Friday, December 23, 2016

2017 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Jimmie Johnson

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Jimmie Johnson

Car #: 48

Make: Chevy

Season Debut: 2002 (First-Full Season)

Number of Championships: 0

# of Career Starts: 543

# of Career Poles: 34 

# of Career Wins: 80

# of Career Top 5s: 218 

# of Career Top 10s: 330

# of Career DNFs: 48

# of Career laps led: 18,433 

Career Average Finish: 12.0

Career Average Start: 11.1

# of 2016 Wins: 5

# of 2016 Top 5s: 11

# of 2016 Top 10s: 16 

# of 2016 Poles: 1

# of 2016 DNFs: 4

# of 2016 laps led: 737

2016 Average Finish: 14.0

2016 Average Start: 12.7

2016 Fantasy Recap - Last offseason I predicted that Jimmie Johnson would have a very strong start before cool off in the 2nd half of the season. Good news! I predicted the strong start and the cooling off in the 2n half. Bad news? He got hot again, after cooling off in the early to middle summer months. I felt like HMS figured out some things with the Chicago test just before the Michigan race. Because that whole organization saw a major uptick up speed on the intermediate tracks and Johnson said they felt really good about what they found after that. What are the odds of having an 10-hour test session and see major improvement in race performance happening, without them being related? Not sure, but I would say those odds are fairly long. I believe that test was a stepping stone for improvement at the intermediate tracks. The final 7 intermediate tracks (of 1.3 miles or longer) were dominated by teams of HMS, CGR and SHR. Just saying. They found something at HMS just before Michigan and I really do believe it was something they found in a test session. Anyhow, Johnson had a pretty awesome season! He had 5 wins, 11 top 5 finishes and 16 Top 10 finishes. It wasn't a great season by any means, as he was consistent after the month of May until the chase started. But he did get on the roll at the right time and won the races that he needed to win at to win the championship. But his 11 Top 5 finishes and 16 Top 10 finishes were eye-opening because you expect the champion to have far higher numbers than that. But he didn't and won the championship. The 5 wins were very key. At end of the day, the stats don't matters. It is how he finished and that exactly what matters most in Johnson's case. He was unbelievable in the chase!

Strong Tracks - Martinsville, Texas, Atlanta, Indy, Dover and Cali

Weak Tracks - Michigan and Talladega

Yahoo Grouping Tier: A-list Grouping

2017 Fantasy Outlook - Jimmie Johnson is coming off an histic season where he placed himself in history as only the 3rd Nascar driver to ever win 7 Cup Series Championships. That's awesome! It's truly really! Like or hate him, he is doing something very special as a driver. We are knowing the greatest driver of this era tear down the record books, folks. 80 wins and hasn't slowed down yet. Over the past 13 seasons, he has won at least 4 times in 12 of those seasons. It's insane! All he does is win and win races! It's mind-blowing really. In 2017, I expect more great things from him. He should be at his best on the intermediate tracks. Especially the 1.5 mile tracks. He will also have good days at places like Cali, Dover and Darlington. All are intermediate tracks, but on non-traditional 1.5 mile venues though. His best intermediate tracks will be Atlanta, Texas and Las Vegas. He will also have strong runs on the flats tracks (large and short). He will be more consistent on the larger flats of Indy and Pocono. Both has been excellent tracks for him in his career. He has been a bit inconsistent of late, but still very good overall. The shorter flats will be good to him, but it is harder for him to be that top tier threat though. Mainly because the HMS cars seems to lack the speed on the shorter in length tracks like Phoenix, New Hampshire and Richmond. Those races are typically dominated by the Gibbs and Penske cars. Road courses and plate tracks will another strong places to use him at. Road courses will be where is most underrated at by far. Johnson is an road course ace and people don't give him enough credit. He is a stud at both Sonoma and WGI. More so at WGI, as his record speaks for itself. He has been more inconsistent at Sonoma in his career. Plate tracks will be good to him, but like any driver will need some luck. Overall, I expect amazing things from Jimmie Johnson in 2017. I think he will win 3-5 times and posted doule-digit Top 5 finishes, while contending for possibly another championship!

Twitter - @JeffNathans18