Saturday, September 13, 2014

Fantasy Nascar Update (CHI)

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Notes -

1-Jamie Mac: JMac starts just outside the top 10. Typically he an top 15 option and that remains to be the case at Chicago. He have nice mid range speed. Expect him to solid overall.

2-Brad Keselowski: Penske been a little off this weekend. But both cars should be contenders. Beware as Keselowski starts 25th. Luckily there usually plenty of long green flag runs. In Happy Hour , Keselowski ranked 3rd in term of best 10 lap average. He been excellent in that category all season.

3-Austin Dillon: Dillon been solid all weekend long. Usually races better then he practices. Which should makes Dillon a fantastic option in Yahoo Fantasy Racing. I think Dillon finish inside the top 20 , but has top 15 upside.

4-Kevin Harvick: KH been strong since unloading. Has one of the fastest cars on the long run. How fast? In Happy hour he posted his best ten lap average  from lap 21-30. Which was good enough for 7th best. The top 6 guys posted their within the first 10 laps.

5-Kasey Kahne: Us fantasy nascar geeks like to refer Kahne as an "liability". He is unpredictable and that makes him useless in majority formats. He shown promise , but then again we seen that movie before. At best Kahne an top 12 value with top 10 upside.

10-Danica Patrick: Patrick is usually a nice play on Intermediate racetracks. So far this weekend , Patrick have pretty solid. No red flags have popped up either (always a positive thing.) Start Danica at your own risk as she at best top 20 value.

11-Denny Hamlin: Hamlin starts deeper in the field then usually , but it shouldn't hold him back from a respectable finish. Personally I don't think he has a top 5 car. Maybe not even a top 10 car. I have anywhere from 9th -14th range guy for Sunday. Posted a nice 10 lap average in Final practice.

14-Smoke: Smoke been considerably off all weekend. Not shocked at all. I figured he would struggle (as he has all season.) Smoke at best an top 20 option , folks I think it time to shut down "Project Smoke" for reminder of 2014. Least I am.

16-Greg Biffle: The Biff been up and down this weekend. He starts 20th , while never showing any long run speed though. I don't like him very much this week. At best an top 20 option. I would pass.

18-Kyle Busch: Rowdy starts 1st. He should be able to finish in the top 10 , but his anger will probably get the best of him. So he realistically an top 15 option with top 10 upside potential.

20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth have a really good car. I thought he was top 5 in happy hour. Which I wasn't initially expecting from him. Not sure how he feared on the long run. Didn't track Kenseth lap times closely.

22-Joey Logano: JoLo have a top 10 car , but that about it. The Penske cars as a whole seems off a little. Just not quite as good as normally. I expect the 22 team to get Joey tuned up for Sunday afternoon. He starts 28th on Sunday.

24-Jeff Gordon: Gordon fast , but in my opinion wasn't the man to beat. Thought he was a little better in the morning session (the colder session). Gordon an top 5 guy , but I don't think he as good as his teammate. I am sure Alan will fix him up and make the 24 extremely fast come Sunday.

27-Paul Menard: Menard was very strong on Saturday. He posted a sick fast lap in the morning session. Posted the 10th fastest lap in the afternoon (similar to race conditions) and had the 8th best ten lap average.  Menard bring a lot of upside , but plenty of risk (especially with an low pick %). Weigh your options and then decide if he worth it.

31-Ryan Newman: I like Newman a lot this week. He been fast since unloading. He starts 2nd , but he won't stay there for long. I expect Newman to hang around 7th -15th most of the day. He's a great option for most forms.

42-Kyle Larson: Larson been impressive , but he would be mote impressive if he didn't start the race dead last after wrecking his primary car in the opening moments of the morning session. Never fear he have a good  car for Sunday race.

48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson been fast all weekend. Team 48 just flipped the switch and they are about to get serious. Johnson was the 2nd best on Saturday overall. Don't be shocked to see him in VL on Sunday. Johnson was excellent on the long run.

55-Brain Vickers: Vickers looked good overall. He been consistent all weekend. He has put down some fast laps in both sessions on Saturday. I like him as an top 15 value , I won't rule out an top 10.

88-Dale Jr: Dale like usually refuses to show his full hand in practice. Dale doesn't start up front , but doesn't haven't stop him in the past. I have Dale finishing just inside the top 10 on Sunday.

99-Carl Edwards: Edwards starts 3rd and posted some fast laps in practice (topped Final Practice) , great right? Oh but there always a catch with Edwards. He wasn't fast on the long run. In simpler terms , he may post a few fast laps but he will fade outside top 10 when it said and done.

Twitter - @JeffNathans