Sunday, March 26, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Post-Practice Sleepers & Dark Horses (Cali)

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Sleepers -

Aric Almirola - Almirola has stood out to me this weekend and I am honestly not shocked at all. In 3 of 4 races this season, he has finished 17th or better. He's finished 14th at Vegas two weeks ago and finished 11th two seasons ago at Cali. The #43 car is pretty good this weekend. He's qualified poorly, but he is pretty decent overall. In final practice, he had the 7th-best 15-lap average. That was better than guys such as Johnson and Keselowski, in case you were wondering. For whatever that is worth. In most fantasy formats, he will be a great value fantasy play. Simply because he's qualified poorly this weekend. That will make him a great play alone probably.

Ryan Blaney - I will be honest, I still have my doubt about Ryan Blaney. Heading into the week, I was a little iffy on the 21 car. I had my concerns (mainly gut feeling) that the 21 car wouldn't be that good. He's pretty decent overall, I would say. He's showed speed on Saturday, nothing major. But still, enough where I think he's better than his qualifying position. If you are looking for a top 5 driver, then you are barking up the wrong tree. He's too inconsistent and doesn't that kind of upside to be a top 5 fantasy option. However, he is definitely a top 15-type of driver though. I think he is that sort of driver on a weekly driver. With that said, he does have the upside to possibly steal a top 10 finish as well. But I wouldn't absolutely bank on it though. Keep your realistic expectations in the low-teens though.

Ryan Newman - I didn't think Newman would be a sleeper this week, after winning last week. Not because, he's won. Because the No.31 car has ran very well this season on the intermediate tracks, despite poor finishes. Top 5 speed at Atlanta and top 10 speed at Vegas, with nothing better than 17th place to show though. Then last week, the No.31 got Newman top 10 good before end of the race. Of course, then the 31 team gambled and it paid off in the biggest way in the end. Another reason I am surprised that he is being overlooked is that Newman has a great record here. 5 Top 10 finishes over his past 7 races and 6 Top 15 finishes over his past 7 races overall. That's really solid for him. As always, Newman is the staple of consistency. This weekend, I would say that No.31 car has okay speed. I wouldn't say that he is anything special. However, I do believe they have him as a top 15 driver headed into the race. Also, it sounds like the 31 team got him better in final practice. That's a good sign as well. His RCR crew will get him in the top 10 before it is all over (like usual) regardless.

Dark Horses -

Erik Jones - Jones been really strong this weekend in the No.77 car for FRR! He's showed very good speed and seemed really pleased with his car. Not only that, but he's sounded really confident after practice was over, too. As he should be very confident, this is the best he has looked in a cup car. In final practice, the No.77 car was stout on the long runs. He had the 4th-best ten lap average and topped the 15-lap average charts. At end of final practice, you know what Erik Jones said? He said, ''I think it is a really good race car. It should be a fun day tomorrow.'' I love that right there, it tells me that Jones know how good he is this weekend. The No.77 car has loads of speed, now it is up to him to keep near the front. Be watching out for the 77 car in the race, as I think the Toyotas will be strong. Jones will be one of those fast Toyotas!

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