Tuesday, July 08, 2014

Fantasy Nascar Sleepers and Busts

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Sleeper:

Kyle Busch - Busch will be overlooked by most for Harvick , Gordon , Johnson. Busch finish 2nd in both races last season. He haven't showned much of his 2013 self. Fortunately he been at his best at similar flat tracks. His 9.0 average starting position and 8.6 average finishing position is pretty stout. If you haven't realize , his 8.6 average finish is 6th best. While his 9.0 average starting position also ranks near the top. Cannot beat that , especially with less then 20% will roaster him.

Bust -

Tony Stewart: Stewart 19.3 average finish position on similar flat tracks doesn't impresses me. You could argue that none of those races (Martinsville , Phoenix and Richmond) were held in the summer months yet. And valid point , given that Stewart does his best work in the summer. Lets go all the back start of 2010. In his previous 31 similar flat tracks races , Stewart have only recorded 13 Top 10s. Which is about 42% of the time. So a 40/60 chance of nabbing a top 10 this weekend. With Indy , Pocono, The Glenn, Chicagoland, etc to name a few coming up still. I don't know about anyone else , but I see some fantastic tracks coming up to use Smoke.

Sleeper-

Kasey Kahne: Kahne is quite underrated. He is a former winner at the 1-mile track. He may surprise people this weekend with a strong top 5 effort. I believe that is very possible. His efforts on flat tracks in 2014 haven't been great. But his results is misleading due to extremely bad luck. I wouldn't recommend this anyone near top of their league overall points. But for those all but out of the championship hunt. Here your high risk/high reward pick.

Bust-

Brain Vickers: Vickers may have finish 1st and 7th last year. But unfortunately that was with the mastermind CC on flat tracks atop his pit box. His flat tracks efforts reflects the change. He have recorded zero top 10 in 4 attempts. New Hampshire may be his best shot though. Unfortunately it unlikely. Vickers actually isn't that good on these type of tracks. Having a terrific setups last few years made him overrated. I am not buying the Vick bait.

Sleeper -

Jeff Burton: In case , you haven't heard Burton in the 66. Most people automatically think the 66 is always junk equipment wise. That is a misleading and inaccurate. It depends on the driver. Burton will have MWR equipment this weekend. Which makes him gold in Yahoo. Unless you ton of Dillon and Larson starts. Burton is a 4-time winner at New Hampshire. This is his best track from a career point of few.

Bust-

Danica Patrick: Do I think Danica a bust? No. Do I think her percentage is way too high in Yahoo? Without question yes. Her percentage is way too high this week. Especially with Burton entered. She about a top 25 option. Anything better is bonus.

Twitter - @Gbriggs12

Thanks for reading

Garry Briggs

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