Monday, September 29, 2014

Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Busts

Welcome to Timerssports

This week mark race number 30 of 36. You're either a contender or pretender in your respected leagues. Weather you're hanging at the bottom trying to gain experience for 2015. Or trying to conquer championship glory. You will have a role nevertheless. The time is now to decide your fate. Lets dive in!

Sleeper -

Matt Kenseth: If there a guy under radar after 29 races its have to be Kenseth. His consistency doesn't quite get enough credit. Kansas been a very good track to him as well. Like having fun? Perfect. Over the past 4 races held on 1.5 mile layouts. Who have racked up the most points? If have guessed Matt Kenseth you're right. In fact he has a 4.8 average finish with 3 Top 5s. Even over the past two races on 1.5 milers , Matt have scored the 4th most points (6.0 avg. finish.) Point being , Matt is very underrated.

Bust -

Kyle Busch: Not really a bust , because just about everyone knows how bad he been here recently. Only 1 Top 20 in past 4 races at Kansas. Should be noted that top 20 was earlier this season. In Rowdy career , he only have 2 Top 10s (0 Top 5s). Yeah an 15th place finish would probably make him pretty darn happy.

Sleeper -

Martin Truex Jr: Somehow MTjr 11.0 average finish over the past 3 races have gone seemingly unnoticed. Over his 5 races , his average finish is still roughly 16th place. Yet nobody is even mentioning it inside the fantasy nascar community. As a fantasy nascar sleeper/bust expert , I find that intriguing. Earlier this season he finished around 20th. Martin could be a very sneaky sleeper for the dare devils out there.

Bust -

Carl Edwards: Seems like every time I list him as a bust , Edwards goes out and proves me wrong. But still RFR have left us fantasy players out to dry. So pinpointting were they will run strong is like trying to calculate where lightning will strikes. Despite an 5.5 average finish over his previous two Kansas races , I doubt Edwards  back that up. Intermediate tracks seems to be RFR biggest weakness. Expect a finish from 13th to 20th.

Sleeper -

Paul Menard: Surprise surprise Menard lands on the sleeper list. I considered listing him as a potential bust. But his success on this type track is unbelievable. Add in low % selected in different formats and a track record. We get a recipe for a driver with awesome value. Wasn't pleased with Menard 21th at Chicago. But been solid in his previous two chase races (15.5 average finish.) An top 15 or better would be considered a quality start in my book.

Bust -

Denny Hamlin: Hamlin I think will be a nice choice this week. But consider this: Kansas is one of his worst track record wise. Also consider we have Martinsville , Phoenix , Texas , and Charlotte still on the schedule. All are considered great tracks for him. Use him if you want , but just know there better places to use him. So Hamlin isn't really a bust , but more of a temper your expectations warning.

* Stats from http://www.racing-reference.info/

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