# of 2016 Top 5s: 3 

# of 2016 Top 10s: 13

# of 2016 Poles: 0

# of 2016 DNFs: 2

# of 2016 laps led: 0

2016 Average Finish: 15.6

2016 Average Start:16.9

2016 Recap - Kahne had a tough 2016 season overall, he started out the season decent but then hit his usual rough patch just around Daytona (start of July), however he was able to streak to the finsih in second half of the season. From Darlington to Texas, he finished all but one race inside the top 12. That race? Talladega. So it wasn't a totally lost season for the 5 team, but they failed to make the chase for the second straight season and failed to win a race as well. His last win is now back in 2014 at Atlanta. That was also the last time he was in contention for a win as well. Since then, I really cannot recall any races where he was a legit contender for the race win. It has been a tough stench for him, but maybe there's some light at end of the tunnel. When HMS struggles, Kahne will most likely struggle to be a top 15 contender consistently. However at end of last year, HMS as a whole seemed to pick it up. Which was a big reason for Kasey's success in the chase. So could that translate over to 2017? Who knows, it could. Or he could go back to his old ways, but I will leave it at that for now though.

Strong Tracks - Sonoma, Charlotte, Texas and Richmond

Weak Tracks - Pocono and WGI

Yahoo Grouping Tier: B-list Grouping

Overall Value Prediction - Inconsistent with mix of high-end upside

2017 Fantasy Outlook - I looked back at my predictions from last year's Profile predictions (here) and man I was spot on. I predicted Kahne would produce 0 wins, 9-13 Top 10s and 3 to 5 Top 5 finishes. His numbers in 2016? 0 wins, 3 Top 5 finishes and 13 Top 10 finishes. Feel good to get those predictions right, since Kahne has been so inconsistent since joining HMS. How do I think he will do in 2017? Once again my sights aren't too high for him overall. I think there will be stenches in the 2017 season where he is a viable fantasy option in certain formats. However, most weekends he will most likely not be anything beyond an top 15 fantasy choice. He will be a good but not great option in Yahoo Fantasy Racing, but I think it is important to use him when he get hot. And he will get hot like he did at end of last season. Hot for him will likely be hovering from 8th-12th place in finishing potential. When he starts to consistently pile up some top 12 finishes, that when you should pounce because that's likely his season's ceiling. Overall, I expect 0 wins (again), 3-5 Top 5 finishes and 10-14 Top 10 finishes. Kahne is in top-equipment, but he lacks true talent which will limit his upside and limit his potential as well. Also I always believed that the 5-team is the odd-man out at HMS. Meaning, they don't really care about performance of that car. Not trying to sound mean or harsh, but Hendrick will worry about the 48,24 and 88 performance first. That how it is and will likely remain that way long as Kahne is behind the wheel

**All stats are from DriverAverages.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans18